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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3648 views

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Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 51000 6.62 (+0.95)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 16919 193.42 (+0.05)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 141612 71.92 (-1.05)          David Robert Mitchell (DRMIT) 100 19.23 (-0.10)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 39910 66.05 (-0.32)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 8.45 (+0.46)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 144419 71.92 (-1.05)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 2.43 (-0.02)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 125000 112.66 (+0.48)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 100 59.71 (0.00)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.62 (+0.95)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.62 (+0.95)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.62 (+0.95)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 7.40 (-0.55)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 30000 19.20 (-0.03)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 60000 19.20 (-0.03)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 90 46.95 (+0.16)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 71.92 (-1.05)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 20000 12.61 (+1.03)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 100 17.00 (0.00)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 100 123.76 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 16.77 (+0.48)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 100 19.48 (0.00)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 10000 8.45 (+0.46)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 5.02 (+0.57)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 5.02 (+0.57)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 31.41 (+0.10)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 100 20.94 (+0.94)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 29.75 (-0.13)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 100 0.87 (0.00)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 29.75 (-0.13)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 112.66 (+0.48)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100 12.95 (-0.02)          Tony (TONY) 100 15.97 (0.00)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 17.76 (+0.05)          The Uprising (THOOD) 100 9.06 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Put (CVACM.PU) 25000 2.15 (-0.02)          Coyote vs. ACME - Opening Weeken (CVACM.OW) 100000 16.98 (+0.05)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 1.24 (-0.01)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 3.16 (-0.08)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 3.16 (-0.08)          Idiots (SHTHD) 100 5.02 (+0.57)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 71.92 (-1.05)          Michael B. Jordan (MBJOR) 25000 119.53 (+0.66)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 71.92 (-1.05)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 16.77 (+0.48)