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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3627 views

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Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 146 66.43 (-0.05)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 7.58 (-2.15)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 2052 620.83 (+1.37)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1000 174.19 (-0.06)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 250 39.90 (+0.18)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 68.83 (-0.06)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10000 846.63 (+1.13)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 13.39 (-0.27)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 13.39 (-0.27)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 10000 81.90 (+0.93)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 7.58 (-2.15)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 7.58 (-2.15)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 1000 259.46 (-0.11)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 8 18.95 (-1.90)          Tangled (TANGL) 1003 122.62 (-0.15)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 8000 11.56 (+0.07)          Monitor (MONTR) 10000 12.58 (0.00)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 21000 82.48 (+0.48)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 6.66 (-0.52)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 25000 12.76 (-0.21)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 150000 22.11 (+0.06)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 24 7.58 (-2.15)          Ghost Market (ONOGM) 20000 106.62 (+0.24)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 2 125.97 (+0.33)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Stages (STGES) 10000 9.27 (+0.73)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 35654 18.95 (-1.90)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 25000 93.41 (+0.54)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 49999 12.32 (-0.11)          November 1963 (NOV63) 125000 5.77 (-0.35)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 7000 100.00 (0.00)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 9999 20.54 (+0.02)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 100000 1.96 (-0.23)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 105000 18.75 (-0.24)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 125000 6.52 (+2.48)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 10000 6.52 (+2.48)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 24999 5.51 (-0.06)          Hope (HOPE) 9999 8.53 (-0.01)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 50000 39.90 (+0.18)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 1 8.55 (+0.06)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 17.94 (+0.12)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 1 8.55 (+0.06)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 17.94 (+0.12)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 100.00 (0.00)