SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 5090 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 4.12 (+1.36)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 4.12 (+1.36)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 4.12 (+1.36)          Verity (VERTY) 800 63.95 (+0.05)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 35.38 (-0.24)          Lily-Rose Depp (LDEPP) 3600 29.47 (+0.14)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 15000 12.66 (-0.31)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 96 22.25 (+0.07)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 10000 18.88 (-1.97)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 50000 4.12 (+1.36)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 196 22.25 (+0.07)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 5000 621.34 (+1.88)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Call (CVACM.CA) 25000 3.47 (+0.13)          Coyote vs. ACME - Opening Weeken (CVACM.OW) 100000 16.90 (-0.23)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 138.74 (+1.01)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 25000 6.98 (-0.02)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 5000 12.66 (-0.31)          Just Play Dead (JPDED) 150000 0.84 (-0.05)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 1.31 (-0.03)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.15 (-0.08)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.15 (-0.08)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 3.38 (-0.08)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 5.45 (-0.14)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 8.52 (+0.02)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 42.93 (-0.99)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 52.02 (-1.43)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 85000 6.85 (+2.81)          Summoner (SMONR) 50000 18.74 (-1.09)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 50000 101.04 (+1.04)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 62.66 (-0.15)          Eva Victor (EVICT) 25000 1.83 (+0.05)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 51.74 (-4.63)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 25000 12.66 (-0.31)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 100 112.29 (+1.23)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 100 40.54 (-0.26)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 74.15 (-0.43)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 51.74 (-4.63)          Lily-Rose Depp (LDEPP) 400 29.47 (+0.14)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 101.04 (+1.04)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 51.74 (-4.63)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 100 93.55 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 46710 51.74 (-4.63)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 18.88 (-1.97)