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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3025 views

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Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.37 (+0.37)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 7168 302.86 (+0.03)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 19757 144.32 (-0.45)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 10 4.05 (+0.01)          10 Lives (10LIV) 10 1.81 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 10 78.60 (-2.70)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1000 170.45 (-1.12)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 4500 115.58 (-1.39)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3500 170.45 (-1.12)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 15000 62.28 (+0.92)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.37 (+0.37)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 6000 62.28 (+0.92)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 149999 4.26 (-0.01)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 149998 9.04 (+0.44)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 149999 12.03 (-0.71)          Nell Tiger Free (NTFRE) 1000 8.45 (0.00)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 149999 0.76 (-0.01)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 149998 39.92 (+0.09)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 6000 27.26 (-0.23)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 1.87 (-0.02)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 0.09 (-0.02)          The Invite (TINVT) 149999 19.52 (+0.55)          Maria Bakalova (MBAKA) 25000 83.98 (-0.25)          The Invite (TINVT) 149999 19.52 (+0.55)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 1 0.82 (0.00)          Underland (UNDRL) 1 0.10 (0.00)          Savage House (SVGHS) 1 0.03 (0.00)          Signal One (SGNL1) 1 0.34 (0.00)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 1 0.60 (0.00)          Chum (CHUM) 1 0.69 (0.00)          God's Country (GDSCN) 150000 0.55 (+0.02)          God's Country (GDSCN) 6000 0.55 (+0.02)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 149999 20.80 (-0.11)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 149998 20.80 (-0.11)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 149999 2.26 (-0.03)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 149998 2.26 (-0.03)          Sunny (SUNNY) 149999 17.96 (-0.11)          Sunny (SUNNY) 149998 17.96 (-0.11)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.84 (+1.06)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 78.60 (-2.70)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 149999 3.74 (-0.09)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 149998 3.74 (-0.09)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 10 62.28 (+0.92)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 78.60 (-2.70)          A Long Winter (ALWNT) 149999 2.52 (-0.03)          A Long Winter (ALWNT) 149998 2.52 (-0.03)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 115.58 (-1.39)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 149999 115.58 (-1.39)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 1 5.85 (-0.07)          Peddi (PEDDI) 1 4.81 (+0.21)