SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3248 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 1 60.70 (-1.27)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 60.70 (-1.27)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 93163 77.17 (+0.16)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 11.90 (+0.14)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 19.64 (+0.41)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 196.51 (-17.37)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 16.86 (+0.42)          Clayface (CLAYF) 5000 80.98 (+0.21)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 25000 26.10 (+1.10)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 8.48 (+0.14)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 58947 34.52 (-0.81)          The Land of Sometimes (LSMTM) 284 2.19 (-0.01)          Evil Dead Burn - Opening Weekend (EVLD6.OW) 1795 25.04 (+0.47)          Evil Dead Burn - Opening Weekend (EVLD6.OW) 3348 25.04 (+0.47)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 24864 1.56 (-0.14)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 123 442.66 (+0.83)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 150000 0.13 (-0.01)          And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 97803 0.13 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 12.10 (+0.57)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 16.86 (+0.42)          Moana (MOAN1) 23206 217.61 (-2.28)          Clifford the Big Red Dog 2 (CTBR2) 34 0.79 (-0.01)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 118.50 (+1.01)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 4.20 (+0.40)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 520 6.83 (+0.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 318.03 (-1.55)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 318.03 (-1.55)          Not Alone (NTALN) 25000 90.92 (+3.75)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 136 1.56 (-0.14)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 34.15 (+4.33)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 34.15 (+4.33)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 49998 90.22 (+3.56)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 49998 90.22 (+3.56)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 50000 60.70 (-1.27)          Moana (MOAN1) 1370 217.61 (-2.28)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 50000 2.59 (+0.02)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 90000 2.59 (+0.02)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 26.10 (+1.10)          Justice (JUSTC) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Just Cause (JCAUS) 150000 0.09 (+0.02)          Harbinger (HARBN) 150000 0.10 (+0.04)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10000 402.46 (-3.70)          Gonzo Girl (GONZG) 150000 0.07 (+0.02)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10236 36.60 (+0.06)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 67810 243.65 (+0.42)          Brian De Palma (BDEPA) 12818 13.31 (-0.05)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 5.12 (+0.67)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 5.12 (+0.67)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 149999 75.22 (+0.15)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 5.12 (+0.67)