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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2316 views

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Peter Hujar's Day (HUJAR) 3301 0.26 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 20000 35.15 (+0.24)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 13.04 (+1.42)          King (KING) 149998 3.42 (+0.31)          Peter Hujar's Day (HUJAR) 399 0.26 (0.00)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 10000 28.40 (+0.38)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 3000 28.40 (+0.38)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 10 2.73 (-0.03)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 150000 2.73 (-0.03)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 10162 495.61 (+1.75)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 1 4.96 (+1.07)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 86 19.44 (-0.36)          Nouvelle Vague (NEWAV) 2096 0.06 (0.00)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 10000 4.96 (+1.07)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 15325 55.52 (-2.22)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 4000 74.95 (+0.39)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 10000 15.02 (+1.38)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 3000 35.15 (+0.24)          Nouvelle Vague (NEWAV) 5292 0.06 (0.00)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.96 (+1.07)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.96 (+1.07)          King (KING) 149999 3.42 (+0.31)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 150000 89.46 (-0.57)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 150000 89.46 (-0.57)          Hallow Road (HLWRD) 300 0.05 (-0.03)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 50000 74.95 (+0.39)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 30000 248.48 (-0.93)          All You Need Is Kill (AUNIK) 150000 4.47 (-0.27)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 150000 1.77 (-0.04)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 17.83 (-0.12)          King (KING) 150000 3.42 (+0.31)          All You Need Is Kill (AUNIK) 150000 4.47 (-0.27)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 17.83 (-0.12)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 149998 10.02 (-0.19)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 16.28 (-0.10)          Hallow Road (HLWRD) 399 0.05 (-0.03)          King (KING) 150000 3.42 (+0.31)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 16.28 (-0.10)          King (KING) 150000 3.42 (+0.31)          King (KING) 150000 3.42 (+0.31)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 6.01 (-0.03)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.25 (-0.08)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 14.25 (-0.08)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 19.67 (-0.14)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 19.67 (-0.14)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 149998 17.37 (+0.30)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 44.66 (-0.50)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 44.66 (-0.50)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 149999 17.37 (+0.30)          First Warrior (FWARR) 150000 4.34 (-0.02)