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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4078 views

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Playmates (PLYMT) 1000 9.31 (+1.49)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 35.28 (+0.10)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Playmates (PLYMT) 1000 9.31 (+1.49)          Snoop (SNOOP) 150000 38.50 (+0.20)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 100 80.00 (0.00)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1 17.94 (-1.29)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 17.18 (+0.16)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 150000 17.13 (+0.02)          The Wager (WAGER) 50000 12.39 (+0.12)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          One Italian Summer (1ITAS) 150000 31.07 (+0.11)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 50000 13.61 (+1.75)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1 17.94 (-1.29)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1 17.94 (-1.29)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 1 13.61 (+1.75)          Playmates (PLYMT) 24999 9.31 (+1.49)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 14 17.23 (+0.20)          Sunny (SUNNY) 5 15.79 (-0.07)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 3 48.37 (-0.10)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 3 7.40 (-0.01)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 13.61 (+1.75)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 8 3.92 (+0.03)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 100000 5.13 (-0.44)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 90 6.16 (-0.01)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 129 1.92 (-0.02)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 13 1.92 (-0.02)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 149999 53.85 (-1.31)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 3 14.29 (-0.03)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 8.98 (+0.04)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 168.45 (-0.04)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 26.74 (+0.41)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 168.45 (-0.04)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 39 59.04 (-0.37)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 3 19.72 (+2.71)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 112509 2.12 (-0.28)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 3 19.72 (+2.71)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.83 (-0.64)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 25.56 (+0.01)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 25.56 (+0.01)          White Lies (WHTLI) 6 11.56 (+0.05)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 6 48.66 (+0.20)          White Elephant (WELEP) 3 11.71 (-0.03)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 55 31.88 (-0.14)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 66 32.96 (-0.14)          Highlander (HIGHL) 149999 37.14 (-2.95)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 200 7.11 (-0.02)