SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2930 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 5.48 (+0.16)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 40000 10.29 (-0.07)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 0.85 (-0.08)          Travis Fimmel (TFIMM) 24000 9.84 (+0.05)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 87.67 (+5.37)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Travis Fimmel (TFIMM) 24000 9.84 (+0.05)          Cleopatra - Paramount (CEOPT) 10000 3.97 (-0.05)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          District 10 (DIS10) 40000 10.76 (-0.13)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Tom Bateman (TBATE) 24000 46.04 (-0.16)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 986 224.74 (+1.54)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1000 177.41 (-0.16)          Tom Bateman (TBATE) 24000 46.04 (-0.16)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 4000 24.41 (-0.14)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 20000 100.67 (-0.13)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 2000 194.98 (+0.34)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 1000 250.19 (+0.07)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 28.99 (+0.34)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 150000 1.84 (+0.03)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 1000 23.33 (0.00)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 10000 37.95 (+0.14)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 70.03 (+4.98)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 22 87.67 (+5.37)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 70.03 (+4.98)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 1000 238.53 (-0.16)          Helen Hunt (HHUNT) 24000 11.04 (0.00)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 61388 31.69 (+1.19)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 60485 384.26 (+0.88)          Helen Hunt (HHUNT) 24000 11.04 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 100 69.73 (0.00)          Common (COMMN) 1000 3.51 (-0.05)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 100 14.42 (-0.04)          Common (COMMN) 25000 3.51 (-0.05)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.26 (-0.19)          Megan Fox (MEFOX) 3000 40.81 (-0.16)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 24000 21.02 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 1000 54.71 (+0.08)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 47 87.67 (+5.37)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 19757 31.69 (+1.19)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 133094 384.26 (+0.88)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 24000 21.02 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 10385 199.39 (-3.14)          Pressure (PRSUR) 540 14.38 (-0.71)          Pressure (PRSUR) 50 14.38 (-0.71)          Megan Fox (MEFOX) 6000 40.81 (-0.16)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 100 21.90 (-0.06)