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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4063 views

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Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 19.89 (+0.99)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 50000 15.86 (+3.68)          John Cho (JCHO) 1000 11.90 (0.00)          John Cho (JCHO) 10000 11.90 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 50000 18.72 (-0.35)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 100000 13.90 (-0.15)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 75000 19.89 (+0.99)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 149999 19.89 (+0.99)          Whalefall (WHALF) 50000 23.77 (+2.57)          Clayface (CLAYF) 30000 61.61 (+5.02)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 3.81 (-0.19)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 19.89 (+0.99)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 19.89 (+0.99)          Gatto (GATTO) 763 149.71 (-0.20)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 150000 117.14 (-1.06)          Josephine (JSPHN) 31000 5.34 (+0.22)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 149999 14.33 (-0.15)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 100000 11.34 (+0.20)          Gatto (GATTO) 1734 149.71 (-0.20)          Iron Boy (IRONB) 150000 1.33 (+0.01)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 18.72 (-0.35)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 18.72 (-0.35)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 4000 66.24 (0.00)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 59999 117.14 (-1.06)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 25000 0.72 (+0.10)          Gatto (GATTO) 12503 149.71 (-0.20)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 100000 30.94 (+0.69)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 3.97 (-0.29)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 4000 290.57 (+0.24)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.92 (+0.12)          Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 8.65 (+0.04)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 18.72 (-0.35)          The Chosen: Crucifixion aka The (TCS61) 150000 12.27 (+2.19)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 90000 4.58 (-1.26)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 4000 171.71 (+0.44)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 2302 165.44 (+0.24)          Gatto (GATTO) 3000 149.71 (-0.20)          Kristen Bell (KBELL) 11871 118.49 (-0.18)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 9698 165.44 (+0.24)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 3000 77.54 (+0.08)          Werwulf (WERWU) 5000 67.84 (-0.05)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 3000 61.08 (+0.20)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 7576 165.44 (+0.24)          Werwulf (WERWU) 10000 67.84 (-0.05)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 12419 4.58 (-1.26)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 20000 110.57 (+2.10)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 5.45 (-0.02)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 61.61 (+5.02)