SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2838 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 10000 24.49 (-0.07)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 248.83 (+0.93)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 5000 15.96 (-0.10)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 59.69 (+0.65)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 10000 13.52 (+0.04)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 10000 13.52 (+0.04)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 50000 116.47 (+0.06)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 49.74 (-3.17)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 97.48 (-1.61)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 90.22 (+0.62)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 25 190.38 (-1.59)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 165.49 (+0.82)          Moana (MOAN1) 50000 226.44 (+1.66)          Hokum (HOKUM) 2000 18.11 (+0.31)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 10000 5.81 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 97.48 (-1.61)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 49.74 (-3.17)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 10000 18.23 (-0.04)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 90 97.48 (-1.61)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 10 97.48 (-1.61)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 7 97.48 (-1.61)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 149999 18.23 (-0.04)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 130.50 (-1.33)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 130.50 (-1.33)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 100000 6.53 (+1.03)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 15000 0.11 (-0.01)          John Lilly and the Earth Coincid (JLECC) 100000 0.45 (-0.02)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 10000 4.43 (-0.86)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 10000 4.43 (-0.86)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 49.74 (-3.17)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1000 234.15 (-0.53)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 49.74 (-3.17)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 100000 22.80 (-0.54)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 5000 10.29 (+0.29)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 22.80 (-0.54)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 10000 53.49 (+0.54)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 2000 99.77 (+0.81)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 5000 135.25 (+0.90)          Buddy (BUDDY) 4000 6.53 (+1.03)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 10000 8.97 (-0.09)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 16.13 (-1.60)          White Elephant (WELEP) 10000 16.13 (-1.60)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 16.13 (-1.60)          Them (THEM) 10000 39.37 (+2.37)          Fonda (FONDA) 20000 7.83 (-0.17)          Fonda (FONDA) 30000 7.83 (-0.17)