SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3811 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 4.20 (+0.10)          Sniff (SNIFF) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Barbie Ferreira (BFERR) 25000 34.37 (-0.12)          Ashley Greene (AGREE) 25000 57.70 (-0.16)          Arnold Schwarzenegger (ASCHW) 25000 52.42 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 53.07 (+1.52)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 25000 119.45 (+0.66)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Queen of Bones (QUBON) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 98.27 (+8.27)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 25000 119.45 (+0.66)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 25000 119.45 (+0.66)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.01 (-3.06)          Andy Garcia (AGARC) 25000 64.55 (-0.25)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.01 (-3.06)          Amy Ryan (AMRYA) 25000 19.02 (-0.10)          Latchkey Kids (LTCHK) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Ali Fazal (AFAZA) 25000 57.59 (-0.16)          Alexandra Daddario (ADADD) 25000 61.36 (-0.25)          Alexander Payne (ALPAY) 25000 25.45 (-0.12)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 1000 62.09 (-2.27)          Al Pacino (APACI) 25000 38.47 (0.00)          Girl (GIRL) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Adam Scott (ASCOT) 25000 25.95 (+0.13)          Fever (PEGLE) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Brightwater (BRTWT) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Being Mortal (BMRTL) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 24.06 (-0.12)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.50 (+0.59)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 150000 0.36 (-0.01)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 24.06 (-0.12)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 150000 0.07 (-0.06)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 54.96 (+0.63)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 39.18 (+1.39)          Buddy (BUDDY) 89900 22.59 (+1.61)          Musk (MUSK) 150000 2.52 (+0.01)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 53.07 (+1.52)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 90000 79.01 (-3.06)          Clay (CLAY) 60000 98.27 (+8.27)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 8.69 (-0.91)          Jane Fonda (JFOND) 25000 16.29 (-0.10)          Jane Fonda (JFOND) 25000 16.29 (-0.10)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Ezra Miller (EMILL) 25000 110.27 (+0.66)          Ezra Miller (EMILL) 25000 110.27 (+0.66)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.01 (-3.06)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.01 (-3.06)