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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2417 views

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Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 7217 117.73 (+0.66)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 1.50 (+0.05)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 4.79 (+0.01)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 149999 36.99 (+6.99)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 150000 8.15 (-0.02)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 4044 36.99 (+6.99)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 3.58 (+0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 9.58 (+1.77)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 13.87 (-0.07)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 9.58 (+1.77)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 9.82 (-0.04)          GOAT (TGOAT) 1927 75.37 (+5.93)          Beneath the Storm (BSTRM) 150000 5.01 (+0.02)          GOAT (TGOAT) 10879 75.37 (+5.93)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.24 (-0.03)          GOAT (TGOAT) 10879 75.37 (+5.93)          Pretty Lethal aka Ballerina Over (BALOD) 150000 3.98 (-0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1000 418.48 (-0.88)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 400 355.48 (+0.50)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 1.50 (+0.05)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 4.79 (+0.01)          GOAT (TGOAT) 10879 75.37 (+5.93)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 150000 8.15 (-0.02)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 3.58 (+0.02)          GOAT (TGOAT) 136071 75.37 (+5.93)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 110 79.44 (-0.88)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 2000 418.48 (-0.88)          Pillion (PILON) 2000 4.79 (+0.21)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 13.87 (-0.07)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 4.79 (+0.01)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 9.82 (-0.04)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 40 36.32 (-0.06)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1000 85.78 (-3.91)          GOAT (TGOAT) 136071 75.37 (+5.93)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 2000 9.82 (-0.04)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 25000 52.36 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 25000 418.48 (-0.88)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 1000 38.28 (+4.09)          Beneath the Storm (BSTRM) 150000 5.01 (+0.02)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.24 (-0.03)          Pretty Lethal aka Ballerina Over (BALOD) 150000 3.98 (-0.01)          GOAT (TGOAT) 1123 75.37 (+5.93)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 109999 220.29 (-0.54)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 17783 117.73 (+0.66)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 50000 19.92 (+1.94)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.68 (-0.01)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 45000 19.92 (+1.94)          Send Help (SENDH) 19000 50.90 (-0.10)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 5000 12.99 (-0.04)          Reptilia (REPTI) 35000 6.71 (+0.02)