SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2949 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 9.76 (+2.47)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 20000 8.04 (+0.02)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 9.76 (+2.47)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 3000 68.59 (+0.80)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 9.76 (+2.47)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 9.76 (+2.47)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 6000 68.59 (+0.80)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 90000 9.76 (+2.47)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 6000 68.59 (+0.80)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 996 68.59 (+0.80)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 3500 4.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 10000 188.22 (-3.08)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 765 256.21 (-0.25)          The Get Out aka Bear Country (BEARC) 140000 8.62 (-0.72)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 486 238.63 (-0.32)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 10000 8.04 (+0.02)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 9.76 (+2.47)          Grendel (GREND) 1000 10.48 (-0.07)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 3.46 (+0.45)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 3.46 (+0.45)          Grendel (GREND) 1000 10.48 (-0.07)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 10000 9.76 (+2.47)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 1.96 (+0.10)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 3.46 (+0.45)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 48.82 (+0.97)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 95 3.42 (+0.79)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 48.82 (+0.97)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 24.34 (+1.57)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 5000 8.04 (+0.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.24 (+1.97)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 9.76 (+2.47)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 3.42 (+0.79)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 25000 55.67 (-1.03)          Obsession (OBSSN) 28622 85.91 (+4.96)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 25000 23.25 (-0.50)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 149865 135.24 (+1.97)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 59.54 (+1.18)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 136672 135.24 (+1.97)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 308 188.22 (-3.08)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 102.21 (+12.66)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 83 80.75 (-0.83)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 142 85.39 (-1.17)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.40 (-0.52)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.40 (-0.52)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 4.00 (0.00)