SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4483 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Doppelganger (DPLGN) 88788 66.51 (+1.73)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 149999 24.63 (-2.72)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 2 9.73 (+0.52)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 2 9.73 (+0.52)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.97 (-0.42)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.97 (-0.42)          The Furious (FURIS) 149997 6.54 (+2.62)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.73 (+0.52)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.73 (+0.52)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 50000 66.98 (+1.54)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 1 7.00 (+1.34)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 24.63 (-2.72)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 24.63 (-2.72)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 50000 58.90 (+2.11)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.58 (-0.23)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.58 (-0.23)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.58 (-0.23)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 1 7.00 (+1.34)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.58 (-0.23)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 1.34 (+0.09)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 149999 1.34 (+0.09)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 47.79 (-0.08)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.76 (+0.07)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.95 (-0.13)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.51 (-0.15)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.51 (-0.15)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 7.00 (+1.34)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.54 (+2.62)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 47.79 (-0.08)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.54 (+2.62)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 24.63 (-2.72)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 24.63 (-2.72)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 2.85 (+0.10)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 81463 17.51 (-0.20)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 2.85 (+0.10)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Helldivers (HELDV) 50000 100.11 (+0.92)