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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2980 views

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Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 10000 9.46 (-0.04)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.93 (+0.34)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 5000 99.79 (-0.11)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 99.79 (-0.11)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 99.79 (-0.11)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 55000 80.98 (-3.63)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 10000 43.18 (-5.65)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.93 (+0.34)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.55 (+2.19)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 11.01 (+4.92)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 120606 43.18 (-5.65)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 16.65 (+0.25)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 45.98 (-0.27)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 1000 51.30 (+1.61)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 20000 173.43 (-3.15)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 11.01 (+4.92)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 27.67 (+7.67)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 3000 10.72 (-0.57)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 137.80 (+5.75)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 131.73 (-3.70)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 131.73 (-3.70)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 131.73 (-3.70)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 242.92 (-0.07)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 131.73 (-3.70)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 131.73 (-3.70)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 131.73 (-3.70)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 149999 43.18 (-5.65)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 266.18 (+1.38)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 11.01 (+4.92)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 80.98 (-3.63)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 80.98 (-3.63)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 27.67 (+7.67)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 235.58 (+1.03)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 80.98 (-3.63)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 27.67 (+7.67)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 27.67 (+7.67)          Hope (HOPE) 3 9.01 (+0.81)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 146.54 (-1.14)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 50000 11.01 (+4.92)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 150000 0.41 (+0.01)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 1.96 (+0.01)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 2.24 (-0.04)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 27.67 (+7.67)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 25000 127.65 (-0.33)          Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 25000 83.32 (-1.25)