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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3055 views

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Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 19 391.38 (+6.36)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 60 20.54 (-0.97)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 8 136.28 (+0.91)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 12 112.02 (-1.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 136.28 (+0.91)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 5 167.76 (-1.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 8 167.76 (-1.04)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 136.28 (+0.91)          Passenger (PSNGR) 25 17.80 (-0.34)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 99999 45.98 (-1.92)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 45.98 (-1.92)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 45.98 (-1.92)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 45.98 (-1.92)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 45.98 (-1.92)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.51 (-0.44)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.51 (-0.44)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 136.28 (+0.91)          Vince Vaughn (VVAUG) 2999 33.53 (-0.37)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 136.28 (+0.91)          Vince Vaughn (VVAUG) 25000 33.53 (-0.37)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 136.28 (+0.91)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1000 167.76 (-1.04)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 20000 56.44 (-0.33)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 5000 122.92 (+0.33)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 10000 20.64 (+0.30)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 29999 13.68 (-0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 136.28 (+0.91)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.68 (-0.01)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 149999 4.53 (+0.16)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.53 (+0.16)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 9.18 (+0.89)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 13697 136.28 (+0.91)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 4000 264.78 (+0.51)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 3000 136.06 (+0.22)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 4000 138.49 (+0.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 18285 136.28 (+0.91)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 3000 87.61 (+0.05)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 4000 391.56 (+0.23)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3000 116.41 (+0.24)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 4000 94.99 (+0.08)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 51434 136.28 (+0.91)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.51 (-0.44)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 45.98 (-1.92)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 136.28 (+0.91)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 1.07 (+0.13)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 6777 73.09 (-1.58)