SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Tyler Perry takes on Navy Seals



As Hollywood prepares for the annual Academy Awards on Sunday, four new releases hope to catch the attention of moviegoers. Good Deeds [GDEED] is the latest original drama from filmmaker Tyler Perry [TPERR]. His reliable fanbase of older black women will turn out like clockwork even without the benefit of the Madea character. Opening in 2132 theaters, Good Deeds may translate into about $19 million and first place at the weekend box office.

Real life, active Navy Seals are the star of the fictional actioner Act of Valor [AOVAL]. Relativity snapped up the completed film in the aftermath of the Seals raid that killed Osama Bin Laden.  The R-rated film plays like a first-person shooter videogame which will appeal to the male demographic. Diving into 3039 theaters, Act of Valor may score around $17 million.

After enjoying a holiday bump in their second weekend, Safe House [SAFEH], Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] and The Vow [THVOW] could all drop down between $13 million and $12 million.

Jennifer Aniston [JANIS] and Paul Rudd [PRUDD] team up for the R-rated comedy Wanderlust [WLUST]. The Judd Apatow produced film has received good reviews, which should help with its target audience of older couples. Playing in just 2001 locations, Wanderlust may settle with $11 million.

After finding success in romance, Amanda Seyfried [ASEYF] tries a different genre with Gone [GONE]. Summit’s marketing has not made the PG-13 rated thriller look any better than the average TV movie. Witrh the appeal limited to young women, Gone could earn just $5.5 million from 2186 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor. A reminder, AwardOptions will halt on Sunday at 1 pm Pacific. Get your final trades in now and profit from your predictions!



Tag(s): GDEED, TPERR, AOVAL, SAFEH, MYSTR, THVOW, JANIS, PRUDD, WLUST, ASEYF, GONE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 23, 2012 @ 04:30 PM        6167 views


Recent Comments

arf
Friday, February 24 at 12:27 PM Pacific
... all of which should lead to a debut around $20 million (Relativity is more modestly projecting between $15 and $17 million). http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3376&p=.htm


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Guernsey Literary and Potato Pee (GLPPS) 100000 3.94 (-0.91)         The Angry Birds Movie (ANGRB) 99999 63.48 (+0.06)         Playmobil: Robbers, Thieves & Re (PMOBL) 100000 19.69 (-1.27)         The Jungle Book (JNGLB) 36 156.55 (-0.22)         The Angry Birds Movie (ANGRB) 99999 63.48 (+0.06)         Cowboy Ninja Viking (CBNVK) 100000 25.49 (+3.06)         Eddie Redmayne (EREDM) 500 52.12 (-0.13)         B.O.O: Bureau of Otherworldly Op (BOOU) 36476 9.21 (-0.03)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 99999 27.54 (+1.23)         Peter Berg (PEBER) 1389 89.46 (+0.61)         Thor: Ragnarok (THOR3) 2500 136.96 (+0.12)         478 (478) 99999 2.53 (-0.28)         Cowboy Ninja Viking (CBNVK) 97315 25.49 (+3.06)         Ryan Reynolds (RREYN) 5000 43.70 (+0.44)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 10000 27.54 (+1.23)         Hardcore Henry (HRDCR) 2000 18.66 (-0.03)         Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 20000 34.48 (+0.04)         The Trap (TTRAP) 100000 2.72 (+0.04)         Deadpool - Opening Weekend Fri-M (DEADP.OW) 5000 69.94 (-0.39)         Sausage Party (SAUSG) 100000 27.63 (+0.06)         The Little Mermaid (MERMD) 1 6.70 (0.00)         Monster High (MONHI) 1 9.45 (-0.04)         Robotech (RTECH) 1 10.87 (0.00)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 1 7.60 (0.00)         478 (478) 100000 2.53 (-0.28)         The Bounce Back (TBNCB) 2000 4.09 (-0.01)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 2000 41.93 (+1.78)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 2000 24.57 (+1.95)         Popeye (POPEY) 2000 24.19 (-1.21)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 10000 41.93 (+1.78)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 4000 27.42 (-1.70)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 100000 24.57 (+1.95)         Catfight (CATFT) 100000 5.83 (+0.80)         Kicks (KICKZ) 100000 4.02 (+1.01)         Cowboy Ninja Viking (CBNVK) 100000 25.49 (+3.06)         The Lobster (LOBST) 14965 1.90 (+0.27)         Precious Cargo (PRCRG) 100000 2.35 (+0.06)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 50000 27.54 (+1.23)         The Ends of the Earth (TEOTE) 100000 0.99 (+0.04)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 100000 27.54 (+1.23)         The Ballad of Richard Jewell (RJEWE) 100000 7.06 (-0.03)         The Devil in the White City (DITWC) 100000 37.45 (+0.07)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 1 27.54 (+1.23)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 15000 27.54 (+1.23)         Untitled Darren Aronofsky (UDARO) 100000 27.54 (+1.23)         Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates (MDNWD) 100000 27.42 (-1.70)         The Divergent Series: Ascendant (DVRG4) 27957 73.56 (-0.10)         God's Not Dead 2 (GODN2) 1111 24.71 (+1.29)         Bel Powley (BPOWL) 2 0.91 (-0.01)         Guernsey Literary and Potato Pee (GLPPS) 20000 3.94 (-0.91)