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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2510 views

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They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 2.46 (+0.46)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Ma 2 (MA2) 10000 15.99 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 10 504.58 (+0.70)          Ma 2 (MA2) 10000 15.99 (-0.01)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 150000 25.83 (+1.27)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 54354 504.58 (+0.70)          Merlin (MERLN) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)          Merlin (MERLN) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 1 2.53 (+0.08)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 1 74.59 (+1.60)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 1 2.71 (+0.12)          They Will Kill You H$10 Put (TWKYU.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 150000 23.74 (-1.26)          They Will Kill You H$10 Call (TWKYU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 1 22.67 (-0.15)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 30.45 (+1.61)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 30.45 (+1.61)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 2.46 (+0.46)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 900 92.28 (-0.08)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 2500 20.75 (+0.02)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 2.46 (+0.46)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 2.46 (+0.46)          They Will Kill You H$10 Call (TWKYU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          They Will Kill You H$10 Put (TWKYU.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Kate Winslet (KWINS) 25000 102.66 (+1.36)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 2.46 (+0.46)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 3500 7.48 (-0.03)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 523 504.58 (+0.70)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 30.45 (+1.61)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 100000 30.45 (+1.61)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 3000 7.48 (-0.03)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 16000 14.18 (+0.57)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 50000 147.15 (-2.04)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 141000 25.83 (+1.27)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 1000 22.67 (-0.15)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 136000 23.74 (-1.26)          Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice (MNANA) 2500 1.75 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 474 504.58 (+0.70)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 30000 16.16 (+0.13)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 25000 206.79 (+2.25)          The Plague (TPLAG) 150000 0.75 (-0.06)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 80000 22.67 (-0.15)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 500 538.73 (+0.74)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 15 504.58 (+0.70)