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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 1826 views

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The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 127.86 (-2.53)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 127.86 (-2.53)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 17.08 (+1.28)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 17.08 (+1.28)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 24.49 (+0.10)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 24.49 (+0.10)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.68 (+0.16)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.68 (+0.16)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.88 (+0.66)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.88 (+0.66)          Mercy (MRCY1) 170 58.25 (0.00)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 4.00 (-0.17)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 0.87 (-0.09)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 149999 80.27 (-0.57)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 25000 2.38 (+0.08)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 27.06 (-0.99)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 4.95 (+0.11)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 149999 80.27 (-0.57)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 14.80 (-0.80)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.67 (-0.34)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 23609 17.41 (+0.09)          The Pack (TPACK) 150000 15.19 (-0.20)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 149999 5.67 (-0.34)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 1.85 (-0.15)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 149999 5.67 (-0.34)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 2.63 (+0.08)          Civil War (CVLWR) 149001 60.98 (+0.24)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 100000 11.88 (+0.66)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 149999 127.86 (-2.53)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 348 51.10 (+0.15)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 6667 80.69 (0.00)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 4.00 (-0.17)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 1.85 (-0.15)          Fuze (FUZE) 6667 15.00 (-1.00)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 40.17 (-0.72)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 127.86 (-2.53)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 10000 17.08 (+1.28)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 100000 6.85 (-0.48)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 149999 6.85 (-0.48)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 4000 127.86 (-2.53)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 15.00 (-1.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 4000 127.86 (-2.53)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 4000 127.86 (-2.53)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 10.70 (+0.69)          Tow (TOW) 150000 6.31 (+0.44)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.72 (+0.06)          The Roses (TROSE) 645 21.50 (+0.33)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 9.17 (+0.12)          Civil War (CVLWR) 500 60.98 (+0.24)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 0.87 (-0.09)