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Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 2659 views

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The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 19.42 (-1.33)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 19.42 (-1.33)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 19.42 (-1.33)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 36.59 (-5.48)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 149999 36.59 (-5.48)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 44000 17.25 (+1.50)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 2000 17.25 (+1.50)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 9.25 (+0.33)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 9.25 (+0.33)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 25000 19.46 (+0.51)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 25000 19.46 (+0.51)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 25000 19.46 (+0.51)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 28.55 (-1.74)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 28.55 (-1.74)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.54 (-1.46)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.54 (-1.46)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)          Challengers (CHALN) 100000 31.55 (-0.41)          Michael (MJACK) 149999 62.51 (-0.49)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 100000 77.46 (-0.74)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.13 (-1.99)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 25000 375.56 (+1.32)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 49999 4.41 (+1.13)          Civil War (CVLWR) 17299 61.84 (-0.18)          With Love (WOLOV) 49999 25.73 (+1.22)          Maria (MARIA) 50000 13.10 (+0.66)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 49999 91.42 (+4.59)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)          Tarot (HRSCP) 36799 29.46 (-0.24)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 9999 24.37 (+0.04)          Death Of A Unicorne (DUNIC) 9999 19.98 (-0.04)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 9999 32.73 (-0.17)          White Bird (WHBRD) 9999 12.16 (+0.11)          With Love (WOLOV) 149998 25.73 (+1.22)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 55000 201.35 (+0.35)          The Phoenician Scheme (TPSCH) 24999 21.04 (-0.14)          With Love (WOLOV) 149999 25.73 (+1.22)          Bird (BIRD) 74999 2.89 (-0.05)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 24999 13.82 (-0.17)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 64.46 (-0.50)          Apex aka Untitled Formula 1 Proj (FORM1) 24999 45.68 (+0.23)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 100000 17.05 (-0.11)          Night of the Living Dead (NOTLD) 40000 9.84 (-0.07)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 61.84 (-0.18)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 74999 9.25 (+0.33)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 61.84 (-0.18)          Untitled Ryan Coogler Event Movi (URCEM) 10000 61.01 (-0.33)          Untitled Ryan Coogler Event Movi (URCEM) 1 61.01 (-0.33)          The Best Christmas Pageant Ever (TBCPE) 10000 27.10 (+1.06)