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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3684 views

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Donkey (DONKE) 150000 152.32 (+1.18)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 10000 634.12 (-0.03)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 108.97 (+1.20)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 32.35 (-5.57)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 181.92 (-1.70)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 75000 41.78 (-3.17)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 20.41 (+0.16)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 50000 108.97 (+1.20)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 90.86 (+2.79)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 90.86 (+2.79)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 15.49 (-0.33)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 112.23 (-0.51)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 1460 41.78 (-3.17)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 10099 40.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 20000 94.25 (-0.61)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.24)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 1 2.42 (-0.06)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 1 1.95 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 3.60 (+0.33)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.24)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 150000 2.05 (-0.04)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 73894 186.87 (+0.41)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 33.28 (+1.19)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 33.28 (+1.19)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 3.60 (+0.33)          Haunted Heist (HAUHS) 150000 0.48 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 48.41 (+0.67)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 3.03 (+0.12)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 1.12 (-0.04)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 8.58 (-0.17)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 100000 5.88 (+0.12)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.66 (+0.02)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 40000 1.71 (-0.01)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 0.92 (-0.06)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 10000 1.71 (-0.01)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 10000 10.29 (-0.26)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 8.93 (-0.14)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 10000 10.29 (-0.26)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 90.86 (+2.79)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.52 (-1.92)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 0.90 (+0.02)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 1000 23.64 (-0.88)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 1000 23.64 (-0.88)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 25000 90.86 (+2.79)          Fjord (FJORD) 20000 7.65 (+0.03)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 110.36 (+1.03)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 16.02 (+1.44)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 89035 40.00 (0.00)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 10.47 (-0.06)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 41.78 (-3.17)