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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3562 views

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Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 5545 2.50 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 2 64.09 (+3.20)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 149999 265.30 (+2.09)          Mahershala Ali (MALI) 25000 159.26 (+2.00)          Mahershala Ali (MALI) 25000 159.26 (+2.00)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 18.62 (+1.22)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 18.62 (+1.22)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 150000 9.64 (+2.54)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 149999 9.64 (+2.54)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 7.14 (+0.49)          Nasty (NASTY) 100000 18.00 (0.00)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 149999 7.14 (+0.49)          Pablo Schreiber (PSCHR) 25000 33.55 (-0.12)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 3.59 (+0.57)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 149999 3.59 (+0.57)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 4.26 (+0.16)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 4.18 (+0.13)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 50000 74.89 (-1.66)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 25000 46.91 (-1.25)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 100000 3.59 (+0.57)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 50000 3.59 (+0.57)          Charles Melton (CMELT) 25000 45.87 (-0.16)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 5000 147.62 (+0.74)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 10000 147.62 (+0.74)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 5000 39.07 (+1.69)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 10000 1.71 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 20000 11.43 (-0.79)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 16.77 (-0.41)          Spa Weekend - Opening Weekend (SPAWK.OW) 100000 5.16 (-0.50)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.43 (-0.79)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 16.77 (-0.41)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 11.43 (-0.79)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 16.78 (-1.05)          Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 20000 13.74 (-0.18)          Tony (TONY) 150000 20.71 (+0.37)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 16.78 (-1.05)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 24.60 (-0.16)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 24.60 (-0.16)          Coyote vs. ACME - Opening Weeken (CVACM.OW) 10000 17.17 (+0.64)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 50 1.91 (+0.01)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 6.52 (-0.19)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 6.52 (-0.19)          Nasty (NASTY) 75000 18.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 100000 74.89 (-1.66)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 8.14 (-0.23)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 74.89 (-1.66)          Jodie Foster (JFOST) 25000 13.36 (+1.43)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 8.14 (-0.23)