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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3149 views

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Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 1 272.72 (-0.25)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 100 42.47 (-0.28)          Goblin (GBLIN) 2000 21.60 (-0.81)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 429.54 (-0.86)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 429.54 (-0.86)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 5000 132.33 (-0.73)          Above The Below (ABELW) 149999 7.34 (+0.47)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 75000 8.46 (+0.55)          White Elephant (WELEP) 75000 14.21 (+0.75)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 75000 14.43 (+0.79)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 149999 7.84 (-0.12)          Lice (LICE) 149999 5.92 (-0.22)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 149999 6.71 (-0.28)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 149999 8.81 (-0.11)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149999 13.85 (-0.07)          Buddy (BUDDY) 149999 8.17 (-0.04)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 149999 6.19 (+0.54)          Isabel May (IMAY) 41 38.12 (0.00)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 20112 56.75 (+0.30)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 500 256.57 (+0.78)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 50 256.57 (+0.78)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 6270 6.19 (+0.54)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 20229 20.04 (-0.10)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 21 32.86 (0.00)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 20229 141.95 (-0.26)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.97 (+0.03)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 20311 20.39 (-0.10)          Helldivers (HELDV) 1500 100.72 (-0.11)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 100000 2.30 (0.00)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 890 15.70 (-0.02)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 4750 17.78 (+0.02)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 5545 20.56 (+0.48)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 86000 9.72 (+0.02)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 339 46.69 (0.00)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 120298 5.24 (+0.50)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 3289 97.10 (-0.03)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 149999 8.46 (+0.55)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.46 (+0.55)          Goblin (GBLIN) 149999 21.60 (-0.81)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 149999 5.24 (+0.50)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 5.24 (+0.50)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 85800 7.17 (+0.03)          Play Dead (PLAYD) 121000 4.32 (+0.05)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 34000 18.47 (+0.75)          Will Forte (WFORT) 20229 12.59 (+0.27)          Will Forte (WFORT) 20144 12.59 (+0.27)          Above The Below (ABELW) 149999 7.34 (+0.47)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.34 (+0.47)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 149999 6.19 (+0.54)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.19 (+0.54)