SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Horror sequels look to top Basterds on body count.

Studios typically avoid going after the same audience by scheduling films of the same genre together.  In a Hollywood rarity, two horror films open head to head this weekend.  Both are sequels that must also contend with Inglourious Basterds [BSTRD], another R-rated male-targeted film coming off a $38 million splash last weekend.  All three appear to have a chance to claim first place at the box office.   

Whereas Fast & Furious lost a couple of ‘The' from its title in its fourth edition, The Final Destination [FDES4] picked up one in the fourth iteration of Final Destination.  The previous chapter Final Destination 3 was the most successful yet, debuting to $19.2 million in 2006.  The new 3D sequel features another cast of unknowns being killed off in gruesome Rube Goldberg-esque accidents.  Although it faces stiffer competition, The Final Destination should still achieve a franchise best debut with about $20 million from 3121 theaters. 

Director Rob Zombie [RZOMB] is back with Halloween 2 [H2], the sequel to his Hallloween remake which set an opening record over Labor Day weekend 2007.  Instead of taking the same weekend again this year, The Weinstein Co. strangely decided to slot it in the shadow of their own Inglourious Basterds.  With plenty of R-rated options in the marketplace, the slasher pic looks to appeal to mostly fans of Michael Myers.  Carving out 3025 theaters, Halloween 2 could be treated to about $18 million.

After a successful first weekend attracting fans of Quentin Tarantino [QTARA], Inglourious Basterds will try to appeal to more discriminating adult moviegoers. The word of mouth has been mostly positive on the World War II revenge fantasy.  Even so, Inglourious Basterds is likely to decline more than 50% and settle with around $18 million.

Switching up his genre once again, director Ang Lee [ALEE] tackles the seminal countercultural event of 1969 inTaking Woodstock [WDSTK]. The comedy has received mixed reviews, critical for its target adult audience.  Releasing on the 40th anniversary of the Woodstock Festival, nostalgic moviegoers could bring the attendance at 1393 locations to roughly $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.





Tag(s): BSTRD, FDES4, RZOMB, H2, QTARA, ALEE, WDSTK

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 27, 2009 @ 03:20 PM 4880 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Lil Rel Howery (LRHOW) 5800 45.75 (-0.20)          Sienna Miller (SMILL) 25000 16.49 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 88.42 (+1.88)          Jurnee Smollett (JSMOL) 25000 37.10 (-0.12)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 1 81.47 (-0.25)          Materialists (MTRLS) 998 15.86 (+0.02)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Luke Wilson (LWILS) 25000 25.17 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 20.17 (+0.71)          Jena Malone (JMALO) 25000 2.97 (+0.02)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 35000 9.30 (-0.01)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 35000 9.30 (-0.01)          They Listen (THEYL) 150000 30.33 (-0.50)          Isabelle Fuhrman (IFUHR) 25000 47.31 (+0.33)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 27.11 (-0.51)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 20000 52.01 (+0.19)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 149999 57.83 (+1.00)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 150000 24.47 (-1.21)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 20000 52.01 (+0.19)          Danny Huston (DHUST) 25000 25.54 (+0.22)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.48 (-1.56)          Dandelion (DNDLN) 1 0.34 (-0.04)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.48 (-1.56)          Superman (SUPRM) 6500 191.31 (-0.20)          Dandelion (DNDLN) 150000 0.34 (-0.04)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 30.60 (-0.63)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 150000 62.99 (+0.05)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 1 1.56 (-0.04)          Alien: Romulus (ALIE5) 2250 63.36 (+0.12)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.56 (-0.04)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 140000 63.56 (+3.56)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 25000 91.09 (+0.36)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 1 1.58 (-0.03)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 3600 82.56 (+0.74)          Gladiator II aka Gladiator 2 (GLAD2) 4000 169.61 (-0.06)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 3334 52.01 (+0.19)          Abbey Lee (ABLEE) 25000 37.20 (+0.12)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.58 (-0.03)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 50000 21.09 (-0.08)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 1 1.89 (-0.01)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 15000 21.09 (-0.08)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          Kevin Costner (KCOST) 25000 67.73 (-0.25)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 7750 9.30 (-0.01)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 63.56 (+3.56)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 15000 9.90 (-0.02)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.01 (-0.30)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.01 (-0.30)          Paul Walter Hauser (PWHAU) 25000 52.56 (+0.63)