SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4382 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Jetsons (JETSN) 50000 49.45 (+0.85)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 50000 12.80 (+0.68)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.59 (+0.76)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 16.01 (-0.41)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 87184 42.01 (+0.22)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 46.02 (+1.02)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 6.98 (+0.03)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 37.94 (+0.15)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 81.73 (-1.13)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 2.27 (+0.27)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 15.46 (-1.08)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 15.46 (-1.08)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 29541 81.73 (-1.13)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 46.02 (+1.02)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 2.27 (+0.27)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 25000 46.02 (+1.02)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 10000 46.02 (+1.02)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 100000 49.45 (+0.85)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 15.46 (-1.08)          Primetime (PRMTM) 149999 15.46 (-1.08)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.63 (-1.53)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.63 (-1.53)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 149999 7.43 (+0.44)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 150000 7.43 (+0.44)          42.6 Years (426YR) 149999 8.91 (+0.68)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 8.91 (+0.68)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 100000 29.92 (-0.06)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 81.73 (-1.13)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.63 (-1.53)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.63 (-1.53)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.63 (-1.53)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 15.46 (-1.08)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 15.46 (-1.08)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 15.46 (-1.08)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 2.09 (+0.09)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 46.02 (+1.02)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 2.27 (+0.27)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 529 137.60 (-0.30)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 8.24 (-0.07)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 149999 8.24 (-0.07)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 47.52 (-0.34)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 10000 23.55 (-0.05)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 149999 47.52 (-0.34)          Aaron Pierre (APIER) 1000 132.87 (-0.01)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 222.40 (-0.50)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 149999 222.40 (-0.50)          Leo Woodall (LWOOD) 25000 6.31 (+0.05)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 37.52 (+0.25)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 50000 39.50 (0.00)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 37.52 (+0.25)