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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3190 views

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It Ends (ITNDS) 5000 5.53 (+0.38)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 5000 12.90 (+0.21)          White Lies (WHTLI) 50000 13.49 (+1.74)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 43.17 (-0.17)          Nomad (NOMD1) 1 0.84 (0.00)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 24.91 (-0.45)          Lice (LICE) 3000 6.20 (+0.38)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 430.37 (+0.43)          Astaire (ASTAI) 5000 7.71 (+0.15)          Moana (MOAN1) 61338 229.68 (-1.82)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 10.85 (+0.62)          Charlie Harper (CHARP) 10000 4.21 (+0.09)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 66.14 (-0.13)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.62 (-0.06)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.62 (-0.06)          Andrew Stanton (ANSTA) 25000 209.46 (+0.50)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 29.99 (+1.66)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 46086 95.52 (-1.28)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 46086 95.52 (-1.28)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 10000 61.91 (-7.85)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.51 (+0.04)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.91 (+0.13)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 103.65 (-2.65)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 24.33 (-1.23)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 10000 9.03 (-0.24)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 22.89 (-0.19)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 15031 37.96 (-0.27)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 10000 7.30 (+0.49)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 5500 1.07 (-0.01)          Whalefall (WHALF) 3000 39.94 (+0.29)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 22.89 (-0.19)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 24.33 (-1.23)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 103.65 (-2.65)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 2000 28.01 (-0.68)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 5000 1.07 (-0.01)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 134969 37.96 (-0.27)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 2000 25.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 37.96 (-0.27)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 39.26 (+0.12)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 1000 13.48 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 76.12 (+2.61)          Moana (MOAN1) 22424 229.68 (-1.82)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.51 (+0.04)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 7.30 (+0.49)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.91 (+0.13)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 53914 95.52 (-1.28)