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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3218 views

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Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 23.99 (+0.11)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 280.22 (-16.46)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.94 (+0.94)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 104.64 (+1.74)          The Invite - Opening Wekeend (TINVT.OW) 100000 6.82 (+0.10)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 280.22 (-16.46)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 11.19 (+0.17)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 280.22 (-16.46)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 1 25.00 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Teller (TELER) 10000 7.66 (-0.34)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 10000 37.75 (+3.26)          Robotech (RTECH) 60000 6.36 (-0.02)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 29.34 (+2.57)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 29.34 (+2.57)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 37.75 (+3.26)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 80000 2.35 (-0.02)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 37.75 (+3.26)          Maserati: The Brothers (MASER) 80000 4.49 (-0.02)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 80000 7.14 (-0.03)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 149998 37.75 (+3.26)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 149996 37.75 (+3.26)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 149998 51.72 (-4.75)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 11727 117.27 (+2.27)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 280.22 (-16.46)          The Climb (CLIMB) 150000 0.08 (+0.04)          The Climb (CLIMB) 150000 0.08 (+0.04)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 280.22 (-16.46)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 19000 51.72 (-4.75)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 128023 280.22 (-16.46)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 14.59 (-0.26)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 14.59 (-0.26)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 37.51 (-1.16)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 37.51 (-1.16)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 270.61 (+0.75)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 3000 96.66 (-0.06)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 4000 119.56 (+0.23)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 12.04 (-0.10)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4000 93.24 (0.00)          Soil (SOIL) 150000 0.02 (-0.03)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 149999 183.86 (-0.54)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3000 119.56 (+0.23)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 149999 60.30 (+0.25)