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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3769 views

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Runner (RUNNR) 25000 14.97 (+1.14)          Starman (STARM) 149999 14.34 (-1.00)          The Shrinking of Treehorn (TSOTH) 150000 0.15 (+0.01)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 150000 8.25 (+1.60)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 50000 61.62 (-1.26)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 52.85 (+2.85)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 2.49 (+0.01)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 100000 3.84 (-0.03)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)          King Conan (CONA2) 5519 52.85 (+2.85)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          King Spawn (SPWN2) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 80000 61.62 (-1.26)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 100000 4.63 (-0.11)          The Smack (SMACK) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 10000 48.09 (-0.40)          Meet the Barbarians (MTBAR) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Oceans (OCEN5) 4888 72.92 (0.00)          Maya, Give Me A Title (MGMAT) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Menace (MENAC) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Karma Chameleon (KCHML) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Just Cause (JCAUS) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 11481 21.75 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 50000 29.67 (-0.10)          King Conan (CONA2) 90864 52.85 (+2.85)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 8.12 (-0.03)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 45000 61.62 (-1.26)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 10000 2.94 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 125000 39.19 (-0.11)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 63960 9.69 (-0.11)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 52.85 (+2.85)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 1.02 (+0.05)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 20000 61.62 (-1.26)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 1.02 (+0.05)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 2.89 (-0.08)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 40000 6.68 (+0.05)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 6.68 (+0.05)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 5.55 (-0.28)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 150000 18.63 (+0.67)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 35000 85.55 (+0.03)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 52.85 (+2.85)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 150000 73.56 (+0.41)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 52.85 (+2.85)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 20000 73.56 (+0.41)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 80599 73.56 (+0.41)          Winter of the Crow (WOTCR) 150000 0.61 (-0.09)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 61.62 (-1.26)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 149998 4.63 (-0.11)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 4.63 (-0.11)