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Whisper Numbers: How high will Iron Man 3 fly?

Marvel once again kicks off the summer blockbuster movie season with Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] the third solo outing for the armored superhero played by Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN]. Although the film is technically a sequel to 2010’s Iron Man 2, the story in Iron Man 3 follows the events of last year’s The Avengers, where Iron Man last made his appearance alongside Thor, Captain America and Hulk. As we all know, The Avengers set the all-time opening weekend record at $207.4 million and was beloved by moviegoers. That exceptional goodwill should overcome the underwhelming after-taste of Iron Man 2, which debuted to $128.1 million three years ago this weekend.

While Iron Man 2 played like a set up for The Avengers, the focus of Iron Man 3 is back squarely on Tony Stark. Gwyneth Paltrow [GPALT] is back as his love interest Pepper Potts while, his most famous comic foe The Mandarin, played by Ben Kingsley [BKING], finally makes his appearance. Shane Black takes over as director from Jon Favreau, and reviews so far have been overwhelmingly positive. Disney opened the PG-13 rated film first overseas, and the favorable reception has helped to fuel the buzz. The third Batman film The Dark Knight Rises debuted at $160.9 million without the benefit of 3D, though the theater shooting had a small effect. Blasting into 4235 theaters, Iron Man 3 should reach upwards of at least $160 million.

Despite a number one opening, Pain & Gain [PAING] was not well-received even by its older male target audience. The action comedy may lose 55% in its second session to $9 million. Facing competition in its third week of release, Oblivion [OBLVN] looks to drop 55% to $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): IRNM3, RDOWN, GPALT, BKING, PAING, OBLVN

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 2, 2013 @ 03:44 PM 3228 views

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Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 2500 16.28 (+0.29)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 31.37 (+0.10)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.32 (-0.01)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.42 (-0.01)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 8.57 (-0.04)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 2000 21.59 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 5.90 (+0.27)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 1089 9.09 (-0.11)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.78 (+0.18)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 9.78 (+0.18)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 69999 58.63 (-0.82)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.09 (-0.11)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 1 13.23 (+0.49)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 5000 13.96 (+0.29)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 70000 6.94 (+0.07)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 10000 27.86 (+0.63)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 100000 9.09 (-0.11)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 149999 390.03 (+0.75)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 100000 4.43 (+0.22)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 10000 16.28 (+0.29)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 149999 9.09 (-0.11)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 12.97 (-0.12)          Primetime (PRMTM) 99999 22.99 (-0.42)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 20000 5.07 (+0.35)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 1 6.94 (+0.07)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.99 (-0.42)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.43 (+0.22)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 149999 4.43 (+0.22)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 60000 5.07 (+0.35)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 1 58.63 (-0.82)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 5.90 (+0.27)          Above The Below (ABELW) 149999 5.90 (+0.27)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 15000 58.63 (-0.82)          Primetime (PRMTM) 149999 22.99 (-0.42)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 20000 58.63 (-0.82)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 60000 13.23 (+0.49)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 58.63 (-0.82)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 85000 13.96 (+0.29)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 59999 13.96 (+0.29)