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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3699 views

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Joe Taslim (JTASL) 216 105.46 (-0.33)          Starman (STARM) 50000 15.15 (-0.69)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 50000 17.40 (-1.22)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 100000 3.56 (-0.58)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 208 38.21 (0.00)          Nia Long (NLONG) 1000 67.38 (-0.25)          David Thewlis (DTHEW) 1000 98.77 (-0.24)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 17690 1.12 (+0.12)          Natasha Lyonne (NLYON) 1000 77.42 (-0.24)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 112 0.49 (0.00)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 1000 72.10 (-0.24)          Jenny Slate (JESLA) 500 111.56 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 163 97.06 (+0.07)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5000 125.08 (+0.84)          Catherine Keener (CKEEN) 1000 83.16 (-0.01)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 52 120.11 (0.00)          Verity (VERTY) 225 61.36 (+0.15)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 40000 21.26 (+1.18)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 7.63 (-0.05)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 22 0.49 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 1000 125.08 (+0.84)          Verity (VERTY) 258 61.36 (+0.15)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 50.77 (+0.51)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 125.08 (+0.84)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 125.08 (+0.84)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 100 6.58 (+1.10)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 391 50.77 (+0.51)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 7.63 (-0.05)          Runner (RUNNR) 100 15.67 (+1.52)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 2141 7.63 (-0.05)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 47.53 (-0.20)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 55.96 (-0.25)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 38.88 (-0.33)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 25000 6.58 (+1.10)          Runner (RUNNR) 20000 15.67 (+1.52)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 25000 3.56 (-0.58)          Untitled Blair Witch Movie (TBWP4) 150000 37.46 (+0.13)          Starman (STARM) 25000 15.15 (-0.69)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 20000 17.40 (-1.22)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 67.82 (-0.50)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 149991 21.26 (+1.18)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 149991 21.26 (+1.18)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 32.95 (+0.10)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.12 (+0.12)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 206.67 (+0.50)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 12.58 (+0.06)          Stages (STGES) 150000 8.62 (-0.04)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 8.13 (-0.03)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 17.56 (+0.08)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 1.98 (-0.02)