SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3735 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Starman (STARM) 150000 14.18 (-0.39)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.63 (+0.62)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.31 (-0.26)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.31 (-0.26)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 21.34 (-0.25)          Starman (STARM) 100000 14.18 (-0.39)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 5.90 (-0.10)          Still Life (STILF) 16000 5.90 (-0.10)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 2500 43.91 (+0.03)          Seasons (SEASN) 5000 21.34 (-0.25)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 2000 48.07 (0.00)          Ashes (ASHS) 150000 0.93 (-0.07)          Ashes (ASHS) 150000 0.93 (-0.07)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.31 (-0.26)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.31 (-0.26)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 6000 17.09 (-0.29)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 21.34 (-0.25)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 150000 17.09 (-0.29)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 150000 17.09 (-0.29)          Starman (STARM) 150000 14.18 (-0.39)          Starman (STARM) 150000 14.18 (-0.39)          Starman (STARM) 7000 14.18 (-0.39)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 3000 37.39 (+0.20)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 1.72 (-0.02)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 20000 5.09 (-0.07)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (UEFDD) 150000 73.09 (+0.50)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (UEFDD) 150000 73.09 (+0.50)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 4.83 (+0.06)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 25000 4.04 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 4.83 (+0.06)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 37.39 (+0.20)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 21.26 (+0.02)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 37.39 (+0.20)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 0.97 (-0.04)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 0.97 (-0.04)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 5000 20.70 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 20000 11.35 (+0.05)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 2000 114.57 (0.00)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 5.90 (-0.10)          Ashes (ASHS) 150000 0.93 (-0.07)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 14000 6.63 (+0.62)          Resident Evil H$40 Put (RESE8.PU) 25000 1.23 (0.00)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 43.91 (+0.03)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 2.95 (+0.01)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 149999 0.81 (0.00)          It's My Time (ITSMT) 149999 1.71 (0.00)          Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 25000 53.30 (+0.33)          Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 25000 53.30 (+0.33)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 14000 7.70 (0.00)          Still Life (STILF) 149999 5.90 (-0.10)