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Whisper Numbers: Will Hotel Transylvania have vacancy?

Sony hopes to reinvigorate a slow September with a couple of new releases. First off is the 3D animated Hotel Transylvania [HTRNS] featuring Adam Sandler [ASAND] as Dracula and his buddies as other classic monsters of cinema. Dracula’s rebellious daughter is played by Selena Gomez [SGOME], which should appeal to young kids.  The marketplace has been starved for a movie that serves a broad audience, so the PG-rated comedy arrives in theaters at the right moment. Checking into 3349 theaters, Hotel Transylvania could book at least $26 million.

Sony counter-programs itself with the R-rated sci-fi actioner Looper [LOOPR]. Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] stars as an assassin who has to kill his older self from the future in the form of Bruce Willis [BWILL]. Time traveling stories are always popular if contained with the right internal logic. With excellent reviews, Looper appears to have accomplished that goal, which should attract a smart audience looking for a movie with an original premise. Playing in 2992 theaters, Looper may deliver around $23 million.

Last weekend’s upset winner End of Watch [ENDWT] should hold well with its excellent word of mouth. A decline around 45% would bring in $7.5 million for third place.

With an older target demographic that waits on opening weekend, the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV] may drop just 40% to $7 million in its second weekend. On the other hand, the horror thriller House at the End of the Street [ENDST] looks to tumble more than 55% to $5.5 million since most of its young target audience came out on last weekend.

The weekend’s third new wide opener Won’t Back Down [WBACD] stars Maggie Gyllenhaal [MGYLL] and Viola Davis [VDAVI] as mothers taking on the public school system to improve their kid’s education. The PG-rated drama looks to interest only older women, who could just wait for the story to appear on the small screen. Won’t Back Down may earn just $4 million from 2515 locations.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): HTRNS, ASAND, SGOME, LOOPR, JGORD, BWILL, ENDWT, TCURV, ENDST, WBACD, MGYLL, VDAVI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 27, 2012 @ 03:58 PM 3328 views

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Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 2500 16.28 (+0.29)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 31.37 (+0.10)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.32 (-0.01)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.42 (-0.01)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 8.57 (-0.04)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 2000 21.59 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 5.90 (+0.27)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 1089 9.09 (-0.11)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.78 (+0.18)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 9.78 (+0.18)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 69999 58.63 (-0.82)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.09 (-0.11)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 1 13.23 (+0.49)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 5000 13.96 (+0.29)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 70000 6.94 (+0.07)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 10000 27.86 (+0.63)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 100000 9.09 (-0.11)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 149999 390.03 (+0.75)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 100000 4.43 (+0.22)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 10000 16.28 (+0.29)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 149999 9.09 (-0.11)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 12.97 (-0.12)          Primetime (PRMTM) 99999 22.99 (-0.42)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 20000 5.07 (+0.35)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 1 6.94 (+0.07)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.99 (-0.42)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.43 (+0.22)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 149999 4.43 (+0.22)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 60000 5.07 (+0.35)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 1 58.63 (-0.82)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 5.90 (+0.27)          Above The Below (ABELW) 149999 5.90 (+0.27)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 15000 58.63 (-0.82)          Primetime (PRMTM) 149999 22.99 (-0.42)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 20000 58.63 (-0.82)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 60000 13.23 (+0.49)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 58.63 (-0.82)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 85000 13.96 (+0.29)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 59999 13.96 (+0.29)