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Whisper Numbers: Mama looks tough to beat

The Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend brings 3 new wide openers. The supernatural horror Mama [MAMA] stars Jessica Chastain [JCHAS] and Nikolaj Coster-Waldau [NCOST] as a couple who take in her young nieces after they spent five years living in the woods. The Universal film is produced by Guillermo del Toro which should attract his male fanbases, while the PG-13 rating should appeal to women and teeangers that are into ghostly tales. Playing 2647 theaters, Mama may scare up $20 million over the 4-day weekend.

Chastain is also the Oscar-nominated star of Zero Dark Thirty [ZDTHR], which should exhibit a strong hold in its second weekend of wide release. The thriller about the hunt for Bin Laden could track down another $18 million through Monday.

Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] and Russell Crowe [RCROW] tangle in the political corruption thriller Broken City [BRKCT]. Fox is promoting the R-rated film heavily, but the reviews needed to draw in the target adult audience have been average. Last year, Wahlberg’s Contraband bagged $28.4 million over the long weekend. However, competition is more fierce this year from Zero Dark Thirty to Django Unchained, and the film’s premise won’t appeal to Wahlberg’s younger fans. Showing in 2620 theaters, Broken City may tally $15 million over the long weekend.

Arnold Schwarzenegger [ASCHW] is back in his first lead role since leaving political office in The Last Stand [LSTND].  Lionsgate knows how to sell R-rated actioners to male moviegoers and the film has earned surprisingly great reviews, thanks in part to Korean-import director Kim Jee-Woon. But as with Broken City, the marketplace is crowded with action fares.  Securing 2913 locations, The Last Stand could muster $12.6 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MAMA, JCHAS, NCOST, ZDTHR, MWAHL, RCROW, BRKCT, ASCHW, LSTND

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 17, 2013 @ 03:03 PM 3487 views

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Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 115.33 (-1.64)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 5.69 (+0.30)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 100000 9.20 (+0.60)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.80 (+1.80)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (-6.51)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 126871 25.00 (0.00)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (-6.51)          Peter Farrelly (FARRE) 1999 41.81 (-0.33)          Peter Farrelly (FARRE) 1999 41.81 (-0.33)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (-6.51)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 49999 9.20 (+0.60)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 150.34 (-3.89)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.80 (+1.80)          David Ayer (DAYER) 25000 80.74 (-0.50)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 5000 169.12 (-2.45)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 5000 150.34 (-3.89)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 5000 150.34 (-3.89)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 15000 140.26 (-4.51)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 15000 140.26 (-4.51)          Pablo Schreiber (PSCHR) 25000 38.25 (0.00)          Helldivers (HELDV) 25000 101.61 (-6.20)          Helldivers (HELDV) 25000 101.61 (-6.20)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 950 17.36 (-0.06)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 72.02 (-0.50)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 72.02 (-0.50)          Rosa Salazar (RSALA) 25000 56.27 (+0.33)          Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 25000 52.89 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 500 243.59 (+0.56)          Love Child (LOVCH) 149999 0.03 (-0.01)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 4000 43.28 (+1.71)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 3000 43.06 (-2.01)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 131.41 (-0.33)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.61 (-6.20)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 25000 53.43 (-0.16)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 3352 243.59 (+0.56)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.61 (-6.20)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.61 (-6.20)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 25000 23.00 (-0.12)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 5000 77.50 (-3.80)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 61.97 (+0.75)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 100001 25.00 (0.00)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 25000 49.93 (+0.16)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.77 (+0.13)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 10000 18.41 (-0.04)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 25000 45.12 (+0.16)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 4.81 (-0.04)          Anna Sawai (ASAWA) 25000 87.06 (-0.50)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (-6.51)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (-6.51)