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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3363 views

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The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 10000 27.66 (-1.79)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 30000 26.14 (-0.85)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 60000 19.65 (-0.79)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 10000 3.33 (-0.42)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 14167 229.49 (+0.75)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 2000 25.46 (-0.14)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 14774 229.49 (+0.75)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 5000 43.98 (+0.32)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 10000 43.98 (+0.32)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 14774 229.49 (+0.75)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 10000 15.64 (+0.36)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 5.57 (+0.06)          Babies (BBIES) 75000 15.77 (-0.63)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 25000 11.33 (-0.80)          The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 20000 27.66 (-1.79)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 10000 55.10 (-0.06)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 25000 26.14 (-0.85)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 10000 66.80 (-1.90)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 39000 171.38 (+0.48)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 100 2.87 (0.00)          The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 25000 27.66 (-1.79)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 14000 31.76 (-0.08)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 8000 28.85 (-0.08)          Naruto (NARUT) 100 22.04 (+0.02)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 26.14 (-0.85)          The Invite (TINVT) 20000 21.23 (+0.15)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 100 66.98 (+0.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 12000 28.85 (-0.08)          Naughty (NAUTY) 15000 28.94 (+1.41)          Babies (BBIES) 50000 15.77 (-0.63)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 74000 20.27 (+1.16)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 110 110.32 (0.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 20000 403.14 (+0.80)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 20000 322.51 (-0.35)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 21000 181.83 (+0.23)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 100 10.96 (0.00)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 28.94 (+1.41)          Blade (BLAD1) 22000 23.38 (+0.17)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 4.61 (+0.03)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 100 11.57 (0.00)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 59000 11.33 (-0.80)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 66.80 (-1.90)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 100 9.41 (-0.03)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 26.14 (-0.85)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 27000 122.30 (-0.28)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 3.33 (-0.42)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 100 8.39 (-0.06)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 19.65 (-0.79)          Gatto (GATTO) 16000 137.65 (+0.14)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 100 24.14 (+0.20)