SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3523 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 1 156.20 (-0.21)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 97.60 (-0.34)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 7.81 (-0.19)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 9000 156.20 (-0.21)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 7.81 (-0.19)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 1003 111.07 (-0.03)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 24543 71.95 (+10.93)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 50000 268.82 (+1.99)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 50000 268.82 (+1.99)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 1 141.80 (+0.06)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 10000 36.50 (+0.04)          Tangled (TANGL) 50000 109.80 (+0.48)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 6.26 (+0.01)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 10 412.24 (-1.15)          Subversion (SUBVS) 50000 20.23 (-0.14)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 105.61 (+0.04)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 1000 105.61 (+0.04)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 2 167.96 (+0.07)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 71.95 (+10.93)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 13000 167.96 (+0.07)          Above The Below (ABELW) 20000 6.52 (+0.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 268.82 (+1.99)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.75 (-0.05)          White Lies (WHTLI) 20000 13.05 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 1002 251.82 (-0.96)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1000 231.92 (-0.85)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 31217 71.95 (+10.93)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1000 231.92 (-0.85)          Possession (PSESN) 40000 32.88 (-0.07)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 15.28 (-0.09)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 150000 4.19 (+0.60)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 39000 13.84 (+0.01)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 6 180.45 (+0.02)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 1000 180.45 (+0.02)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 150000 12.42 (+0.72)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 15000 187.99 (+2.32)          King Snake (KSNAK) 19000 13.05 (-0.09)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35000 187.99 (+2.32)          Buds (BUDS) 17000 35.63 (-0.14)          Tony (TONY) 25000 18.69 (+0.76)          Buds (BUDS) 17000 35.63 (-0.14)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.52 (-0.36)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 1000 97.99 (-0.11)          Not Alone (NTALN) 4 118.79 (+0.39)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 1 137.92 (+1.84)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 40.14 (-6.23)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 1000 113.96 (+0.21)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 3 43.32 (+0.05)