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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3416 views

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Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 1 18.28 (-2.30)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 3000 225.84 (-0.96)          Everytime (EVRTM) 100000 0.34 (-0.18)          Not Alone (NTALN) 4000 108.96 (+0.31)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 4000 160.27 (-0.26)          Gatto (GATTO) 4000 136.63 (+0.53)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 25000 168.24 (+2.00)          Ryan Coogler (RCOOG) 25000 168.24 (+1.50)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 4000 89.88 (+1.50)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 7000 119.15 (+0.23)          Hexed (HEXED) 7000 123.01 (-0.18)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 19895 239.55 (+6.09)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 46.26 (+2.11)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 25000 168.24 (+2.00)          Reading Lolita in Tehran (RLITA) 150000 0.09 (+0.03)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 25000 76.69 (+1.29)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 7000 183.48 (+0.01)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 7000 61.67 (-0.15)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 7000 100.51 (+0.28)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 25000 76.69 (+1.29)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 7000 91.36 (-0.01)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 44.71 (+0.97)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 60000 26.29 (-0.03)          Tender Loving Care (TLVCR) 2 1.60 (-0.13)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 40054 239.55 (+6.09)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 1000 77.51 (-0.52)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 1000 77.51 (-0.52)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4000 56.28 (-0.20)          Clayface (CLAYF) 7000 76.72 (-1.66)          Motor City (MTRCT) 7 4.47 (-0.94)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 5000 266.42 (-0.48)          Whalefall (WHALF) 7000 42.15 (-0.14)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 28.48 (+0.40)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 7000 77.35 (-1.32)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 28.48 (+0.40)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 7000 21.03 (+0.15)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 12000 65.69 (-0.55)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 3.79 (-0.01)          Verity (VERTY) 12000 53.87 (+0.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 214 71.64 (+5.35)          Werwulf (WERWU) 4000 74.25 (-0.54)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 4000 158.05 (-0.23)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 39.68 (+1.18)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.88 (+2.74)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.88 (+2.74)          Digger (DIGER) 12000 118.37 (-0.78)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 12000 47.08 (-0.22)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 12000 66.16 (-0.22)