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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10335 views

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Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.82 (+0.16)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 149999 5.06 (+0.19)          Buds (BUDS) 140000 38.24 (+0.06)          CBS: Marshals (YMARSH) 300 10.50 (0.00)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 1 0.73 (0.00)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 100 12.61 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 100000 18.51 (-0.46)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 140000 18.51 (-0.46)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 150000 5.76 (+0.44)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 150000 5.76 (+0.44)          Runner (RUNNR) 50000 10.92 (-0.47)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 17.94 (+0.50)          Stanley Tucci (STUCC) 100 28.21 (-0.12)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 17.94 (+0.50)          Daniel Kaluuya (DKALU) 25000 100.94 (+1.01)          Daniel Kaluuya (DKALU) 25000 100.94 (+1.01)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 50000 18.51 (-0.46)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 11.17 (+0.43)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 105 37.98 (-0.03)          Sonequa Martin-Green (SMGRE) 10 21.88 (+0.12)          Gambino (GMBNO) 10000 11.17 (+0.43)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 140000 70.16 (+0.33)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 8504 37.98 (-0.03)          Sharlto Copley (SCOPL) 10 12.66 (+0.01)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 14.87 (+0.92)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 5.06 (+0.19)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 50000 18.51 (-0.46)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 50000 18.51 (-0.46)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 10000 91.51 (-0.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 10000 57.25 (-0.04)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 25000 8.71 (0.00)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 100 129.62 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 25000 11.17 (+0.43)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.82 (+0.16)          Normal (NORML) 100000 16.56 (+0.77)          Meghann Fahy (MFAHY) 300 4.92 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 25000 11.17 (+0.43)          Kristen Wiig (KWIIG) 100 88.17 (0.00)          Taika Waititi (TAWAI) 25000 99.26 (-1.00)          Rose (ROSE) 10000 1.72 (-0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 5.06 (+0.19)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 2.68 (+0.02)          Justin Theroux (JTHER) 10 125.42 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 64336 14.87 (+0.92)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 100 20.01 (0.00)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 10 179.41 (0.00)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 10 16.98 (0.00)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 10 6.56 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 7.89 (+0.60)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 5.06 (+0.19)