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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3790 views

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Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 0.97 (+0.12)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 4.65 (-0.43)          Babies (BBIES) 100000 16.30 (+0.04)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 37.73 (-1.15)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 5.30 (-0.33)          Helldivers (HELDV) 50000 98.09 (-0.20)          Helldivers (HELDV) 50000 98.09 (-0.20)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 6 87.90 (-2.74)          Primetime (PRMTM) 47 30.30 (-0.16)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 49.59 (-0.93)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 49.59 (-0.93)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 3.39 (-0.61)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 149999 3.39 (-0.61)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 72180 38.74 (+0.04)          Sarah Silverman (SSILV) 25000 52.03 (-0.16)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 87.90 (-2.74)          Riz Ahmed (RAHME) 7643 8.30 (+0.01)          Primetime (PRMTM) 43308 30.30 (-0.16)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 66.07 (+0.58)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 3.39 (-0.61)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 66.07 (+0.58)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 9999 19.53 (-0.77)          Seasons (SEASN) 149999 21.89 (-0.71)          King Conan (CONA2) 9999 49.59 (-0.93)          Ben Wang (BWANG) 24999 36.64 (+0.12)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 24999 158.38 (+0.49)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 40000 7.28 (+0.08)          Them (THEM) 40000 29.43 (+0.10)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 100000 3.39 (-0.61)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 2 50.95 (+0.25)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 37.73 (-1.15)          Broadsword (BROSW) 149999 38.52 (-0.20)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 4.65 (-0.43)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 87.90 (-2.74)          King Conan (CONA2) 1 49.59 (-0.93)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 1 19.53 (-0.77)          King Conan (CONA2) 50000 49.59 (-0.93)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 50000 19.53 (-0.77)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 89999 36.09 (-0.09)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 5.30 (-0.33)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 30556 37.73 (-1.15)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 0.97 (+0.12)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 1 3.39 (-0.61)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 104999 67.19 (-0.15)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 25000 104.44 (+1.33)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 25000 104.44 (+1.33)          Mouse (MOUSE) 15000 1.12 (-0.06)          Mouse (MOUSE) 30000 1.12 (-0.06)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 15000 35.83 (-0.11)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 30000 40.37 (-0.18)