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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2441 views

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Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 20000 43.10 (+1.19)          Inground (NGRND) 105000 6.37 (-0.05)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 89.57 (+0.41)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 89.57 (+0.41)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 10000 10.93 (+0.12)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 52635 73.66 (+0.88)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 10000 43.10 (+1.19)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 138.36 (-1.17)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 164.58 (+0.94)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 149000 138.36 (-1.17)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.10 (+1.19)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 253.39 (+1.65)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 45.96 (+5.08)          Cold Storage (CLDST) 150000 2.17 (+0.07)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.62 (+0.13)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 228.83 (-0.49)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 29.64 (-2.87)          Home (HOME1) 150000 11.80 (-0.03)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 20000 29.64 (-2.87)          Home (HOME1) 150000 11.80 (-0.03)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 5.50 (0.00)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 4.59 (-0.06)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 45.07 (-0.30)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 20.69 (-0.01)          Border 2 (BORD2) 150000 3.39 (+0.14)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 8.22 (+0.43)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 27.63 (+0.10)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 39.99 (+0.45)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 42.12 (-2.09)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 8.33 (-0.18)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 16.10 (-0.11)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 24.49 (-0.06)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 150000 11.33 (+0.67)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 9.64 (+0.29)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 150000 18.48 (+0.76)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 9.64 (+0.29)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 150000 9.11 (-1.02)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 45.96 (+5.08)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 29.64 (-2.87)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 10000 65.05 (+0.32)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 5.72 (-0.38)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 74.72 (+0.34)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 5.72 (-0.38)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 30000 26.58 (+0.65)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 60000 45.96 (+5.08)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 $120M (5NAF2.BW) 8 7.58 (+0.06)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 149999 45.96 (+5.08)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 37.14 (-0.29)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 21.93 (-0.02)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 11.21 (+0.28)