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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4091 views

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24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 88.70 (+2.90)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.23 (-0.77)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 28000 68.03 (-0.17)          Tangled (TANGL) 107 128.68 (-0.22)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 10000 122.54 (+0.06)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 150000 1.59 (-0.02)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 46375 39.19 (+0.06)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 116.81 (+0.06)          Oceans (OCEN5) 26416 77.39 (+0.03)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 150000 0.36 (-0.06)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 31000 4.40 (-0.10)          Ink (INK) 31000 6.60 (-0.02)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 12.65 (+0.10)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 5.13 (-0.14)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 100000 12.65 (+0.10)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 88.70 (+2.90)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 31000 2.74 (-0.02)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 150000 6.99 (0.00)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 4000 115.72 (-0.12)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 150000 0.21 (+0.02)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 7.83 (+0.02)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 150000 0.36 (-0.06)          Wildwood (WILDW) 22137 26.84 (+0.34)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 27000 34.00 (+0.09)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 50000 193.04 (-0.39)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 88.70 (+2.90)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 1.24 (-0.02)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 10.29 (+1.12)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.16 (+0.05)          Wicker (WCKER) 31000 9.14 (+0.05)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 6.20 (+0.05)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 10000 122.54 (+0.06)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 14.37 (-0.09)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 4000 217.78 (-0.01)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 3 48.67 (+0.05)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 5.13 (-0.14)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 3 7.37 (-0.02)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 100 1.90 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 3 6.20 (+0.05)          Clayface (CLAYF) 31000 58.34 (-0.82)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 3 3.86 (-0.01)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 80000 37.47 (+0.08)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 168.64 (-0.19)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 8.94 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 168.64 (-0.19)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 8.94 (-0.02)          Urban Legend (URBN3) 7 3.87 (+0.02)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 5 16.80 (+0.06)