SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Three new films challenge Battle Los Angeles.

A week after the male-targeted, sci-fi actioner Battle: Los Angeles [BATLA] dominated the box office, three new male-driven vehicles enter the marketplace looking to knock off the champ. While Battle: Los Angeles missed with critics, word of mouth has been much more favorable. However, big effects-laden films are often frontloaded.  Battle: Los Angeles looks to tumble about 55% to $16 million, which could still be enough to hold off the newcomers and repeat at number one.

With students out on spring break, the animated film Rango [RANGO] should hold better than 60% to $14 million and contend for second place.

The PG-13 rated thriller Limitless [LMTLS] will test the starpower of new leading man Bradley Cooper [BCOOP]. Relativity has poured on the marketing dollars which included an ad during the Super Bowl. The premise about a wonder drug that unlocks brain power should intrigue a broad audience. Opening in 2756 theaters, Limitless could tap into $14 million.

Seth Rogen [SROGE] voices an alien who escapes Area 51 in the R-rated comedy Paul [PAUL]. While Simon Pegg [SPEGG] has starred in a couple of mega franchises since his last team-up with Nick Frost [NFROS] in 2007’s Hot Fuzz, their popularity may still be limited to the Comic-Con fanboy community featured in the film.  Paul could land $13 million from 2801 locations.

Matthew McConaughey [MMCCO] toplines the thriller The Lincoln Lawyer [LNLAW]. A strong supporting cast has been assembled for the R-rated film targeted at adult moviegoers, rather than the typical female crowd that flock to his romantic comedies. Lionsgate tried to goose advance sales with a last minute deal with Groupon.  Debuting in 2707 theaters, The Lincoln Lawyer could bill about $12 million.

Without any new competition for female moviegoers, Red Riding Hood [GWRRH] could bag $8 million in its second weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): BATLA, RANGO, LMTLS, BCOOP, SROGE, PAUL, SPEGG, NFROS, MMCCO, LNLAW, GWRRH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 17, 2011 @ 04:17 PM 5727 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 40.36 (+1.26)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 40.36 (+1.26)          They Listen (THEYL) 30800 29.55 (+1.94)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.83 (+0.50)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 8.51 (+1.10)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 8.51 (+1.10)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 1.15 (+0.12)          Homestead (HMSTD) 1000 14.28 (+0.04)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 1.15 (+0.12)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 149999 6.00 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 120000 6.00 (0.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 100 28.81 (+0.29)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 2000 11.82 (+0.88)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 10977 8.27 (-3.24)          Thelma (THELM) 150000 3.48 (-0.07)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 150000 4.97 (-0.07)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 8.27 (-3.24)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 8.27 (-3.24)          Adrien Brody (ABROD) 1000 8.83 (-0.05)          Kiss of the Spider Woman (KOTSW) 150000 24.38 (-0.18)          Lily James (LJAME) 1 56.39 (-0.16)          Jamie Foxx (JFOXX) 1 85.19 (+0.49)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.48 (-3.54)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.48 (-3.54)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Good Fortune (GDFRT) 150000 30.00 (-0.10)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 77072 335.59 (+1.53)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 24.39 (-0.17)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 77160 335.59 (+1.53)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 28000 21.83 (+0.50)          Borderline (BRLIN) 150000 12.08 (-0.27)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.26 (-0.07)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.26 (-0.07)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.92 (+0.23)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.92 (+0.23)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 25000 47.62 (+1.89)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 1.15 (+0.12)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 25000 47.62 (+1.89)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 25000 6.00 (0.00)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 150000 2.80 (-0.01)          Civil War (CVLWR) 15 60.47 (+1.11)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 150000 29.00 (-0.09)          Brightwater (BRTWT) 20000 0.27 (+0.01)