SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Hotel Transylvania have vacancy?

Sony hopes to reinvigorate a slow September with a couple of new releases. First off is the 3D animated Hotel Transylvania [HTRNS] featuring Adam Sandler [ASAND] as Dracula and his buddies as other classic monsters of cinema. Dracula’s rebellious daughter is played by Selena Gomez [SGOME], which should appeal to young kids.  The marketplace has been starved for a movie that serves a broad audience, so the PG-rated comedy arrives in theaters at the right moment. Checking into 3349 theaters, Hotel Transylvania could book at least $26 million.

Sony counter-programs itself with the R-rated sci-fi actioner Looper [LOOPR]. Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] stars as an assassin who has to kill his older self from the future in the form of Bruce Willis [BWILL]. Time traveling stories are always popular if contained with the right internal logic. With excellent reviews, Looper appears to have accomplished that goal, which should attract a smart audience looking for a movie with an original premise. Playing in 2992 theaters, Looper may deliver around $23 million.

Last weekend’s upset winner End of Watch [ENDWT] should hold well with its excellent word of mouth. A decline around 45% would bring in $7.5 million for third place.

With an older target demographic that waits on opening weekend, the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV] may drop just 40% to $7 million in its second weekend. On the other hand, the horror thriller House at the End of the Street [ENDST] looks to tumble more than 55% to $5.5 million since most of its young target audience came out on last weekend.

The weekend’s third new wide opener Won’t Back Down [WBACD] stars Maggie Gyllenhaal [MGYLL] and Viola Davis [VDAVI] as mothers taking on the public school system to improve their kid’s education. The PG-rated drama looks to interest only older women, who could just wait for the story to appear on the small screen. Won’t Back Down may earn just $4 million from 2515 locations.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): HTRNS, ASAND, SGOME, LOOPR, JGORD, BWILL, ENDWT, TCURV, ENDST, WBACD, MGYLL, VDAVI

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 27, 2012 @ 03:58 PM 3243 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 9.61 (+0.10)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 6000 40.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 1000 229.33 (-0.18)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 10.37 (-0.30)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 25000 40.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 1000 229.33 (-0.18)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10 362.45 (+0.76)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 1 43.05 (+5.21)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 43.05 (+5.21)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 787 32.74 (-1.98)          Newborn (SOLIT) 10000 0.57 (-0.01)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 88.73 (+1.98)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 4.03 (+0.47)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 4.03 (+0.47)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.74 (-0.03)          Clifton Collins Jr. (CCOLL) 25000 4.23 (-0.15)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 32588 169.95 (+1.30)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 99755 55.61 (-0.06)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.68 (+1.35)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 150000 14.61 (+1.77)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 14.14 (-1.35)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.68 (+1.35)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.32 (-0.83)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Do Not Enter aka Creepers (CREPR) 150000 1.86 (-0.12)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 149998 14.61 (+1.77)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 149996 14.61 (+1.77)          The Rosie Project (ROSIE) 8000 0.01 (-0.02)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.74 (-1.98)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 39999 34.64 (-0.91)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 1 1.72 (-0.28)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 2.35 (-0.14)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 150000 5.01 (-0.26)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.74 (-1.98)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.74 (-1.98)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          American Psycho (APSYC) 8000 24.13 (+0.17)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 100000 0.16 (+0.02)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 100000 8.64 (+0.03)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 8.70 (-0.13)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 8.70 (-0.13)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)