ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade Blockbuster Warrants and profit from a movie's long run at the box office.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Four new films unlikely to overthrow Apes



With all the big summer blockbuster films out of the way, four moderate wide releases will try to make their mark. Rise of the Planet of the Apes [RSAPE] should be able to hold them off and retain the top spot for a second weekend. Even with positive word of mouth, the sci-fi film is likely to drop more than 50% to $27 million.

New Line’s horror sequel Final Destination 5 [FDES5] looks to fare best amongst the newcomers. The previous installment and the first in 3D, The Final Destination opened to a franchise best $27.4 million in 2009. However, 3D is no longer a novelty as 3D films has saturated the marketplace. The R-rated Final Destination 5 should benefit as the first horror opener since spring, which bring out starving fans of the genre. Arriving in 3155 theaters, Final Destination 5 could deliver about $24 million.

DreamWorks targets older women with the period drama The Help [THELP] based on a bestselling novel. The diverse cast and subject matter should also appeal to African-Americans. The PG-13 rated film opened on Wednesday and banked $5.5 million from fans of the book, which should help build word of mouth. Booked into 2534 theaters, The Help could clean up $18 million over the weekend.

The R-rated comedy 30 Minutes or Less [30MOL] stars Jesse Eisenberg [JEISE] and Aziz Ansari [AANSA] as roommates who are forced to rob a bank by criminals played by Danny McBride [DMCBR] and Nick Swardson [NSWAR]. Sony hopes to attract young males, though the trailers have not been laugh out loud funny. None of the cast are established box office draw either. 30 Minutes or Less could deliver $17 million from 2888 locations.

Fox hopes the legion of ‘gleeks’ will shell out for Glee The 3D Concert Movie [GLELV], a feature version of the concert tour based on the hit TV show. The buzz has been muted compared to the fervor for Justin Bieber, which opened to $29.5 million in February. Breaking into 2040 3D theaters, Glee The 3D Concert Movie could hit $11 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): RSAPE, FDES5, THELP, 30MOL, JEISE, AANSA, DMCBR, NSWAR, GLELV

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 11, 2011 @ 04:05 PM        4506 views


Recent Comments

DomoI
Tuesday, August 16 at 15:43 PM Pacific
"targets *older women* with the *period* drama"
nicolashookfin
Thursday, August 25 at 03:39 AM Pacific
85"><img src="http://www.superchristianlouboutin.org/images/s/Christian-Louboutin-Josefa-120-Platform-Sandals-Black-242-1.jpg" alt="Christian Louboutin Josefa 120 Platform Sandals Black" title=" Christian Louboutin Josefa 120 Platform Sandals Black " widt


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





    Follow HSX on Twitter!

    Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (PJAC2) 50000 44.41 (-3.87)         Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (PJAC2) 50 44.41 (-3.87)         Elysium (ELYSM) 100000 78.32 (-4.03)         Star Wars: Episode VII (STAR7) 58592 282.88 (+0.36)         Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (PJAC2) 100000 44.41 (-3.87)         Frankenstein - Fox (FRNKS) 100000 38.85 (+0.15)         Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (PJAC2) 100000 44.41 (-3.87)         Elysium (ELYSM) 50000 78.32 (-4.03)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 100000 31.02 (+2.92)         The Amazing Spider-Man 3 (SPID6) 3923 179.38 (+1.63)         Mary-Louise Parker (MLPAR) 20000 37.22 (-0.16)         The Coup (TCOUP) 1 11.71 (-0.82)         Elysium (ELYSM) 10 78.32 (-4.03)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 99999 31.02 (+2.92)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 100000 31.62 (-0.35)         The Coup (TCOUP) 100000 11.71 (-0.82)         Guardians of the Galaxy (GOTGX) 99999 189.83 (+0.80)         Planes (PLANE) 100000 65.55 (+4.73)         Midnight Special (MNSPL) 100000 21.36 (-0.15)         Elysium (ELYSM) 99999 78.32 (-4.03)         Crimson Peak (CRMSP) 100000 36.97 (+0.50)         Robopocalypse (RCLPS) 100000 31.62 (-0.35)         2 Guns (2GUNS) 500 69.32 (-0.60)         Moby Dick (MOBYD) 1 1.13 (+0.02)         Forbidden Planet (FPLNT) 99999 0.22 (-0.03)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 10000 31.02 (+2.92)         Planes (PLANE) 100000 65.55 (+4.73)         Mortdecai (MRTDC) 99334 18.80 (+1.22)         Planes (PLANE) 100000 65.55 (+4.73)         X-Men: Days of Future Past (XMEN5) 80000 242.93 (-0.61)         CBGB (CBGB) 100000 3.21 (-0.10)         Planes (PLANE) 100000 65.55 (+4.73)         Rush (RUSH) 100000 40.11 (-0.39)         American Sniper (AMSNP) 20000 31.02 (+2.92)         Max Steel (MAXST) 100000 3.01 (-0.16)         Echo (ECHO) 100000 16.75 (+0.21)         Planes: Fire and Rescue (PLNE2) 100000 68.97 (-1.33)         Touchy Feely (TCHYF) 100000 0.34 (-0.04)         Peregrine's Home for Peculiars (PRGRN) 15000 36.62 (-0.30)         Elysium (ELYSM) 100000 78.32 (-4.03)         Elysium (ELYSM) 100000 78.32 (-4.03)         Cut Bank (CUTBN) 100000 7.95 (+0.04)         Cut Bank (CUTBN) 100000 7.95 (+0.04)         The Monster of Florence (MOFLR) 99999 0.96 (+0.45)         The Monster of Florence (MOFLR) 99999 0.96 (+0.45)         Mojave (MOJAV) 1 8.76 (-0.54)         Mojave (MOJAV) 1 8.76 (-0.54)         CBGB (CBGB) 100000 3.21 (-0.10)         CBGB (CBGB) 100000 3.21 (-0.10)         Echo (ECHO) 100000 16.75 (+0.21)