SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3708 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Boys For Life (BOYFL) 1000 16.68 (-0.08)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 1.49 (+0.01)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 2000 16.68 (-0.08)          Oceans (OCEN5) 1000 72.04 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 3045 25.36 (+0.01)          Not Alone (NTALN) 300 125.68 (-0.14)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 3045 25.36 (+0.01)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 1000 76.72 (+0.10)          Ink (INK) 4000 6.46 (-0.03)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 75000 77.19 (-0.52)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 18737 92.02 (+0.03)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 1000 16.44 (+0.03)          Naruto (NARUT) 14000 36.86 (-0.03)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 4 275.21 (+0.25)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 4.52 (+0.85)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 6 144.76 (+0.30)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 1000 144.76 (+0.30)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 5000 19.00 (+1.31)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 21075 125.72 (-0.45)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 20000 12.05 (+0.50)          Lana Condor (LCOND) 25000 51.15 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1 198.15 (+0.59)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 25000 57.31 (-0.29)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 2 348.32 (+0.62)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 19544 57.31 (-0.29)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 86 87.44 (+0.82)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 38.13 (-0.12)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1080 87.44 (+0.82)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 2 126.76 (+0.71)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 5000 50.09 (-2.77)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 1000 1.82 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 13000 126.76 (+0.71)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 25000 18.19 (-0.10)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 1989 18.19 (-0.10)          Ghost Market (ONOGM) 1005 108.23 (-0.28)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 44.84 (-0.16)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 2.03 (-0.01)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 182 41.47 (-0.55)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 25000 56.32 (-0.16)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 2.17 (-0.02)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 2.36 (-0.02)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 4 77.19 (-0.52)          Sing 3 (SING3) 15000 63.08 (-0.09)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 13000 180.63 (-0.75)          Ty Simpkins (TSIMP) 25000 70.92 (-0.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 12000 180.63 (-0.75)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 5000 231.89 (-0.15)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 50.09 (-2.77)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 25000 62.71 (-0.75)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 2000 81.18 (-0.86)