SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2831 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Behemoth! (BEHEM) 33333 13.09 (-0.13)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 33333 13.09 (-0.13)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 22.27 (-0.11)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 22.27 (-0.11)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 187.70 (-6.32)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 187.70 (-6.32)          Them (THEM) 150000 39.30 (-2.92)          Them (THEM) 150000 39.30 (-2.92)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 35.67 (+1.76)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 35.67 (+1.76)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.63 (+0.95)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.63 (+0.95)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 12.13 (-0.14)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 12.13 (-0.14)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 72000 0.01 (-0.02)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 72000 0.01 (-0.02)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 123009 0.01 (-0.02)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 123009 0.01 (-0.02)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 24009 0.01 (-0.02)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 24009 0.01 (-0.02)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 75000 10.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 75000 10.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 75000 7.16 (+3.16)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1500 166.15 (+1.36)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1500 166.15 (+1.36)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 149999 39.30 (-2.92)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 149999 39.30 (-2.92)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 500 37.98 (+0.37)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 500 37.98 (+0.37)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Baton (BATON) 150000 5.21 (+0.05)          Baton (BATON) 150000 5.21 (+0.05)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 1500 106.10 (+2.74)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 1500 106.10 (+2.74)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 500 55.27 (-0.29)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 500 55.27 (-0.29)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 35000 187.70 (-6.32)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 35000 187.70 (-6.32)          The Catch (TCATC) 149999 61.61 (-0.46)          The Catch (TCATC) 149999 61.61 (-0.46)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 86.13 (-0.90)