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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4216 views

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Scapegoat (SCAPG) 1000 19.06 (-0.19)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 9.17 (+1.17)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 1000 25.26 (-0.06)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 2 9.17 (+1.17)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 50000 19.41 (-0.06)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 129850 30.00 (0.00)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 1000 81.69 (-0.43)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 1 108.57 (+3.03)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 100 169.97 (0.00)          Kit Connor (KICON) 15000 55.49 (-0.10)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 9.31 (-0.08)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 14.08 (-0.22)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 14.01 (+0.21)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 7.83 (+0.19)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Ben Wang (BWANG) 25000 38.11 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 119.44 (-3.43)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 150000 38.51 (+0.10)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 150000 38.51 (+0.10)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 14.75 (-0.12)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 14.75 (-0.12)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25000 41.85 (+0.16)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 76.69 (-3.76)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 7.33 (+1.44)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 149999 7.33 (+1.44)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 149999 94.64 (-2.67)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 94.64 (-2.67)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 50000 17.76 (-0.20)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 97.46 (-3.29)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 97.46 (-3.29)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 97.46 (-3.29)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 119.44 (-3.43)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 97.46 (-3.29)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 76.69 (-3.76)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 94.64 (-2.67)          The Road Home (TRDHM) 1 2.54 (-0.03)          The Road Home (TRDHM) 1 2.54 (-0.03)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 88.51 (+1.43)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 9.17 (+1.17)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 88.51 (+1.43)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 88.51 (+1.43)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 94.64 (-2.67)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 38.31 (+0.60)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 6.30 (+1.67)          Dear You (DEARU) 150000 1.24 (+0.03)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.94 (+0.34)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 70000 97.46 (-3.29)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 10 97.46 (-3.29)