SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Bourne, Campaign against Batman

A couple of newcomers hope to finally take down the caped crusader.  Unable to convince Matt Damon to reprise his role, Universal relaunched its spy franchise with Jeremy Renner [JRENN] in the fourth installment The Bourne Legacy [BORN4]. In order to one up on the Bourne trilogy, the studio marketing describes his character Aaron Cross as a genetically altered super-soldier who is even better than Jason Bourne. Cross goes on the run with a scientist played by Rachel Weisz [RWEIS] after the government terminated their black ops program and marked them for death. With all the elements from the Bourne series, the PG-13 rated film should appeal to at least a portion of the fanbase that opened The Bourne Ultimatum to a whopping $69.3 million in 2007. Breaking into 3746 theaters, The Bourne Legacy could earn around $39 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] square off in the political comedy The Campaign [CMPGN]. Both comedians excel at playing buffoons and politicians provide great fodder this election year. Ferrell’s last R-rated wide release Step Brothers grossed $30.9 million in August of 2008, while Galifianakis co-led the R-rated Due Date to a $32.7 million debut. However, moviegoers may not be in the mood for a film about dirty politics, even one played for laughs. The Campaign may be able to tally $27 million from 3207 locations.

After a three week reign, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] looks to fall back to third place with around $22 million to its total just short of $400 million.

Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Tommy Lee Jones [TLJON] star in the PG-13 rated dramedy Hope Springs [GHSPR] targeted at the older adult demographic. Streep’s late summer film Julia & Julia debuted with $20 million in 2009. However, Hope Springs doesn’t have her portraying any famous, real-life figure. To get the word of mouth started, Sony opened the film on Wednesday and grossed $2.2 million. Playing in 2361 theaters, Hope Springs should be able to manage about $14 million for the weekend.

Total Recall [RECAL] came out of its below expectation opening weekend with poor word of mouth. With added competition, the sci-fi remake looks to drop 55% to around $11 million.

Nitro Circus The Movie 3D [NTROC] seeks to follow the trail blazed by the Jackass crew. The documentary hopes to attract young male fans of extreme sports not interested in the Olympics. Opening Wednesday in 800 theaters and grossing $0.7 million, Nitro Circus The Movie 3D may score $2.5 million from Friday to Sunday.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JRENN, BORN4, RWEIS, WFERR, ZGALI, CMPGN, BATM3, MSTRE, TLJON, GHSPR, RECAL, NTROC

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 9, 2012 @ 04:29 PM 6546 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Beast (LBETE) 150000 0.46 (+0.03)          The Wasp (TWASP) 150000 0.72 (+0.17)          Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 25000 91.28 (+1.25)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 150000 39.63 (+0.21)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 23.71 (-1.97)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 23.71 (-1.97)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 1 252.97 (-1.25)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 4.58 (+0.33)          24/7 (247) 9998 0.01 (-0.01)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 11.57 (-1.04)          Sharlto Copley (SCOPL) 25000 12.50 (+0.11)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 5.40 (+0.53)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 5.40 (+0.53)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1 63.16 (-4.02)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 1.52 (-0.15)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 81.87 (-0.28)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 1.52 (-0.15)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 81.87 (-0.28)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 148.90 (+3.06)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 25000 20.12 (-0.27)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.31 (-1.06)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.31 (-1.06)          IF (IMGNF) 1 148.90 (+3.06)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 150000 3.95 (+0.38)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 150000 3.95 (+0.38)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.28 (+0.49)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 21.41 (-11.71)          IF (IMGNF) 100000 148.90 (+3.06)          Here (HERE1) 149999 58.43 (+0.31)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 1 58.70 (+0.60)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 63.16 (-4.02)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 814 83.38 (+0.91)          Kathy Bates (KBATE) 20000 17.64 (+0.02)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Morning (MRNIN) 100000 9.19 (-0.03)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 59.25 (+0.67)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 150000 9.37 (+0.14)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 48.72 (+0.70)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 18757 83.38 (+0.91)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 48.72 (+0.70)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 757 91.28 (+1.25)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.31 (-1.06)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 7.89 (-0.05)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.28 (+0.49)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 3010 49.99 (-0.28)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.28 (+0.49)          Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 25000 48.21 (+0.54)          Zoe Saldana (ZSALD) 923 152.28 (-0.51)