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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2936 views

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Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 4000 67.80 (-0.17)          Marc by Sofia (MARCS) 150000 0.17 (-0.02)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 4000 162.36 (-0.31)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4000 58.42 (+0.10)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 30000 20.00 (0.00)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 3000 88.56 (-0.01)          Marc by Sofia (MARCS) 150000 0.17 (-0.02)          Mr. Burton (BURTN) 150000 0.18 (-0.03)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 150000 0.19 (-0.03)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 34.99 (+0.50)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 75.09 (+2.36)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 15000 224.57 (+0.61)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 15000 55.09 (+0.04)          Hexed (HEXED) 5000 108.39 (+0.68)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 26.26 (-0.31)          Tony (TONY) 19999 17.25 (-0.16)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 10000 54.74 (-0.19)          Tow (TOW) 150000 1.35 (-0.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 195.74 (-3.60)          One Night Only (ONTON) 15000 26.26 (-0.31)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 195.74 (-3.60)          One Night Only (ONTON) 25000 26.26 (-0.31)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 30000 10.80 (-0.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 142.58 (-5.45)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 142.58 (-5.45)          Young Washington (YWASH) 15000 28.40 (-0.59)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 15000 492.45 (+0.87)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 25000 23.76 (-0.12)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 3000 101.45 (+0.45)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 254.25 (+0.28)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 45.73 (-0.16)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 3000 133.00 (-0.21)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3000 116.17 (-0.20)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Alpha (ALPH) 150000 0.16 (+0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 142.58 (-5.45)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 5000 142.58 (-5.45)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 6000 266.79 (-5.57)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 7000 266.79 (-5.57)          Alpha (ALPH) 150000 0.16 (+0.01)          Chum (CHUM) 59999 1.42 (+0.08)          Danielle Macdonald (DMACD) 25000 0.71 (+0.03)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 29999 17.32 (+0.08)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 50000 17.32 (+0.08)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 5000 224.57 (+0.61)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 6000 326.64 (+2.55)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.47 (+0.01)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 28000 534.81 (-0.75)