SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3409 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Misty Green (MSTYG) 655 10.98 (+0.84)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 7777 10.98 (+0.84)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 5455 10.98 (+0.84)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 444 44.50 (+0.35)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 68.36 (-0.60)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 68.36 (-0.60)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 44.50 (+0.35)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 44.50 (+0.35)          Motor City (MTRCT) 37000 5.74 (+0.33)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 10000 53.76 (-0.06)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 7.69 (+0.07)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 7.69 (+0.07)          It Ends (ITNDS) 45000 6.84 (+0.41)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 9.60 (+0.03)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.19 (+0.12)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.19 (+0.12)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 10000 57.14 (+0.11)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 16000 138.44 (-0.04)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 80.50 (+0.25)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 13000 96.19 (+0.10)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 66.80 (+0.51)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 80.50 (+0.25)          Shu Qi (SHUQI) 25000 0.49 (-0.02)          NDA (NDA) 66000 7.66 (+0.81)          Halle Bailey (HBAIL) 25000 80.10 (-0.25)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 49000 21.33 (+0.45)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 13.53 (-0.43)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 20000 103.93 (-0.26)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 13.53 (-0.43)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 30000 98.57 (-0.05)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 5.74 (+0.33)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 13000 98.69 (-0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 5.74 (+0.33)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 3.44 (+0.28)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 3.44 (+0.28)          By Any Means (CI34) 40000 28.94 (-0.02)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 20000 191.49 (-0.06)          Gatto (GATTO) 20000 136.06 (-0.04)          NDA (NDA) 7000 7.66 (+0.81)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 66.80 (+0.51)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 10000 226.83 (+0.03)          Drag (DRAG) 16000 7.20 (-0.34)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 6.84 (+0.41)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 6.84 (+0.41)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 19.40 (-1.18)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 6.74 (+0.75)          NDA (NDA) 83000 7.66 (+0.81)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 19930 10.98 (+0.84)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 38219 18.10 (-0.03)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 51265 18.10 (-0.03)