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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3497 views

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Oceans (OCEN5) 31000 58.71 (+0.34)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 514.96 (+0.40)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 82000 170.95 (+1.01)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.21 (+0.09)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 28000 32.68 (-0.30)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.77 (+2.74)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.21 (+0.09)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 78000 334.76 (+1.17)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 1000 56.76 (+0.37)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 13000 8.51 (-0.13)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1000 74.00 (+1.60)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 10000 334.76 (+1.17)          Verity (VERTY) 1000 55.13 (+0.30)          Primetime (PRMTM) 10000 31.77 (+2.74)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 17500 40.49 (+2.34)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10000 170.95 (+1.01)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 55000 74.00 (+1.60)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 56.76 (+0.37)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.21 (+0.09)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 100000 571.13 (-0.78)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 1000 17.02 (-0.70)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 8.23 (+0.05)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 150000 17.02 (-0.70)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 95.90 (+0.69)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 40.49 (+2.34)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 150000 17.02 (-0.70)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 121.54 (+0.07)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 64.19 (+0.20)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 41.21 (-0.35)          Digger (DIGER) 10000 107.71 (-0.98)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 21.02 (+0.18)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 147766 67.66 (+0.04)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 55.13 (+0.30)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 74.00 (+1.60)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 56.76 (+0.37)          Tony (TONY) 150000 14.94 (+0.53)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 150000 17.02 (-0.70)          Tony (TONY) 150000 14.94 (+0.53)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 62.88 (+1.87)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 62.88 (+1.87)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Drifter (DRFTR) 60000 3.58 (-0.42)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 21.58 (+0.05)