SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3898 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 30.23 (-1.62)          Once Upon a Time in the Middle E (OUATM) 50000 0.55 (-0.02)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (li (TMNT5) 2000 69.99 (+1.95)          Clay (CLAY) 1000 108.18 (+0.75)          Once Upon a Time in the Middle E (OUATM) 50000 0.55 (-0.02)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 1000 68.95 (+0.08)          Once Upon a Time in the Middle E (OUATM) 50000 0.55 (-0.02)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 1000 54.74 (+0.22)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 150000 2.59 (+2.20)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 150000 2.59 (+2.20)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 17.92 (-1.43)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 55.53 (-3.14)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 50000 17.92 (-1.43)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 60000 17.92 (-1.43)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 77.11 (-1.65)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 50000 55.53 (-3.14)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 3.00 (+0.20)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 50000 55.53 (-3.14)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 3.00 (+0.20)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 55.53 (-3.14)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 55.53 (-3.14)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 100000 9.95 (-0.04)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 149999 9.95 (-0.04)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 41.26 (+5.89)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 41.26 (+5.89)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 405 14.65 (+4.65)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 30000 18.09 (+1.52)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 149999 18.09 (+1.52)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 1 18.09 (+1.52)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 50000 18.09 (+1.52)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 15000 2.20 (+0.20)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 15000 2.20 (+0.20)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 2000 14.65 (+4.65)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 49.55 (-0.17)          Peaked (PEAKD) 2000 10.36 (-0.12)          Peaked (PEAKD) 2000 10.36 (-0.12)          Copperhead (COPRH) 2000 18.63 (+1.15)          Copperhead (COPRH) 2000 18.63 (+1.15)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 3490 14.65 (+4.65)          Wicker (WCKER) 149999 8.82 (+0.08)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 149999 4.48 (+0.31)          Musk (MUSK) 149999 3.34 (+0.57)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 149999 10.39 (+0.58)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 149999 8.56 (+0.95)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 149999 6.27 (+0.69)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 3.29 (+0.52)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 41.78 (+5.46)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 6.75 (+0.69)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 6.75 (+0.69)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 6.75 (+0.69)