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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2557 views

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Peaked (PEAKD) 30000 10.31 (+0.84)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.57 (+0.13)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 149999 6.64 (+0.60)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.64 (+0.60)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149999 10.31 (+0.84)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 10.31 (+0.84)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.45 (+1.10)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 40000 89.68 (+3.74)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.45 (+1.10)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 40000 89.68 (+3.74)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 150000 46.58 (+3.90)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 150000 46.58 (+3.90)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 149999 6.87 (+1.00)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 6.87 (+1.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 10000 179.72 (-3.03)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 175.13 (-1.43)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 89.68 (+3.74)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 305.77 (-1.05)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 81.30 (-0.59)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          They Will Kill You H$10 Put (TWKYU.PU) 25000 3.12 (+0.07)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.93 (-0.28)          They Will Kill You H$10 Call (TWKYU.CA) 25000 0.30 (0.00)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.93 (-0.28)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 29730 111.92 (+0.34)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.06)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 57215 55.52 (+4.09)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 81.30 (-0.59)          You, Me & Tuscany - Opening Week (ITLIA.OW) 100000 9.82 (-0.18)          You, Me & Tuscany - Opening Week (ITLIA.OW) 100000 9.82 (-0.18)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 43.35 (-0.31)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 20000 221.19 (+2.28)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 5.29 (+0.23)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 150.48 (+0.53)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 40000 47.91 (-0.22)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 150000 7.38 (-0.08)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 20000 68.28 (-1.45)          The Incomer (INCOM) 150000 0.76 (-0.07)          The Worst (TWORS) 149995 6.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10000 359.77 (-3.08)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 200 210.10 (+0.05)          In the Grey (NGREY) 149995 21.05 (+0.05)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.45 (+1.10)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 12.69 (-0.08)          Airman (AIRMA) 1 19.59 (-0.03)          Airman (AIRMA) 1 19.59 (-0.03)          Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 150000 1.91 (-0.01)