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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2294 views

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Reenactment (RNACT) 9905 6.00 (0.00)          Fast Forever aka Fast X Part 2 (FAF11) 5000 114.06 (-0.07)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 10000 45.47 (-0.11)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 1000 102.38 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1000 239.95 (+0.58)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 10000 2.16 (0.00)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 1.69 (-0.09)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Rachel McAdams (RMCAD) 25000 92.41 (-0.25)          Rachel McAdams (RMCAD) 25000 92.41 (-0.25)          Simon Pegg (SPEGG) 10000 136.51 (+0.20)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 107.67 (-0.66)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 107.67 (-0.66)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 57.73 (+1.88)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 57.73 (+1.88)          Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 25000 63.84 (+0.25)          Aaron Pierre (APIER) 25000 104.33 (0.00)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Midnight (MDNIT) 1 4.30 (+0.01)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 140000 46.54 (+0.46)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 47.33 (-0.16)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 47.33 (-0.16)          GOAT (TGOAT) 50000 63.10 (-0.70)          GOAT (TGOAT) 80000 63.10 (-0.70)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 11.40 (+0.10)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.73 (+0.10)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.72 (+0.65)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.72 (+0.65)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 13.35 (+5.07)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 10000 46.54 (+0.46)          The Weight (THEWT) 1000 4.19 (+0.04)          Send Help - Opening Weekend (SENDH.OW) 100000 13.72 (-1.28)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 140000 46.54 (+0.46)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5 267.24 (+1.13)          Malcolm D. Lee (MDLEE) 25000 59.74 (0.00)          Justin Long (JLONG) 25000 35.60 (-0.13)          Send Help H$15 Put (SENDH.PU) 25000 2.43 (+0.43)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 5000 7.60 (-0.07)          Send Help H$15 Call (SENDH.CA) 25000 1.33 (-0.67)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 50 122.62 (-1.02)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.72 (+0.65)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.72 (+0.65)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 10000 4.34 (-0.23)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 6.24 (+0.69)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.72 (+0.65)