SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3894 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 39.86 (+3.54)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 18.87 (+2.47)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 116.01 (-0.24)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.32 (+2.32)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 17.84 (+1.27)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 16.42 (+0.60)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.55 (+0.19)          Jacob Tremblay (JTREM) 1 55.61 (0.00)          The Exiles (EXILE) 150000 1.79 (-0.16)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 6.47 (+0.89)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 34.26 (-0.03)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 67.24 (+0.23)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 24.89 (+0.36)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 67746 204.35 (+1.65)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.32 (+2.32)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 50000 17.84 (+1.27)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 116062 119.53 (+0.36)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 28.07 (-0.79)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 150000 337.87 (-0.35)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 100000 17.84 (+1.27)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 145000 264.56 (+0.59)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 35.58 (0.00)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 9.01 (+0.01)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 47.32 (+0.16)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.32 (+2.32)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 283.47 (+0.65)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 150000 50.03 (+0.14)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 108.31 (-0.11)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 49999 183.78 (+0.30)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 2500 72.03 (+0.24)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 149.42 (+0.54)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 50000 21.37 (-0.18)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 18.87 (+2.47)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 2500 54.18 (+0.34)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 56.37 (-2.30)          Queen of Bones (QUBON) 149999 0.01 (0.00)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 56.37 (-2.30)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.32 (+2.32)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 38.00 (+2.63)          Perfect (PFECT) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Menace (MENAC) 149999 0.02 (0.00)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 120 21.21 (-0.02)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 150000 163.10 (+0.44)          Here Comes the Flood (HCTFL) 149999 0.02 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 98.65 (+0.25)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 149999 169.03 (+0.40)          Can I Get a Witness (CIGAW) 149999 0.02 (-0.02)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 27.27 (+0.14)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 72.09 (+0.50)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 9.40 (+0.02)