SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4025 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 8.34 (-0.46)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 8.34 (-0.46)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 3 420.30 (+1.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 2 98.46 (-0.25)          The Rule of Three (RULO3) 150000 15.15 (-1.15)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 2 98.65 (-0.08)          The Rule of Three (RULO3) 150000 15.15 (-1.15)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 150000 13.18 (-1.57)          Donkey (DONKE) 1 156.48 (-0.11)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 150000 13.18 (-1.57)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 31000 4.99 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 703 114.29 (-0.11)          The Night House (NITHS) 149999 9.88 (+0.67)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 9.88 (+0.67)          Clayface (CLAYF) 1 58.07 (-0.07)          Clayface (CLAYF) 1 58.07 (-0.07)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 4000 9.59 (+0.08)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 85291 2.72 (-0.15)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 2000 1.66 (0.00)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 10000 3.96 (0.00)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 1000 2.62 (0.00)          Crawlers (CRWLR) 5000 5.00 (0.00)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 4000 2.69 (-0.01)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 54.49 (+2.92)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 54.49 (+2.92)          Madelyn Cline (MCLIN) 15000 17.08 (+0.06)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 75000 22.78 (+0.03)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 5000 41.78 (+0.05)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 5000 25.84 (-0.03)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 130.03 (-0.33)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 25000 10.54 (-0.49)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 200 6.87 (-0.08)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 20000 13.18 (-1.57)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 100 2.69 (-0.01)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 15000 54.49 (+2.92)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 100000 1.89 (-0.01)          Jane Levy (JLEVY) 25000 16.45 (-0.09)          Lil Rel Howery (LRHOW) 15000 35.14 (+0.12)          Austin Abrams (AABRA) 15000 69.30 (+0.25)          Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 15000 51.20 (+0.26)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25000 35.64 (-0.24)          Issa Rae (IRAE) 25000 158.21 (-0.50)          Pamela Anderson (PALEE) 25000 29.66 (-0.24)          50 Cent Curtis Jackson (50CEN) 25000 46.94 (-0.16)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 4.49 (+0.03)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 54.49 (+2.92)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 11.00 (-0.20)          Gareth Edwards (GEDWA) 25000 150.81 (-0.50)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 25000 230.67 (-0.50)          Kate Winslet (KWINS) 25000 110.43 (+0.33)