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Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5411 views

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Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 25.27 (+0.12)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 500 232.28 (-0.16)          Challengers (CHALN) 25000 38.26 (-1.01)          Madden (MADEN) 11210 35.73 (-0.88)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.38 (+0.13)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.38 (+0.13)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.28 (+1.28)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 25.27 (+0.12)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.28 (+1.28)          Dev Patel (DPATE) 7500 11.01 (+0.03)          Holliday Grainger (HGRAI) 9000 46.94 (-0.22)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 10000 71.47 (-0.07)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 16.30 (+0.36)          The Long Game (TLNGM) 150000 3.91 (+0.07)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 16.30 (+0.36)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 25000 161.48 (-0.37)          Sophie Okonedo (SOKON) 20000 46.61 (-0.13)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 1 35.02 (+0.05)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 37624 64.90 (+0.86)          The Home (THOME) 100239 8.49 (+0.08)          Madden (MADEN) 23790 35.73 (-0.88)          Jurnee Smollett (JSMOL) 1 37.10 (0.00)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 76.19 (-0.02)          The Home (THOME) 99999 8.49 (+0.08)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.02 (+0.05)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.36 (-0.85)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.36 (-0.85)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 5000 11.28 (+1.28)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.73 (-0.88)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 1 8.95 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.73 (-0.88)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 38.26 (-1.01)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 15000 35.02 (+0.05)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.28 (+1.28)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.68 (+2.86)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 10000 64.90 (+0.86)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.68 (+2.86)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.28 (+1.28)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.28 (+1.28)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 1 16.30 (+0.36)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.28 (+1.28)          Mike Faist (MFAIS) 10000 25.17 (+0.07)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 5000 9.11 (+0.10)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.68 (+2.86)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.68 (+2.86)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 25000 22.39 (-0.01)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)