SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4568 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 48.28 (-0.21)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 10.97 (-0.14)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 10.97 (-0.14)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.69 (-0.15)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.69 (-0.15)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 4.43 (+0.08)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 4.43 (+0.08)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.74 (-0.16)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.74 (-0.16)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.82 (-0.43)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.82 (-0.43)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 9.30 (-0.51)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 9.30 (-0.51)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.27 (+0.31)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.27 (+0.31)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.27 (+0.31)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 15.74 (+0.49)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 15.74 (+0.49)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Control (COTRL) 100000 6.02 (-0.09)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.38 (+0.27)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.38 (+0.27)          What's Going On (WSGON) 150000 0.13 (0.00)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 100000 9.03 (-0.05)          The Young People (TYPEP) 100000 13.21 (-0.12)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 433.92 (+8.47)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 20000 79.58 (+0.83)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 100 24.00 (+0.12)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 100 24.00 (+0.12)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 100000 10.71 (-0.12)          Adele Exarchopoulos (AEXAR) 100 47.75 (-0.16)          Adele Exarchopoulos (AEXAR) 100 47.75 (-0.16)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 10000 5.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 50000 79.58 (+0.83)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1000 9.30 (-0.51)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 8.72 (-1.28)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1000 9.30 (-0.51)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Invite (TINVT) 100000 19.66 (-0.23)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 100000 22.29 (-4.47)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 4.01 (-0.09)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 300.65 (-0.16)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 232.17 (+0.39)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 38352 55.89 (+5.89)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 30000 79.58 (+0.83)