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Whisper Numbers: The Twilight Saga set to Eclipse the box office.

Two new films with built-in audiences open mid-week as the box office head into the Independence Day holiday weekend.  The phenomenon The Twilight Saga returns with its third entry Eclipse [TWLI3].   The sequel has already set a new midnight record at $30+ million on its way to a first day total of $68.5 million, which also becomes a box office record for Wednesday.  There was no doubt the vampire vs. werewolf romance would be highly anticipated by “Twihards”.  The question now is whether Eclipse will turn out to be front-loaded.  Summit has given Eclipse the widest release ever at 4416 theaters.  Good word of mouth should drive additional business over the holiday weekend.  Team Edward and Team Jacob together are poised to haul in $95 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $185 million.

Even though Toy Story 3 [TOYS3] will give up the box office crown after two weeks, the Pixar animated sequel should remain the number one option for a broad segment of moviegoers.  The holiday weekend gives them a chance to check out the beloved characters for the last time on screen.  Toy Story 3 looks to bank another $40 million.

M. Night Shylamalan [MNSHY] has adapted the anime series “Avatar: The Last Airbender” into the live-action The Last Airbender [BENDR].  The PG-rated fantasy is riding in on a wave of bad publicity from casting White actors in Asian roles to the late conversion to 3D.  The film is likely to only appeal to families with young children as the terrible reviews may even turn off the hardcore fans.  Swooping into 3169 theaters, The Last Airbender could gather $32 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $42 million.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] and gang have not grown up and moviegoers love them for it.  Grown Ups [GRWUP] should bring families together over the holiday weekend to display around $24 million worth of box office fireworks.

The mild opening of Knight and Day [KNDAY] demonstrated moviegoers are over Tom Cruise [TCRUI].  The action romance may settle for $12 million over the 4-day weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI3, TOYS3, MNSHY, BENDR, ASAND, GRWUP, KNDAY, TCRUI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 1, 2010 @ 02:19 PM 3757 views

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b4bad
Friday, July 2 at 07:33 AM Pacific
Thursday estimates put it to $16M ... source : http://www.deadline.com/2010/07/thursday-box-office-eclipse-25m-the-last-airbender-16m-toy-story-3-8m/



Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 150000 11.05 (+0.06)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 5000 50.94 (+0.94)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 5000 50.94 (+0.94)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 15.67 (-0.58)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 1087 10.70 (+0.23)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 5000 89.53 (+0.42)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 23.71 (+0.16)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 15.67 (-0.58)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 1 50.94 (+0.94)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 5000 50.94 (+0.94)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 149999 2.85 (+1.14)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 2.85 (+1.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 50.94 (+0.94)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 2.85 (+1.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 50.94 (+0.94)          Thrash (BSTRM) 135994 0.39 (-0.06)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 25000 6.91 (-0.20)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 3.52 (+0.05)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 87500 50.94 (+0.94)          Alana Haim (AHAIM) 25000 9.34 (-0.15)          Palestine '36 (PAL36) 150000 0.55 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 50.94 (+0.94)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 8 11.92 (+0.09)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 50.94 (+0.94)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 213.68 (-0.33)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 150 3.13 (+0.01)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 213.68 (-0.33)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 150 3.13 (+0.01)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 50.94 (+0.94)          Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) 5 30.05 (+0.13)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 4 21.85 (+0.06)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 36.27 (+0.42)          Voltron (VOLTN) 4 23.23 (0.00)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 5 9.00 (-0.03)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 36.27 (+0.42)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 16 51.90 (+0.78)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 4 9.00 (-0.03)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 165 13.01 (-0.12)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 50.94 (+0.94)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 18 50.94 (+0.94)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 6 41.96 (+0.19)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 4 33.11 (-0.08)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 40 93.41 (-0.91)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 100000 50.94 (+0.94)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 8 4.59 (-0.03)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 180 9.50 (+0.01)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 50000 16.06 (-0.09)          The Wizard of Kremlin (WZKRM) 300 4.74 (-0.01)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 50000 16.06 (-0.09)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 3 165.36 (+0.24)