SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Avengers initiates summer movie season.

Four superhero franchises converge in the highly-anticipated team-up The Avengers [AVNGR]. Marvel planted the seed for the film with a post credit scene in Iron Man, which opened to $98.6 million in 2008, followed by another in The Incredible Hulk the same summer. Although Iron Man 2 debuted with $128.1 million in 2010, the sequel was not as well-received and its total box office did not exceed the original. Thor and Captain America got their stand alone film last summer when the Norse god hammered $65.7 million a year ago this weekend, while The First Avenger followed suit with $65.1 million. Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN], Chris Evans [CEVAN], Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Mark Ruffalo [MRUFF] star as the four superheroes finally brought together in The Avengers by Nick Fury to take on a common enemy.  As directed by fan-favorite Joss Whedon [JWHED], the end product looks to be greater than the sum of each individual part, which may attract even non-comic fans who may not have seen one of the prequels. Disney has already opened The Avengers overseas and the overwhelmingly positive reviews has only further fuel the buzz.

Much like The Hunger Games earlier this year, the competition has ceded the weekend to the PG-13 rated blockbuster tentpole. Although advanced ticket sales have not matched The Hunger Games ($152.5 million opening weekend), The Avengers will enjoy the premium surcharge for 3D. Presales are outpacing Spider-Man 3, which opened this weekend in 2007 to $151.1 million.  The box office records of mid-summer releases The Dark Knight’s $158.4 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II’s $169.2 million though may be out of reach with school still in session.  The Avengers could come close and assemble around $158 million from 4349 theaters.

Think Like a Man [TLKAM] should hold its own against the juggernaut and finish second with a still robust $10 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] remains the top option for families with young children. The animated film may drop 35% to $7 million. Fellow sophomore pic The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] won't fare as well and tumble 50% to $5.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, RDOWN, CEVAN, CHEMS, MRUFF, JWHED, TLKAM, PIRTS, 5YENG

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2012 @ 03:40 PM 4569 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 81.46 (+1.00)          Empire City (EMPCT) 100 16.03 (-0.19)          Empire City (EMPCT) 100 16.03 (-0.19)          By Any Means (CI34) 100 21.44 (+2.07)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 81.46 (+1.00)          By Any Means (CI34) 100 21.44 (+2.07)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 81.46 (+1.00)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 1000 5.54 (+0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 456.07 (-3.95)          Gears of War (GEARS) 46000 0.03 (-0.01)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 30.60 (-0.82)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.03 (-0.01)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Hoppers $140M Blockbuster Warran (HOPPR.BW) 25000 9.62 (+0.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 50000 51.05 (+1.05)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 150000 0.11 (+0.02)          Nobody’s Heart (NOBDH) 150000 0.10 (+0.02)          Little America (LITAM) 150000 0.09 (+0.03)          Friday Night Lights (FRIN2) 150000 0.08 (0.00)          Every Note Played (EVNTP) 150000 0.08 (-0.02)          Bando Stone & The New World (BSTNW) 150000 0.08 (0.00)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 0.08 (-0.02)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 1000 5.54 (+0.01)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 100 51.05 (+1.05)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 1000 2.89 (+1.18)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 1000 2.89 (+1.18)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 7.49 (-0.05)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 25.42 (-0.02)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 25.90 (-0.29)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 21.86 (-0.13)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 2.44 (-0.14)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 100 162.21 (-2.17)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 100 162.21 (-2.17)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 6.60 (-1.91)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 25000 6.86 (-0.25)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 8 11.92 (+0.09)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 150 3.12 (0.00)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 3 95.68 (-0.25)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 5 131.86 (-0.33)          Jack Whitehall (JAWHI) 5 61.78 (-0.25)          Julia Roberts (JROBE) 4 52.77 (-0.16)          Ruby Rose (RROSE) 5 84.60 (-0.25)          Fede Alvarez (FALVA) 5 68.95 (-0.25)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 5 27.66 (-0.13)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 4 147.93 (+0.33)          Rege-Jean Page (RPAGE) 25000 38.60 (-0.62)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 3 33.62 (+0.01)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 3 161.69 (-0.21)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 4 71.80 (+0.25)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 6 51.19 (-0.22)