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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 9943 views

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Cleopatra (CLEOP) 50000 59.06 (+0.01)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 500 161.72 (-0.11)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.96 (-1.59)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.96 (-1.59)          Better Man (BETRM) 50000 29.78 (+0.03)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.60 (+0.93)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.60 (+0.93)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 18.11 (+1.07)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 18.11 (+1.07)          Goodrich (GDRCH) 150000 6.49 (-0.05)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.36 (+0.36)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.44 (+2.47)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.44 (+2.47)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 150000 12.24 (-0.06)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1000 124.03 (-2.41)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 50000 21.29 (-0.25)          Madden (MADEN) 52276 25.36 (+0.36)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 50000 16.30 (-0.17)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 59.81 (-0.39)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 10000 134.57 (+0.12)          The Forge (TFORG) 3 18.11 (+1.07)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 18.11 (+1.07)          Madden (MADEN) 314 25.36 (+0.36)          Asa Butterfield (ABUTT) 999 3.64 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.36 (+0.36)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 1000 3.23 (-0.13)          Clue (CLUE) 50000 18.44 (+2.47)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.43 (+1.58)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.43 (+1.58)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 149999 124.03 (-2.41)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.36 (+0.36)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 132.18 (-1.88)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.03 (-2.41)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 132.18 (-1.88)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.03 (-2.41)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 132.18 (-1.88)          Playdate (PLYDT) 1000 16.14 (-0.26)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 132.18 (-1.88)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.31 (-0.69)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.31 (-0.69)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 45.56 (-4.44)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 45.56 (-4.44)          Madden (MADEN) 50000 25.36 (+0.36)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1000 54.11 (+1.84)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.28 (+1.18)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.96 (-1.59)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.67 (-1.67)