SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3527 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 25000 83.26 (0.00)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 25000 83.26 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 75000 78.95 (+6.29)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 74.96 (+0.79)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 4.65 (+0.22)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.11 (-0.60)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 6.17 (+1.17)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 8500 519.43 (+1.40)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 25000 65.42 (0.00)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 4250 581.92 (+2.39)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 2500 581.92 (+2.39)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 6.17 (+1.17)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 7500 256.97 (+0.75)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.82 (-0.32)          Them (THEM) 150000 31.19 (-0.15)          The Cure (TCURE) 150000 0.01 (-0.51)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 72 110.84 (-0.23)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 45250 20.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 11.99 (-0.79)          Donkey (DONKE) 795 139.02 (+1.20)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 1000 20.00 (0.00)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 150000 33.19 (+0.13)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 5000 6.17 (+1.17)          The Partner (PRTNR) 123999 42.64 (+2.53)          Madden (MADEN) 13 2.89 (-0.05)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 65576 78.95 (+6.29)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 40000 124.63 (+0.53)          Nickels (NCKEL) 150000 0.56 (-0.04)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 1000 18.54 (+0.08)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 30000 122.09 (+0.71)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 18000 103.74 (+0.74)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 500 19.99 (-0.01)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 500 19.32 (-0.02)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 85000 167.40 (-0.56)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 103.74 (+0.74)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.11 (-0.60)          The Cure (TCURE) 150000 0.01 (-0.51)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 33.58 (+0.38)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 100 33.19 (+0.13)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 30 20.00 (0.00)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 500 19.74 (+0.05)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 35.96 (-0.09)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 100 78.26 (+0.12)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 10000 20.00 (0.00)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 58.65 (+0.20)