SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2437 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 133264 104.61 (-0.11)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 37697 191.00 (-1.30)          Astaire (ASTAI) 5 5.35 (-0.02)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 16740 75.31 (-1.71)          Assassination (ASSNT) 230 7.96 (-0.01)          Astaire (ASTAI) 5 5.35 (-0.02)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 100000 75.31 (-1.71)          Assassination (ASSNT) 230 7.96 (-0.01)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 500 156.36 (-0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 100 156.36 (-0.15)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 4 31.44 (+0.09)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 4 156.36 (-0.15)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 4 31.44 (+0.09)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 9 362.49 (+2.45)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 40000 51.58 (-0.76)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 6 88.13 (+0.40)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 10 102.04 (+0.81)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 14.72 (+0.26)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 3000 24.20 (+0.12)          GOAT (TGOAT) 20000 82.63 (+3.58)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 4 293.62 (-0.07)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 14 43.94 (+0.51)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 20115 104.61 (-0.11)          GOAT (TGOAT) 40000 82.63 (+3.58)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 100000 72.05 (+2.21)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 3 39.32 (-0.04)          Moana (MOAN1) 100 225.10 (+0.28)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 3 324.94 (-0.20)          The Invite (TINVT) 6 14.31 (-0.08)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 40000 40.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 50 175.84 (-0.13)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 4 362.45 (+0.76)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 9 28.61 (+0.19)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10 170.00 (+1.35)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 3 55.61 (-0.06)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 50 71.20 (+0.08)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 1750 1.29 (0.00)          Passenger (PSNGR) 3 17.32 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 20 17.72 (+0.28)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 3 229.33 (-0.18)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 40000 44.02 (+6.18)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 4 40.59 (-0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 9 191.00 (-1.30)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 75.31 (-1.71)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 9 7.79 (+0.06)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 20 42.76 (-0.81)          In the Grey (NGREY) 100 17.63 (+0.12)          In the Grey (NGREY) 8 17.63 (+0.12)          You, Me & Tuscany aka Italianna (ITLIA) 3 20.91 (+0.03)