SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4540 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Grandgear (GGEAR) 1000 59.87 (-0.05)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 500 85.13 (+0.50)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 15000 9.94 (+0.66)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 51 116.95 (-0.01)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 50000 10.09 (+0.09)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 50000 75.51 (+0.51)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.12 (+0.12)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 17.00 (+0.12)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 17.00 (+0.12)          Lice (LICE) 50000 3.77 (-0.23)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.85 (-0.05)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.34 (+0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 17.00 (+0.12)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 6.22 (+0.05)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.43 (-0.03)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 409.23 (-0.06)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 136585 409.23 (-0.06)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 443 40.16 (+0.10)          Ally (ALLY) 150000 19.46 (-0.08)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 4.11 (-0.05)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 0.03 (-0.01)          Lice (LICE) 76000 3.77 (-0.23)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.51 (+0.51)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 17.00 (+0.12)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 116101 27.89 (+0.38)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 56.11 (-0.13)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.34 (+0.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 100000 29.42 (-0.27)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 85.13 (+0.50)