SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will The Losers and The Back-Up Plan live down to their titles?

Although DreamWorks Animation estimated a gross that put How to Train Your Dragon back atop the box office last weekend, the film actually ended up in second place behind Kick-Ass [KCKAS].  With lackluster new offerings from the studios this weekend, the animated fantasy gets another chance to regain the top spot in its fifth weekend.  A decline around 25% would still bring in $15 million, which should be enough for Dragon to swoop back into first place.

Although The Losers [LOSRS] boasts an attractive cast led by Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Jeffrey Dean Morgan [JDMOR] and Chris Evans [CEVAN], none of the stars are proven box office draw.   Warner Bros. was late in generating buzz for the comic adaptation and light on the marketing for the PG-13 rated actioner.  Appealing primarily to young males, The Losers could come through with $12 million from 2936 theaters.

After a five year hiatus, Jennifer Lopez [JLOPE] returns to theaters with the romantic comedy The Back-Up Plan [PLANB].   Even though their first release Extraordinary Measures bombed with a $6 million opening, CBS Films hopefully learned valuable lessons for their second film, also targeted at adult moviegoers. The pregnancy storyline however will limit the appeal to older women.  Opening in 3280 theaters, The Back-Up Plan could conceive around $11 million.

The R-rated superhero satire Kick-Ass [KCKAS] turned out not to have wide appeal outside the fanboy crowd.  With word of mouth mixed, the ultra-violent Kick-Ass looks to tumble at least 50% in its second outing to about $9 million.

Disneynature debuts the nature documentary Oceans [OCENS] for this year’s Earth Day.  Last year, Earth earned $4.4 million on Earth Day on its way to an $8.8 million weekend.   Earth was adapted from a popular BBC miniseries.  The less heralded Oceans may settle for a $5 million weekend from 1206 locations.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): KCKAS, LOSRS, ZSALD, JDMOR, CEVAN, JLOPE, PLANB, OCENS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 22, 2010 @ 03:29 PM 3795 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 3.78 (+0.26)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.39 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 8.04 (+0.57)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 10000 134.69 (+0.24)          IF (IMGNF) 75000 150.38 (-1.30)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 100000 124.12 (-2.32)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 150.38 (-1.30)          Challengers (CHALN) 9998 38.92 (+1.38)          Joker: Folie Ă  Deux (JOKE2) 10000 268.13 (+0.75)          Challengers (CHALN) 89 38.92 (+1.38)          Challengers (CHALN) 7878 38.92 (+1.38)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 565 54.81 (+2.54)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.24 (+2.27)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 98 54.81 (+2.54)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 75000 54.81 (+2.54)          Clue (CLUE) 899 18.24 (+2.27)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 9999 54.81 (+2.54)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 8888 54.81 (+2.54)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.49 (-0.51)          Clue (CLUE) 50000 18.24 (+2.27)          Challengers (CHALN) 5000 38.92 (+1.38)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.39 (0.00)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 25000 44.88 (-0.33)          The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 97.12 (-0.38)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 888 23.56 (-0.55)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 423 14.06 (-0.22)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1250 54.81 (+2.54)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Ralph Fiennes (RFIEN) 25000 41.32 (-0.16)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 250 54.81 (+2.54)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 5000 54.81 (+2.54)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 8.04 (+0.57)          The Black Hole (BLKHO) 145000 0.03 (+0.02)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 50000 11.06 (-1.49)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 36337 124.12 (-2.32)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 82003 54.81 (+2.54)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.81 (+2.54)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.50 (+1.65)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.50 (+1.65)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 100 48.51 (-0.19)          Michael Mann (MMANN) 500 59.84 (-0.25)          Andrew Scott (ANSCO) 250 49.75 (-0.16)          Challengers (CHALN) 57000 38.92 (+1.38)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 7.75 (-0.49)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.84 (+0.06)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.84 (+0.06)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.65 (-0.11)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 40000 26.38 (-1.64)