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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4100 views

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24 Jump Street (21JS3) 125000 86.94 (-3.97)          River (RIVE1) 150000 18.81 (+0.04)          River (RIVE1) 150000 18.81 (+0.04)          Fing! (FING) 150000 7.75 (-0.11)          Fing! (FING) 150000 7.75 (-0.11)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 100000 86.94 (-3.97)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.91 (+0.05)          Wet (WET) 10000 6.84 (+1.10)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 17.64 (0.00)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.33 (+0.03)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 500 79.52 (-0.36)          David Ayer (DAYER) 25000 82.47 (+0.57)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 94.32 (+0.63)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 131 95.61 (+2.98)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 150000 0.04 (0.00)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 10000 140.65 (0.00)          A Manual for Cleaning Women (AMFCW) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 72.01 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 26.21 (-0.81)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 7.07 (0.00)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 71.38 (0.00)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 95.61 (+2.98)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 95.61 (+2.98)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 50.45 (-1.00)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 13334 38.50 (+2.47)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 150000 6.24 (-0.12)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 150000 6.24 (-0.12)          Michael Stuhlbarg (MSTUH) 25000 38.14 (-0.37)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 25000 88.98 (-0.30)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 25000 45.16 (-0.50)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 25000 97.63 (-0.50)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 95.61 (+2.98)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 95.61 (+2.98)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.97 (-1.95)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 10000 17.56 (-0.44)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 5.46 (+1.20)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 5.46 (+1.20)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 10000 109.52 (+0.13)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.97 (-1.95)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 25000 78.83 (-0.77)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 135 38.50 (+2.47)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 25000 78.83 (-0.77)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.97 (-1.95)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.35 (+0.30)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.97 (-1.95)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 10000 9.39 (-0.60)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 47.03 (+2.33)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 10000 9.39 (-0.60)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 47.03 (+2.33)          Play House (PLYHS) 149995 10.00 (0.00)