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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2988 views

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Thumb (THUM) 149999 4.87 (+0.55)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 75000 13.11 (+0.67)          Helldivers (HELDV) 10000 105.39 (+0.81)          Primetime (PRMTM) 20000 21.47 (-0.74)          Will Forte (WFORT) 25000 17.74 (-0.10)          Astaire (ASTAI) 25000 7.08 (-0.72)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 13.11 (+0.67)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 10000 36.22 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 149999 45.90 (-0.35)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.25 (-0.34)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 28.55 (+0.10)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 149999 13.70 (+0.60)          Voltron (VOLTN) 50000 20.99 (+0.02)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 21.47 (-0.74)          Primetime (PRMTM) 149999 21.47 (-0.74)          Peddi (PEDDI) 149999 3.46 (-0.06)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 21.47 (-0.74)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 25000 24.64 (-0.01)          Colony (CLONY) 15210 2.12 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 10000 3.25 (-0.34)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 31.61 (+0.20)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 150000 0.95 (-0.05)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 13.11 (+0.67)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 6902 2.17 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.70 (+0.60)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.70 (+0.60)          Cosmo Jarvis (CJARV) 1000 15.28 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 31.13 (-0.06)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 1.94 (-0.02)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 19.67 (+0.10)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 4.76 (+0.03)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 2.09 (-0.02)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 100000 19.67 (+0.10)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 100000 13.11 (+0.67)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 31.90 (+0.47)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 5475 2.17 (0.00)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 150000 0.58 (-0.04)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 150000 0.58 (-0.04)          The Passenger aka Zealot (ZELOT) 150000 1.33 (-0.08)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 18.04 (-0.10)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 19.67 (+0.10)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 10000 47.20 (-0.15)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 117.17 (+0.19)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 50000 31.61 (+0.20)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 13.11 (+0.67)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 150000 0.95 (-0.05)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 31.90 (+0.47)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 170.31 (-0.22)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 31.90 (+0.47)          Primetime (PRMTM) 50000 21.47 (-0.74)