SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2363 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Slanted (SLANT) 150000 2.41 (+1.19)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Riders (RIDER) 59094 34.41 (-0.06)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 29999 42.80 (-0.07)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 30000 144.70 (-0.13)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 200 155.22 (-0.23)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 200 316.10 (+0.52)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 2.41 (+1.19)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 300 316.10 (+0.52)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 607 76.06 (+1.73)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 42492 27.29 (+0.10)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.81 (+0.71)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 100 172.90 (-0.04)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 70.78 (+0.25)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 30000 25.35 (-0.47)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 70.78 (+0.25)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 104189 27.29 (+0.10)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 63.96 (-0.82)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 63.96 (-0.82)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 10 16.86 (+1.11)          Gundam (GUNDM) 1 19.87 (-6.64)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10000 144.70 (-0.13)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 161.61 (+0.75)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 10000 80.79 (-0.27)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 10000 47.88 (+0.88)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 8000 1.07 (0.00)          GOAT (TGOAT) 10000 63.96 (-0.82)          Charlie Day (CDAY) 25000 86.90 (+1.00)          Brie Larson (BLARS) 25000 121.68 (-0.30)          GOAT (TGOAT) 1000 63.96 (-0.82)          Benny Safdie (BSAFD) 25000 83.55 (+0.28)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 180.77 (-0.17)          Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 25000 98.49 (+0.25)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 136.18 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 291.27 (-1.00)          Send Help - Opening Weekend (SENDH.OW) 100000 15.69 (+1.01)          Send Help - Opening Weekend (SENDH.OW) 100000 15.69 (+1.01)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 9000 4.00 (0.00)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 2.41 (+1.19)          Send Help (SENDH) 12 40.75 (+1.49)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 2000 76.06 (+1.73)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 2.41 (+1.19)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 3319 27.29 (+0.10)          Famous (FAMOS) 1000 11.60 (-0.68)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.81 (+0.71)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.81 (+0.71)          Will Ferrell (WFERR) 25000 107.71 (-1.00)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)