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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3979 views

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The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 2000 5.43 (-0.01)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 1000 12.88 (-0.01)          Hourman (HRMAN) 2000 7.11 (-0.01)          The Freshening (FRSHN) 5000 2.18 (-0.01)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 2000 7.68 (-0.01)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 2000 5.78 (-0.02)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 71.49 (-1.76)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 141000 134.12 (+0.06)          White Elephant (WELEP) 1000 12.15 (-0.02)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Young People (TYPEP) 1000 11.11 (-0.02)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 1000 15.32 (-0.02)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 71.49 (-1.76)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 2000 9.94 (-0.02)          Sugar Bandits (SUGBN) 1000 14.14 (-0.02)          The Purge 6 (PURG6) 4000 3.79 (-0.02)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 18.60 (-0.42)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 20.24 (+0.04)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 65.22 (-1.10)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 120000 60.34 (+0.95)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 150000 15.61 (+1.31)          Metal Men (METAL) 3000 4.58 (-0.02)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 2000 9.70 (-0.02)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 1000 19.15 (-0.02)          Bratz (BRAT2) 1000 10.53 (-0.02)          Darren Aronofsky (DARON) 2000 54.37 (-0.16)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 1000 15.89 (-0.02)          Airman (AIRMA) 1000 15.97 (-0.02)          Darren Aronofsky (DARON) 10000 54.37 (-0.16)          The Pack (TPACK) 4000 3.57 (-0.03)          Them (THEM) 1000 28.60 (-0.03)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 3000 4.97 (-0.03)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 2000 9.88 (-0.03)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 150000 119.88 (+1.85)          High Side (HISID) 1000 22.82 (-0.04)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 5000 81.48 (-0.03)          Ally (ALLY) 1000 17.32 (-0.04)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 13000 81.48 (-0.03)          Jane (JANE1) 2000 9.26 (-0.05)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 30000 60.34 (+0.95)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 1000 16.54 (-0.06)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 71.49 (-1.76)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 1000 17.88 (-0.06)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 10000 131.85 (-0.33)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 1000 17.33 (-0.12)          Lice (LICE) 150000 3.06 (-0.08)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 3.44 (+0.06)