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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4340 views

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How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 40 19.82 (-0.49)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 300 35.44 (+0.33)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 18.41 (-0.05)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 1000 195.70 (+0.33)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 55543 11.96 (+1.73)          Starman (STARM) 149999 10.57 (+0.07)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 149999 186.32 (+0.66)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 7.26 (+0.99)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 279.44 (+0.99)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 149999 64.37 (+0.64)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 149999 45.21 (-0.22)          Hollow (HOLOW) 150000 52.21 (+2.21)          Preppy (PREPY) 25000 7.26 (+0.99)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 1613 11.96 (+1.73)          Hollow (HOLOW) 150000 52.21 (+2.21)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 140000 46.79 (+0.14)          Wet (WET) 25000 9.67 (-0.79)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 25000 12.53 (-1.40)          Hollow (HOLOW) 150000 52.21 (+2.21)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 149999 265.51 (-0.89)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.03)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 81.81 (-0.95)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 149999 167.21 (-0.81)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 150000 36.29 (+0.30)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 7.61 (+0.01)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 149999 110.29 (-0.66)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 150000 12.53 (-1.40)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 149999 64.45 (+0.19)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 50000 5.41 (+0.02)          Clayface (CLAYF) 25000 63.08 (+0.02)          Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 149999 0.61 (+0.07)          Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 149999 0.61 (+0.07)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1 5.11 (+0.03)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 50000 35.44 (+0.33)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.03)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 80321 36.29 (+0.30)          Wet (WET) 150000 9.67 (-0.79)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.37 (-0.21)          Wet (WET) 150000 9.67 (-0.79)          Wet (WET) 150000 9.67 (-0.79)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.24 (-0.84)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 18.87 (-0.52)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 1 22.25 (+0.03)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 22.25 (+0.03)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 149999 68.40 (-0.91)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 19.82 (-0.49)          Hollow (HOLOW) 100000 52.21 (+2.21)          Babies (BBIES) 50000 17.22 (+0.06)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 4572 116.48 (+0.44)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.37 (-0.21)