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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3984 views

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Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 500 18.44 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 300 4.52 (+0.03)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 200 662.51 (0.00)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 200 3.94 (+0.23)          Monkey Quest (MNKYQ) 200 17.51 (+0.79)          Obey (OBEY) 296 17.32 (-0.68)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 200 12.65 (+0.99)          One Italian Summer (1ITAS) 6 31.86 (-0.06)          Invertigo (INVRT) 2 18.65 (+0.02)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 200 11.46 (+1.18)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 3 43.05 (+0.04)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 4 261.40 (0.00)          Whalefall H$15 Put (WHALF.PU) 200 3.03 (0.00)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 300 3.21 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 26.50 (-0.10)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 200 3.95 (0.00)          Monkey Quest (MNKYQ) 5000 17.51 (+0.79)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 150000 120.61 (0.00)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.01 (+0.01)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 17.32 (-0.68)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 150000 5.33 (-0.05)          Monitor (MONTR) 149999 11.68 (-0.07)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 149999 14.51 (-0.47)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 150000 11.46 (+1.18)          Making Marie Antoinette (MAKMA) 150000 0.70 (-0.01)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 1 3.94 (+0.23)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 66 3.94 (+0.23)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 149999 3.94 (+0.23)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 13.61 (+0.28)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 13.61 (+0.28)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 149999 18.47 (+0.14)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 149999 4.89 (+0.03)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 17.32 (-0.68)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 100000 13.61 (+0.28)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 25000 107.59 (-0.66)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 25000 107.59 (-0.66)          Hal (HALD) 75000 6.45 (+0.63)          Monkey Quest (MNKYQ) 75000 17.51 (+0.79)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 75000 12.65 (+0.99)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 75000 11.46 (+1.18)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 24999 1.12 (+0.03)          One Italian Summer (1ITAS) 74999 31.86 (-0.06)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 149999 14.51 (-0.47)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 149999 29.44 (+1.08)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149999 8.38 (+0.18)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 404 34.36 (-0.30)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.01 (+0.01)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 146.71 (-0.52)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 17.32 (-0.68)