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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2242 views

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The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 404 39.21 (+0.03)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1 59.65 (+0.08)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.44 (+1.08)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 7369 304.19 (+1.38)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 149428 8.00 (+0.03)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1 59.65 (+0.08)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 104.97 (+0.22)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 1 489.70 (0.00)          David (DAVID) 150000 77.26 (+0.16)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 1 26.42 (+0.10)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 5 60.64 (0.00)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 6 5.50 (-0.01)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 361.02 (+0.24)          Union County (UNINC) 10000 1.83 (-0.04)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 572 8.00 (+0.03)          The Weight (THEWT) 30000 4.23 (+0.36)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5 253.50 (+0.75)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 142631 304.19 (+1.38)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 149999 59.65 (+0.08)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 10000 8.22 (+0.55)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 149999 26.42 (+0.10)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 5 167.90 (-0.11)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1000 227.48 (0.00)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 5000 38.28 (+0.03)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 304.19 (+1.38)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 23715 261.11 (-1.02)          Union County (UNINC) 150000 1.83 (-0.04)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 2500 59.65 (+0.08)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 4.23 (+0.36)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 4.23 (+0.36)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 6.29 (+0.75)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 6.29 (+0.75)          Dhurandhar 2 (DHUR2) 150000 13.07 (-0.31)          Dhurandhar 2 (DHUR2) 150000 13.07 (-0.31)          Cry to Heaven (CRYTH) 150000 14.67 (+0.89)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.44 (+1.08)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 61.00 (-0.15)          Babies (BBIES) 100000 16.81 (-0.37)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 4.23 (+0.36)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 261.11 (-1.02)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 150000 8.22 (+0.55)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 150000 2.00 (+0.02)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 1.68 (+0.07)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 150000 8.22 (+0.55)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 50000 8.00 (+0.03)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 69.51 (+0.25)          Highlander (HIGHL) 149999 35.55 (-0.13)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.44 (+1.08)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 62.03 (+0.09)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 4.23 (+0.36)