SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4777 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 125000 15.53 (+0.53)          The Wager (WAGER) 1 13.86 (0.00)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.81 (+1.01)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 9.59 (-0.26)          Phillip Noyce (PNOYC) 25000 41.13 (-0.16)          The Wager (WAGER) 5390 13.86 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 46 261.20 (-0.25)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.01)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 19.03 (-0.85)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.66 (+0.20)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 222.64 (+1.00)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 149999 19.03 (-0.85)          Baton (BATON) 149999 4.98 (+0.44)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.81 (+1.01)          Baton (BATON) 150000 4.98 (+0.44)          Thumb (THUM) 149999 4.74 (+0.43)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 4.74 (+0.43)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 15.53 (+0.53)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 149999 5.50 (+0.57)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 266.55 (+2.50)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 266.55 (+2.50)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 5.50 (+0.57)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 222.64 (+1.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.01)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 149999 11.98 (+0.95)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.66 (+0.20)          William H. Macy (WMACY) 25000 40.19 (+0.16)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 11.98 (+0.95)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 6446 318.46 (-1.82)          Drag (DRAG) 149999 6.81 (+1.01)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 2.29 (-0.04)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 2.29 (-0.04)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.81 (+1.01)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 23.86 (-0.08)          Monster High (MONHI) 149999 21.62 (+1.12)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 21.62 (+1.12)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 61023 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.67 (+0.09)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.67 (+0.09)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 61023 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)