SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3214 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Teller (TELER) 100000 7.61 (-0.39)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 777 45.23 (+0.83)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 290.72 (-5.96)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 3.15 (-0.03)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.39 (+0.39)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 115.87 (+0.87)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 92.71 (-0.30)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 3.44 (+0.10)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 67.85 (+0.50)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 149999 54.10 (-2.37)          Werwulf (WERWU) 110555 76.75 (-0.18)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 60000 78.04 (0.00)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 24999 38.53 (-0.01)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 24999 54.88 (+0.16)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 24999 58.23 (+0.33)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 38.07 (+0.25)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 38.07 (+0.25)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.68 (+0.12)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 290.72 (-5.96)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 100 116.16 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.68 (+0.12)          Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 24999 24.20 (-0.12)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 54.10 (-2.37)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 10000 41.57 (+0.06)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 54.10 (-2.37)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 60 116.16 (0.00)          Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 24999 80.52 (-0.24)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 135000 290.72 (-5.96)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 24999 142.14 (-0.33)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 24999 39.91 (+0.24)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 24999 80.32 (-0.29)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 5000 80.32 (-0.29)          Jonah Hauer-King (JHAUE) 24999 64.92 (-0.24)          Being Mortal (BMRTL) 150000 0.05 (-0.01)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 24999 9.55 (+0.01)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 290.72 (-5.96)          Hugh Bonneville (HBONN) 24999 26.87 (-0.12)          Tina Fey (TFEY) 25000 44.92 (+0.33)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 290.72 (-5.96)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 24999 84.54 (-0.24)          Tina Fey (TFEY) 25000 44.92 (+0.33)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 36.83 (+2.34)          Kelly Marie Tran (KMTRA) 24999 102.10 (-0.66)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 290.72 (-5.96)          John Slattery (JSLAT) 24999 59.11 (-0.16)          Being Mortal (BMRTL) 150000 0.05 (-0.01)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 24999 86.33 (-0.24)          Joe Taslim (JTASL) 25000 104.32 (+0.33)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.35 (-0.27)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.35 (-0.27)