SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4020 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 11.44 (-0.06)          Whalefall H$15 Call (WHALF.CA) 25000 0.94 (-0.08)          Whalefall H$15 Call (WHALF.CA) 25000 0.94 (-0.08)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 23 50.00 (0.00)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 1 45.16 (-0.33)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 1 45.16 (-0.33)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 1 46.24 (0.00)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 1 46.24 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 2000 566.33 (+1.78)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 4.03 (-0.13)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 33.01 (-0.03)          Whalefall H$15 Call (WHALF.CA) 25000 0.94 (-0.08)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 21.99 (+0.24)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 47.35 (-0.16)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 57.17 (-3.37)          Wildwood H$10 Put (WILDW.PU) 25000 1.63 (+0.10)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 57.17 (-3.37)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.54 (-0.07)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 100000 11.00 (-0.39)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 150000 50.36 (-0.40)          Whalefall H$15 Put (WHALF.PU) 25000 3.16 (-0.10)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 50000 7.57 (0.00)          Whalefall H$15 Call (WHALF.CA) 25000 0.94 (-0.08)          The Rule of Three (RULO3) 66469 16.51 (+2.03)          Whalefall - Opening Weekend (WHALF.OW) 100000 12.38 (-0.08)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 1000 70.00 (-0.97)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 27.27 (-0.62)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 27.27 (-0.62)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 4.03 (-0.13)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 25000 0.75 (+0.04)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 50000 16.52 (-0.59)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 100000 29.39 (-0.22)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 32993 27.86 (-0.38)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 7.46 (-1.09)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 70.00 (-0.97)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 25000 99.63 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 57.17 (-3.37)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 70.00 (-0.97)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 57.17 (-3.37)          Hexed (HEXED) 74999 117.97 (-0.85)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 25000 21.08 (-0.50)          Sense and Sensibility - Opening (SNSNS.OW) 100000 6.06 (+0.15)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.76 (+0.06)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 1.32 (-0.05)          Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 8.88 (+0.18)