SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3206 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Teller (TELER) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 25000 20.61 (+0.01)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 115.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5000 309.16 (+2.89)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 5000 115.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 3.52 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 73.63 (-0.90)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 3.52 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 302.14 (-2.75)          Clayface (CLAYF) 25000 87.54 (-0.13)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 62.18 (-0.75)          Wyatt Russell (WRUSS) 25000 58.52 (+0.66)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 6.73 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 6.73 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 5.17 (-0.17)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 30 3.52 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.80 (+0.26)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 30 3.19 (+0.47)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 18.90 (+0.14)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 16.44 (+0.07)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 30.33 (-1.62)          Last Meals (LMEAL) 150000 0.73 (+0.02)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 37.67 (-0.38)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 19.06 (+0.21)          Ink (INK) 50000 12.74 (+0.02)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 1000 55.12 (+0.05)          Drew Starkey (DSTAR) 7152 21.44 (-0.56)          Teyana Taylor (TETAY) 25000 45.78 (-1.97)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 61.76 (-1.24)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 25000 43.24 (+1.32)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 25000 33.71 (-1.27)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 25000 42.23 (-1.15)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 24900 16.44 (+0.07)          James Corden (JCORD) 25000 21.16 (+1.10)          Charlie Harper (CHARP) 3 4.61 (+0.32)          Charlie Harper (CHARP) 3 4.61 (+0.32)          Flavia (FLAVI) 3 4.52 (+0.45)          Flavia (FLAVI) 3 4.52 (+0.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 3 226.94 (-0.86)          Moana (MOAN1) 3 226.94 (-0.86)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 0.37 (+0.02)          Artificial (AIFIC) 2 13.96 (-0.95)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 2548 6.52 (+0.05)