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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3566 views

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Nasty (NASTY) 150000 20.08 (+1.28)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 9500 0.74 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 17.16 (+0.39)          Nomad (NOMD1) 149500 0.59 (-0.02)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 25000 15.76 (-0.08)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Put (CVACM.PU) 25000 1.73 (+0.01)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 81.10 (+1.88)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 25000 15.76 (-0.08)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10 788.36 (+1.57)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 50.23 (+3.76)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 9500 34.24 (-0.07)          The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 25000 26.23 (-0.08)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 281.77 (+1.15)          Nasty (NASTY) 555 20.08 (+1.28)          Not Alone (NTALN) 300 121.63 (+0.11)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 50.23 (+3.76)          Nasty (NASTY) 99772 20.08 (+1.28)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 7788 50.23 (+3.76)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 15.98 (-0.09)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 34.30 (+0.13)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 1 267.90 (-0.24)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 416.62 (+1.14)          Nasty (NASTY) 800 20.08 (+1.28)          Nasty (NASTY) 1 20.08 (+1.28)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 4 194.66 (-0.33)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 25837 81.10 (+1.88)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 2 94.50 (-0.08)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 69.18 (-4.65)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 14.15 (-0.40)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 98999 50.23 (+3.76)          Donkey (DONKE) 50 141.43 (-0.01)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 76665 69.18 (-4.65)          Reading Lolita in Tehran (RLITA) 6000 0.13 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 6566 69.18 (-4.65)          Nasty (NASTY) 20000 20.08 (+1.28)          We All Die Young (WADY) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 150000 23.28 (-0.64)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 60000 50.23 (+3.76)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 6666 50.23 (+3.76)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 50.23 (+3.76)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 60000 69.18 (-4.65)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 150000 23.28 (-0.64)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 150000 23.28 (-0.64)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3053 267.90 (-0.24)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 20.08 (+1.28)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 4.75 (+0.97)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 20.08 (+1.28)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 4.75 (+0.97)          Walton Goggins (WGOGG) 25000 6.44 (+0.15)          Jodie Foster (JFOST) 25000 13.92 (+0.50)