SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4480 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Chippendales (IMCHP) 150000 0.09 (+0.04)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Passenger (PSNGR) 1 18.47 (-0.36)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 8.98 (-0.02)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 3000 95.07 (+0.08)          Whalefall (WHALF) 31000 38.16 (+0.94)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 24999 2.87 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 1 4.91 (-0.17)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.91 (-0.17)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 1 47.50 (-0.37)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 47.50 (-0.37)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.98 (+0.17)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 95 135.98 (+0.17)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 5 15.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 10000 168.26 (+0.17)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 8.18 (+0.63)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 98765 65.90 (+1.12)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 15000 2.54 (-0.02)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 135.98 (+0.17)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 100000 6.92 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 83457 264.27 (+0.16)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 25000 55.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)