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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3509 views

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The Jetsons (JETSN) 60000 65.28 (+0.52)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.43 (+0.86)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 37500 37.27 (-0.05)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.53 (-0.47)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 150000 188.85 (+0.89)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 60000 33.96 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 261.08 (+0.50)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 17.78 (-0.47)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.59 (-0.83)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 37500 37.21 (-0.93)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 11.45 (+0.95)          One Night Only (ONTON) 17500 17.78 (-0.47)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 25000 5.49 (-0.51)          Drifter (DRFTR) 25000 3.65 (-0.56)          Company (COMPN) 25000 8.38 (-0.57)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 20000 15.59 (-0.83)          Mutiny - Opening Weekend (MUTNY.OW) 34975 10.18 (-0.14)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1000 37.21 (-0.93)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 25000 516.06 (+0.13)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 83349 450.42 (-0.27)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 149999 32.38 (-1.40)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 149999 2.44 (+0.06)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 149999 2.44 (+0.06)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 149999 35.75 (+0.10)          One Night Only (ONTON) 75000 17.78 (-0.47)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 59959 450.42 (-0.27)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 149999 450.42 (-0.27)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 12500 87.37 (+0.57)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.38 (-0.57)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 150000 111.98 (+0.61)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.38 (-0.57)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 6.64 (+0.50)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 6.64 (+0.50)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 27.52 (+1.84)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.20 (+0.10)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.20 (+0.10)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 7.04 (+0.47)          Tony (TONY) 150000 14.84 (+1.14)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 80000 706.03 (+1.98)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 7.04 (+0.47)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 7.04 (+0.47)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 1.81 (-0.27)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 1.81 (-0.27)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 43.01 (+0.07)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 25.02 (+1.21)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 25.02 (+1.21)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 40.74 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.59 (-0.83)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.59 (-0.83)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.53 (-0.47)