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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4109 views

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Scapegoat (SCAPG) 5000 19.53 (+0.19)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 11.15 (+1.32)          Naughty (NAUTY) 7500 44.68 (+0.88)          Tangled (TANGL) 10000 129.92 (+0.49)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 24.35 (+0.18)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Sweat (SWEAT) 150000 5.47 (-0.06)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 16.48 (-0.09)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 15000 188.18 (+0.89)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Call (GODM2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 150000 17.99 (+1.83)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 110.37 (-0.87)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 15000 287.86 (+0.63)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 25000 32.24 (+0.50)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 15.39 (+5.39)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Not Alone (NTALN) 15000 132.09 (+1.16)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Call (GODM2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 13.02 (-0.40)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Playmates (PLYMT) 149000 11.15 (+1.32)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Call (GODM2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 1000 41.36 (+1.46)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 149000 17.99 (+1.83)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 40000 3.92 (-0.82)          Clayface (CLAYF) 900 55.44 (-3.19)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 25000 17.99 (+1.83)          Tangled (TANGL) 50000 129.92 (+0.49)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 3211 41.36 (+1.46)