SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3673 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.90 (+2.20)          Abby Ryder Fortson (ARFOR) 25000 66.29 (-0.75)          Abby Ryder Fortson (ARFOR) 25000 66.29 (-0.75)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 238.84 (+1.50)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 150000 0.54 (+0.26)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 238.84 (+1.50)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 1 6.05 (+0.21)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 66.13 (-1.00)          Summoner (SMONR) 1 17.76 (-0.14)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 66.13 (-1.00)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 1 7.72 (-0.26)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 1 35.01 (-0.37)          Stages (STGES) 1 8.71 (-0.01)          Aaron Pierre (APIER) 25000 139.98 (-0.66)          Aaron Pierre (APIER) 25000 139.98 (-0.66)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 1 20.45 (+0.94)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 56.54 (+2.12)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 56.54 (+2.12)          Love of Your Life (LOYLF) 150000 3.63 (+0.07)          Love of Your Life (LOYLF) 150000 3.63 (+0.07)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 1 112.83 (-4.67)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 187.91 (-2.58)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 187.91 (-2.58)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 7.67 (+0.55)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 81.69 (-5.11)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 81.69 (-5.11)          Starman (STARM) 50000 16.94 (+4.94)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 149999 56.54 (+2.12)          Runner (RUNNR) 149999 15.97 (+1.22)          Ghost Market (ONOGM) 30000 108.74 (+0.81)          Starman (STARM) 150000 16.94 (+4.94)          Starman (STARM) 150000 16.94 (+4.94)          Starman (STARM) 150000 16.94 (+4.94)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 149999 29.80 (-0.09)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 149997 3.91 (-0.09)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 149997 1.75 (-0.25)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 19783 47.46 (+0.13)          Starman (STARM) 20000 16.94 (+4.94)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 50000 78.33 (+0.76)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.90 (+2.20)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.90 (+2.20)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 149999 33.39 (-0.25)          Starman (STARM) 150000 16.94 (+4.94)          Starman (STARM) 150000 16.94 (+4.94)          Jacki Weaver (JWEAV) 25000 16.51 (+0.20)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.90 (+2.20)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.90 (+2.20)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 112.83 (-4.67)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 112.83 (-4.67)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 7.67 (+0.55)