SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4998 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Possession (PSESN) 45000 37.16 (+4.25)          Possession (PSESN) 32000 37.16 (+4.25)          They Found Us (THFUS) 17 4.89 (+0.03)          Gambino (GMBNO) 14 7.16 (+0.02)          Spirit (SPRIT) 22 3.29 (+0.06)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 17 4.14 (+0.24)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 21 6.50 (+0.75)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 90000 20.19 (-0.13)          Drifter (DRFTR) 16 4.53 (+0.98)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 8000 108.68 (+2.39)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 55000 20.19 (-0.13)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 64.22 (+0.81)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 149999 64.22 (+0.81)          Tony (TONY) 84000 19.90 (+0.71)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 7.20 (-0.14)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 7.76 (+1.54)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 53.86 (-1.81)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 25000 78.75 (+1.11)          The Partner (PRTNR) 8000 44.97 (+0.42)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 76754 229.70 (+0.75)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 3937 36.49 (-0.25)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 25000 101.67 (+15.00)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 25000 101.67 (+15.00)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 25000 4.07 (-0.20)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 76.17 (+1.26)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 20.66 (+0.66)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 37.16 (+4.25)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 7.76 (+1.54)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 150000 14.42 (+2.06)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 150000 14.42 (+2.06)          Liv Tyler (LTYLE) 25000 57.48 (0.00)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 62.33 (+4.26)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 62.33 (+4.26)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 149999 4.51 (+0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 13111 762.77 (+10.01)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 149999 8.60 (+0.01)          Matthew Macfadyen (MMACF) 25000 68.30 (0.00)          Matthew Macfadyen (MMACF) 25000 68.30 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 17.87 (+0.85)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 17.87 (+0.85)          They Found Us (THFUS) 150000 4.89 (+0.03)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 17.87 (+0.85)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 7.16 (+0.02)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 17.87 (+0.85)          Spirit (SPRIT) 150000 3.29 (+0.06)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 17.87 (+0.85)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 12.68 (+0.20)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 17.87 (+0.85)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 589.23 (+5.36)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.14 (+0.24)