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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3289 views

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The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.26 (-1.60)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.26 (-1.60)          Moana (MOAN1) 74746 160.26 (-12.79)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 130000 77.15 (-0.18)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 51.03 (-5.21)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 160.26 (-12.79)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.26 (-1.60)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 51.03 (-5.21)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 160.26 (-12.79)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 160.26 (-12.79)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 7.27 (-0.88)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 100000 0.01 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 51.03 (-5.21)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 99 1.75 (+0.01)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 17719 51.03 (-5.21)          Brides (BRIDS) 411 2.70 (-0.03)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 21.08 (+0.02)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 51.03 (-5.21)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 0.67 (-0.06)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.26 (-1.60)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 2500 65.10 (+0.06)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 5000 14.89 (-0.11)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 160.26 (-12.79)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 7.27 (-0.88)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 51.03 (-5.21)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1000 40.06 (+0.05)          Night of the Living Dead (NOTLD) 150000 2.52 (+0.02)          Naruto (NARUT) 1000 22.35 (-0.44)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 5000 28.73 (0.00)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 1000 166.28 (-0.71)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1000 65.36 (-0.10)          Donkey (DONKE) 5000 100.00 (0.00)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 1000 36.41 (-0.13)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 18.68 (-0.02)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 1000 318.31 (-0.81)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 50000 3.99 (-0.10)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 1000 134.11 (-0.11)          District 10 (DIS10) 150000 9.73 (+0.07)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 2 2.23 (-0.02)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 99 7.27 (-0.88)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 1 3.46 (0.00)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 149999 40.60 (-4.16)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 3 85.72 (-1.14)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 51.03 (-5.21)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 4.25 (+0.05)          Ink (INK) 90 12.68 (-0.04)          Moana (MOAN1) 50000 160.26 (-12.79)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1000 231.47 (-0.33)