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Whisper Numbers: The Twilight Saga set to Eclipse the box office.

Two new films with built-in audiences open mid-week as the box office head into the Independence Day holiday weekend.  The phenomenon The Twilight Saga returns with its third entry Eclipse [TWLI3].   The sequel has already set a new midnight record at $30+ million on its way to a first day total of $68.5 million, which also becomes a box office record for Wednesday.  There was no doubt the vampire vs. werewolf romance would be highly anticipated by “Twihards”.  The question now is whether Eclipse will turn out to be front-loaded.  Summit has given Eclipse the widest release ever at 4416 theaters.  Good word of mouth should drive additional business over the holiday weekend.  Team Edward and Team Jacob together are poised to haul in $95 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $185 million.

Even though Toy Story 3 [TOYS3] will give up the box office crown after two weeks, the Pixar animated sequel should remain the number one option for a broad segment of moviegoers.  The holiday weekend gives them a chance to check out the beloved characters for the last time on screen.  Toy Story 3 looks to bank another $40 million.

M. Night Shylamalan [MNSHY] has adapted the anime series “Avatar: The Last Airbender” into the live-action The Last Airbender [BENDR].  The PG-rated fantasy is riding in on a wave of bad publicity from casting White actors in Asian roles to the late conversion to 3D.  The film is likely to only appeal to families with young children as the terrible reviews may even turn off the hardcore fans.  Swooping into 3169 theaters, The Last Airbender could gather $32 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $42 million.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] and gang have not grown up and moviegoers love them for it.  Grown Ups [GRWUP] should bring families together over the holiday weekend to display around $24 million worth of box office fireworks.

The mild opening of Knight and Day [KNDAY] demonstrated moviegoers are over Tom Cruise [TCRUI].  The action romance may settle for $12 million over the 4-day weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI3, TOYS3, MNSHY, BENDR, ASAND, GRWUP, KNDAY, TCRUI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 1, 2010 @ 02:19 PM 3405 views

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b4bad
Friday, July 2 at 07:33 AM Pacific
Thursday estimates put it to $16M ... source : http://www.deadline.com/2010/07/thursday-box-office-eclipse-25m-the-last-airbender-16m-toy-story-3-8m/



In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.29 (+1.01)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.29 (+1.01)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.36 (+1.36)          Downtown Owl (DTOWL) 150000 0.08 (-0.06)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 15000 4.29 (+1.01)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 4.44 (+0.06)          Untitled Martin McDonagh Project (UMAMC) 150000 2.22 (+0.03)          Untitled Martin McDonagh Project (UMAMC) 150000 2.22 (+0.03)          Sing 3 (SING3) 16232 98.89 (+0.51)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.08 (-2.04)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 50208 281.67 (-0.20)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 135.46 (+1.59)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.36 (-1.64)          Unsung Heroes H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 24998 2.90 (-0.09)          Javier Bardem (JBARD) 25000 122.11 (-1.00)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 25000 201.26 (+0.26)          Elio (ELIO) 150000 119.49 (+0.11)          Lio Tipton (ATIPT) 25000 35.55 (-0.13)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.97 (+1.46)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.97 (+1.46)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 25000 126.27 (-1.33)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.36 (-1.64)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 149997 36.44 (-5.63)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 100000 19.36 (-1.39)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 75000 9.27 (+0.35)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.36 (+1.36)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 3 36.44 (-5.63)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 145000 106.37 (+0.25)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 25000 8.11 (+0.14)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 170.14 (+1.27)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 149999 19.34 (+0.39)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 149999 19.34 (+0.39)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 150000 312.09 (+1.26)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 91.46 (+4.63)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 149999 17.11 (+1.36)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 149999 17.11 (+1.36)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 31472 91.46 (+4.63)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.36 (+1.36)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 25000 54.69 (-1.18)          Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 25000 24.58 (-0.75)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.97 (+1.46)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 21 135.46 (+1.59)          Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F (BHCP4) 150000 0.08 (+0.03)          Brother and Sister (BRSIS) 150000 0.08 (0.00)          The Division (DIVSN) 150000 0.09 (+0.03)          Balestra (BALES) 150000 0.11 (+0.01)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.36 (+1.36)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.36 (+1.36)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 8.35 (-0.14)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.36 (+1.36)