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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3726 views

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Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 32.75 (-2.46)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 32.75 (-2.46)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 50000 49.10 (+2.79)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 50000 49.10 (+2.79)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100 8.03 (-0.11)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 100 0.52 (-0.07)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 50000 26.43 (-0.92)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 100 0.62 (-0.12)          George MacKay (GMACK) 25000 14.60 (-0.70)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 25000 22.45 (-0.13)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100 8.03 (-0.11)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 100 0.52 (-0.07)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 10.79 (+0.38)          Hope (HOPE) 120231 8.79 (+0.19)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25000 37.80 (-0.12)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25000 37.80 (-0.12)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 100 0.62 (-0.12)          Jay Chandrasekhar (JYCHA) 25000 11.11 (+0.90)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 73.84 (-3.40)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 94.69 (+1.43)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 6.17 (-1.20)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 20175 7.39 (-0.17)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 32.75 (-2.46)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          It's My Time (ITSMT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.26 (-1.22)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 32.75 (-2.46)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          It's My Time (ITSMT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 32.75 (-2.46)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 0.08 (-0.06)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 8.79 (+0.19)          Ice Fall (ICFAL) 150000 1.16 (-0.15)          Ice Fall (ICFAL) 150000 1.16 (-0.15)          It's My Time (ITSMT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 0.59 (-0.03)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 60.35 (-1.19)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 12.30 (+0.65)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 16.02 (-0.59)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 2936 342.18 (-0.11)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 105379 7.53 (+0.53)          Ice Fall (ICFAL) 150000 1.16 (-0.15)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.99 (+0.07)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.99 (+0.07)          Zach Braff (ZBRAF) 25000 24.80 (-1.12)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 3.23 (-0.29)