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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3981 views

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Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 15000 21.20 (+0.06)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 500 34.63 (-2.34)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 500 34.63 (-2.34)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Verity (VERTY) 149999 70.63 (-2.62)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 26.67 (-4.27)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 3000 15.08 (-0.90)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 3.25 (-0.24)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 12.96 (+5.06)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 3.25 (-0.24)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 12.96 (+5.06)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 12.96 (+5.06)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 25000 170.97 (-1.64)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 8.20 (-0.67)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 149001 75.35 (+1.77)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 36000 15.15 (+0.85)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 25000 76.07 (+1.25)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 65.29 (+0.06)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 9000 18.33 (-0.69)          Verity (VERTY) 99999 70.63 (-2.62)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 8.20 (-0.67)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 28000 8.20 (-0.67)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 4000 34.63 (-2.34)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 42.97 (+0.15)          Digger (DIGER) 96000 26.67 (-4.27)          Verity (VERTY) 38000 70.63 (-2.62)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 96.69 (+0.41)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 98000 50.99 (-1.40)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 25 12.96 (+5.06)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 34.74 (+0.26)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 50.99 (-1.40)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 12.96 (+5.06)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 46.98 (+0.10)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 130.42 (-0.91)          Monkey Quest (MNKYQ) 60000 16.47 (-1.56)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 1220 34.66 (-0.15)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 78.84 (+0.33)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 950 81.45 (-0.06)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 34.63 (-2.34)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.56 (+0.65)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 7.32 (+0.03)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 114.48 (+1.01)