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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2551 views

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Hoppers (HOPPR) 4000 141.58 (-1.26)          When We Pray (WPRAY) 149999 0.01 (-0.01)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 5000 103.02 (+0.79)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 4000 120.32 (+0.82)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 4000 141.58 (-1.26)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 2000 122.62 (-0.22)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 3999 238.54 (-0.13)          Love Language (LVLNG) 25 2.60 (+0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 58965 150.63 (+1.31)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 6.49 (+1.49)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 66.51 (-0.05)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 15.26 (+0.75)          Sonequa Martin-Green (SMGRE) 25000 22.15 (0.00)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 10.00 (0.00)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 500 11.16 (+1.14)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 22.90 (-0.84)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 73.11 (+4.57)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 22.90 (-0.84)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 1 73.11 (+4.57)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 6.49 (+1.49)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 1.63 (-0.06)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 149994 15.26 (+0.75)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 1.63 (-0.06)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 149993 15.26 (+0.75)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.42 (-0.08)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 4605 48.86 (+0.24)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.42 (-0.08)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 1000 16.82 (+0.51)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 29198 13.22 (-0.86)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 2.82 (+0.01)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 2.82 (+0.01)          Danny Ramirez (DARAM) 25000 128.20 (+0.33)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 4.47 (-0.17)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 4.47 (-0.17)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 2.78 (-0.06)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 2.78 (-0.06)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 106763 426.26 (+0.87)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 150000 103.02 (+0.79)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 24999 4.00 (+0.01)          Moana (MOAN1) 140000 222.71 (+0.33)          Backrooms (BACRM) 4354 32.38 (+0.26)          Backrooms (BACRM) 302 32.38 (+0.26)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 999 229.73 (0.00)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 35.63 (+1.35)          Luis Guzman (LGUZM) 4500 31.97 (+0.23)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 5000 1.54 (-0.16)