SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Tyler Perry takes on Navy Seals



As Hollywood prepares for the annual Academy Awards on Sunday, four new releases hope to catch the attention of moviegoers. Good Deeds [GDEED] is the latest original drama from filmmaker Tyler Perry [TPERR]. His reliable fanbase of older black women will turn out like clockwork even without the benefit of the Madea character. Opening in 2132 theaters, Good Deeds may translate into about $19 million and first place at the weekend box office.

Real life, active Navy Seals are the star of the fictional actioner Act of Valor [AOVAL]. Relativity snapped up the completed film in the aftermath of the Seals raid that killed Osama Bin Laden.  The R-rated film plays like a first-person shooter videogame which will appeal to the male demographic. Diving into 3039 theaters, Act of Valor may score around $17 million.

After enjoying a holiday bump in their second weekend, Safe House [SAFEH], Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] and The Vow [THVOW] could all drop down between $13 million and $12 million.

Jennifer Aniston [JANIS] and Paul Rudd [PRUDD] team up for the R-rated comedy Wanderlust [WLUST]. The Judd Apatow produced film has received good reviews, which should help with its target audience of older couples. Playing in just 2001 locations, Wanderlust may settle with $11 million.

After finding success in romance, Amanda Seyfried [ASEYF] tries a different genre with Gone [GONE]. Summit’s marketing has not made the PG-13 rated thriller look any better than the average TV movie. Witrh the appeal limited to young women, Gone could earn just $5.5 million from 2186 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor. A reminder, AwardOptions will halt on Sunday at 1 pm Pacific. Get your final trades in now and profit from your predictions!



Tag(s): GDEED, TPERR, AOVAL, SAFEH, MYSTR, THVOW, JANIS, PRUDD, WLUST, ASEYF, GONE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 23, 2012 @ 04:30 PM        6623 views


Recent Comments

arf
Friday, February 24 at 12:27 PM Pacific
... all of which should lead to a debut around $20 million (Relativity is more modestly projecting between $15 and $17 million). http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3376&p=.htm


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Paul Giamatti (PGIAM) 500 37.99 (+1.55)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 100000 6.96 (-0.06)         Ready Player One (RDYP1) 1 109.80 (+0.74)         Fantastic Beasts and Where to Fi (FBSTS) 100 219.77 (-0.17)         Gigantic (GGNTC) 2563 38.65 (+0.06)         Nocturnal Animals (NOCAN) 19000 9.77 (+2.32)         Ghost Team (GHSTM) 1000 2.27 (-0.77)         Cara Delevingne (CDELE) 20000 40.74 (+0.26)         Rebel in the Rye (RBLRY) 17 9.54 (+1.74)         Walter the Farting Dog (WFDOG) 100000 0.21 (+0.04)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 1 25.42 (+2.67)         Julia Roberts (JROBE) 500 31.73 (+0.90)         Nocturnal Animals (NOCAN) 17 9.77 (+2.32)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 100000 25.42 (+2.67)         Nocturnal Animals (NOCAN) 17 9.77 (+2.32)         Walter the Farting Dog (WFDOG) 100000 0.21 (+0.04)         Tye Sheridan (TSHER) 20000 14.48 (-0.05)         Cochran & LaFarge (COLAF) 460 14.17 (-0.09)         Rock that Body aka Move that Bod (THBDY) 5 26.20 (+2.70)         Tom Holland (TOHOL) 20000 49.11 (+0.01)         Nicolas Winding Refn (NWREF) 500 8.93 (+0.93)         Rock that Body aka Move that Bod (THBDY) 75000 26.20 (+2.70)         Maleficent 2 (MALF2) 1 96.41 (+7.53)         The Bye Bye Man (BYBYM) 7886 25.42 (+2.67)         Christian Bale (CBALE) 500 61.78 (+2.33)         Cruella (CRULA) 1000 50.53 (-0.98)         The Little Mermaid (MERMD) 99999 11.22 (+0.90)         ABC: The Real O'Neals (ONEALS) 1279 11.27 (+0.05)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 1 54.82 (+1.81)         The Little Mermaid (MERMD) 100000 11.22 (+0.90)         Maleficent 2 (MALF2) 500 96.41 (+7.53)         Hotel Transylvania 3 (HTRN3) 1 55.37 (-0.32)         All I See Is You (AISIY) 500 3.70 (+1.07)         I Walk With the Dead (IWWTD) 100000 0.45 (0.00)         Halloween Returns (HALW3) 100000 10.36 (-2.69)         I Walk With the Dead (IWWTD) 100000 0.45 (0.00)         What Happened to Monday? (WHMON) 100000 7.12 (+0.12)         Yogi Bear 2 (YOGI2) 500 5.26 (+1.31)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 100000 0.35 (-0.05)         Disney Studio Fund (DISNX) 297 84.05 (+0.54)         Gregory the Nuisance aka Pyongya (GREGN) 100000 0.35 (-0.05)         Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 100000 195.51 (-0.58)         Rebel in the Rye (RBLRY) 500 9.54 (+1.74)         Alice Through the Looking Glass (ALCN2) 10 127.75 (-3.46)         Amusement Park (AMUSM) 5 34.09 (+0.06)         Nocturnal Animals (NOCAN) 15000 9.77 (+2.32)         The BFG (TBFG) 1 109.20 (-1.75)         Salt 2 (SALT2) 100000 0.42 (-0.01)         Anon (ANON) 500 20.04 (+2.00)         The Angry Birds Movie (ANGRB) 1000 108.69 (-2.35)