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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10404 views

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Seth Rogen (SROGE) 22048 74.99 (-0.47)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 169.12 (-2.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 241.70 (+2.32)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 20000 89.56 (-0.26)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 109007 77.50 (-3.80)          The Catch (TCATC) 1 68.68 (+1.57)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10000 11.98 (+0.06)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 20000 42.64 (+0.37)          Kiefer Sutherland (KSUTH) 25000 8.07 (+0.20)          Kiefer Sutherland (KSUTH) 25000 8.07 (+0.20)          Kiefer Sutherland (KSUTH) 25000 8.07 (+0.20)          Pressure (PRSUR) 19996 15.07 (-0.38)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 33.96 (-0.37)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 33.96 (-0.37)          Ariana Greenblatt (ARGRE) 25000 81.85 (-1.25)          Ariana Greenblatt (ARGRE) 25000 81.85 (-1.25)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.66 (-6.15)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.66 (-6.15)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.19 (-6.44)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.19 (-6.44)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 4.84 (-0.01)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 4.84 (-0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 140.27 (-4.50)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.78 (+0.14)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.78 (+0.14)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 1.89 (+0.06)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 500 36.55 (+1.26)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.19 (-6.44)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 25000 115.34 (-1.63)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.74 (+1.74)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 149990 115.34 (-1.63)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10000 11.98 (+0.06)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 43.06 (-2.01)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 43.06 (-2.01)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 60000 57.66 (+0.38)          Moana (MOAN1) 50000 241.70 (+2.32)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1000 6.19 (-6.44)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1000 6.19 (-6.44)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 100 6.56 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 77.50 (-3.80)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 1000 6.40 (+0.01)          Ecto aka Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 1000 4.59 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 78000 3.52 (+0.18)          Voltron (VOLTN) 477 20.69 (-0.06)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 10000 35.17 (+0.10)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.74 (+1.74)          Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 25000 89.67 (+0.25)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 20000 6.89 (-0.01)          Rosa Salazar (RSALA) 25000 56.10 (+0.16)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 10000 35.17 (+0.10)