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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2704 views

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The Catch (TCATC) 20000 50.00 (0.00)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 35.81 (+0.13)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 150000 180.60 (+0.63)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 219.84 (-2.99)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 235.14 (-0.13)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 219.84 (-2.99)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 5 12.26 (-0.04)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 3 14.60 (+0.02)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 33.78 (+0.06)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 13.84 (+0.78)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 3 43.83 (+0.05)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 405 73.67 (-0.31)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 450 2.54 (-0.02)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 1900 50.79 (-0.05)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 4 66.21 (-0.15)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 19.87 (+0.10)          The Catch (TCATC) 32074 50.00 (0.00)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 4 9.40 (-0.01)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 4 163.63 (+0.65)          Bingbing Fan (FBING) 37 94.79 (-0.25)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 60 0.54 (-0.03)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.84 (+0.78)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.84 (+0.78)          Lewis Tan (LTAN) 3 130.36 (-0.33)          The Catch (TCATC) 110000 50.00 (0.00)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 4 114.47 (-0.33)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 30.06 (+1.11)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 30.06 (+1.11)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 2 55.56 (+0.06)          The Catch (TCATC) 3 50.00 (0.00)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 6000 0.03 (+0.02)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 2 148.28 (+0.33)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 3 90.25 (+0.25)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 6000 0.03 (+0.02)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 10000 163.63 (+0.65)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 6000 0.03 (+0.02)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 3 86.68 (+0.25)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Julia Butters (JBUTT) 4 77.19 (+0.25)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 4 66.73 (+0.25)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 36.98 (-0.89)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 1000 0.03 (+0.02)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 149900 28.18 (-0.19)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 5 149.69 (+0.66)