SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6325 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.



The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 13500 94.12 (+0.01)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 5000 94.12 (+0.01)          The Wrong Girl (TWRNG) 100 8.45 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 18836 5.71 (+0.05)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 100 38.74 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 100 209.57 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 100 1.21 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 100 187.97 (-0.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149999 422.10 (-1.01)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 100 0.49 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 400 442.03 (0.00)          Lorne (LORNE) 100 1.37 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 25000 6.81 (-0.90)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 25000 14.73 (+0.78)          I Swear (ISWEA) 100 3.46 (0.00)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 25000 6.88 (+0.36)          Cold Pursuit 2 (CLDP2) 100 0.53 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 75000 6.81 (-0.90)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 100 29.81 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.71 (+0.05)          Highlander (HIGHL) 8559 39.05 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 242 57.25 (-0.04)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 1 17.74 (+0.30)          Liev Schreiber (LSCHR) 25000 20.64 (+0.37)          Tim Heidecker (THEID) 25000 5.98 (+0.05)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 17.74 (+0.30)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 87.96 (-0.25)          Daniel Kaluuya (DKALU) 25000 100.44 (+0.51)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 25000 16.31 (+0.18)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 20000 16.31 (+0.18)          Nick Frost (NFROS) 25000 57.54 (+0.16)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 25000 79.56 (-0.50)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 103.46 (-1.00)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 103.46 (-1.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 18.57 (-0.40)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 25000 14.23 (+0.09)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 40.81 (+0.13)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 107.57 (+0.33)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 162.30 (+0.63)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.38 (0.00)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.38 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 149997 6.81 (-0.90)