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Whisper Numbers: Four new films unlikely to overthrow Apes

With all the big summer blockbuster films out of the way, four moderate wide releases will try to make their mark. Rise of the Planet of the Apes [RSAPE] should be able to hold them off and retain the top spot for a second weekend. Even with positive word of mouth, the sci-fi film is likely to drop more than 50% to $27 million.

New Line’s horror sequel Final Destination 5 [FDES5] looks to fare best amongst the newcomers. The previous installment and the first in 3D, The Final Destination opened to a franchise best $27.4 million in 2009. However, 3D is no longer a novelty as 3D films has saturated the marketplace. The R-rated Final Destination 5 should benefit as the first horror opener since spring, which bring out starving fans of the genre. Arriving in 3155 theaters, Final Destination 5 could deliver about $24 million.

DreamWorks targets older women with the period drama The Help [THELP] based on a bestselling novel. The diverse cast and subject matter should also appeal to African-Americans. The PG-13 rated film opened on Wednesday and banked $5.5 million from fans of the book, which should help build word of mouth. Booked into 2534 theaters, The Help could clean up $18 million over the weekend.

The R-rated comedy 30 Minutes or Less [30MOL] stars Jesse Eisenberg [JEISE] and Aziz Ansari [AANSA] as roommates who are forced to rob a bank by criminals played by Danny McBride [DMCBR] and Nick Swardson [NSWAR]. Sony hopes to attract young males, though the trailers have not been laugh out loud funny. None of the cast are established box office draw either. 30 Minutes or Less could deliver $17 million from 2888 locations.

Fox hopes the legion of ‘gleeks’ will shell out for Glee The 3D Concert Movie [GLELV], a feature version of the concert tour based on the hit TV show. The buzz has been muted compared to the fervor for Justin Bieber, which opened to $29.5 million in February. Breaking into 2040 3D theaters, Glee The 3D Concert Movie could hit $11 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): RSAPE, FDES5, THELP, 30MOL, JEISE, AANSA, DMCBR, NSWAR, GLELV

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 11, 2011 @ 04:05 PM 6348 views

Recent Comments

DomoI
Tuesday, August 16 at 15:43 PM Pacific
"targets *older women* with the *period* drama"
nicolashookfin
Thursday, August 25 at 03:39 AM Pacific
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The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 13500 94.12 (+0.01)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 5000 94.12 (+0.01)          The Wrong Girl (TWRNG) 100 8.45 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 18836 5.71 (+0.05)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 100 38.74 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 100 209.57 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 100 1.21 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 100 187.97 (-0.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149999 422.10 (-1.01)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 100 0.49 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 400 442.03 (0.00)          Lorne (LORNE) 100 1.37 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 25000 6.81 (-0.90)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 25000 14.73 (+0.78)          I Swear (ISWEA) 100 3.46 (0.00)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 25000 6.88 (+0.36)          Cold Pursuit 2 (CLDP2) 100 0.53 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 75000 6.81 (-0.90)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 100 29.81 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.71 (+0.05)          Highlander (HIGHL) 8559 39.05 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 242 57.25 (-0.04)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 1 17.74 (+0.30)          Liev Schreiber (LSCHR) 25000 20.64 (+0.37)          Tim Heidecker (THEID) 25000 5.98 (+0.05)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 17.74 (+0.30)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 87.96 (-0.25)          Daniel Kaluuya (DKALU) 25000 100.44 (+0.51)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 25000 16.31 (+0.18)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 20000 16.31 (+0.18)          Nick Frost (NFROS) 25000 57.54 (+0.16)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 25000 79.56 (-0.50)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 103.46 (-1.00)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 103.46 (-1.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 18.57 (-0.40)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 25000 14.23 (+0.09)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 40.81 (+0.13)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 107.57 (+0.33)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.20 (-0.27)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 162.30 (+0.63)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.38 (0.00)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.38 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.75 (-0.35)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 149997 6.81 (-0.90)