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Whisper Numbers: Batman has competition on and off the screen



Whether moviegoers remain spooked by the Colorado shooting tragedy or are staying home to watch the Olympics, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] has not kept pace with The Dark Knight despite a bigger opening weekend. Since the overall box office is affected and not just Batman, The Dark Knight Rises should be able to hold back two new wide releases and retain the top spot for a third weekend with about $33 million.

Colin Farrell [CFARR] stars in Sony’s PG-13 rated remake of the popular 1990 sci-fi actioner Total Recall [RECAL]. Farrell previously starred in the remake of Miami Vice and Fright Night, but is not a guaranteed box office draw. Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] and Jessica Biel [JBIEL] are on hand to add starpower, which should appeal to both men and women. Instead of going to Mars, the updated version stays on Earth, but otherwise the story hews pretty close to the Arnold Schwarzenegger original. Judging by the trailers however, the remake isn’t offering older fans anything new besides updated CG effects.  Poor reviews won’t help bring them back to theaters either. Planted in 3601 theaters, Total Recall may collect around $29 million.

Fox moves Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days [WIMP3] to the summer after opening the first two installments of the family film series during the spring. The 2010 original Diary of a Wimpy Kid debuted to $22.1 million, which was topped by the 2011 sequel Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules with $23.8 million. Unlikely to bring in new fans, Dog Days will attract strictly those already invested in the franchise, which is based on a book series. With the target audience of tween boys another year older, some of them may have out-grown the PG-rated family film.  Playing in 3392 theaters, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days could earn about $18.0 million.

The under-performing The Watch [NEIBW] finished slightly ahead of Step Up: Revolution [STUP4] in their debut last weekend, but the roles are likely to be reversed in their sophomore weekend as both looks to suffer from big drop-offs. The female-targeted Step Up: Revolution may score $5.8 million, while The Watch could catch $5.2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BATM3, CFARR, RECAL, KBECK, JBIEL, WIMP3, NEIBW, STUP4

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 2, 2012 @ 03:58 PM        7065 views


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Bad Moms H$100M Blockbuster Warr (BMOMS.BW) 10000 11.86 (+0.08)         Alien 5 (ALIE5) 100000 24.54 (+1.69)         Passengers (PSSNG) 50000 103.97 (+0.19)         Into the Forest (NTFRS) 2000 0.09 (+0.02)         Peter Jackson (PJACK) 6000 219.82 (+0.20)         Chris Pine (CPINE) 20000 70.46 (+0.40)         Ben Foster (BFOST) 20000 47.82 (+0.13)         Fist Fight (FISTF) 20000 41.72 (+0.09)         Final Portrait (FPTRT) 100000 3.43 (+0.51)         Jungle Book: Origins (JNGBO) 100000 26.47 (+0.10)         Bridget Jones's Baby (BJON3) 4628 25.02 (-0.18)         Paramount Studio Fund (PARAX) 10000 10.74 (-0.01)         Roland Emmerich (REMME) 2000 63.06 (-0.12)         We Have Always Lived in the Cast (WHALC) 100000 13.14 (+1.01)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 10000 9.90 (+0.01)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 10000 9.27 (-0.17)         Fox Studio Fund (FOXX) 10000 9.96 (-0.07)         Paramount Studio Fund (PARAX) 10000 10.74 (-0.01)         Shanghai Dawn (SHAI3) 20000 30.64 (-1.44)         Lionsgate Studio Fund (LGFX) 10000 9.80 (-0.05)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 10000 9.90 (+0.01)         Adam Driver (ADRIV) 2000 53.89 (+0.28)         Deepwater Horizon (DPWTH) 3706 48.58 (-0.59)         Jumanji (JUMNJ) 100000 85.87 (+0.32)         CBS: MacGyver (MACGYV) 10000 15.73 (+0.06)         Peter Jackson (PJACK) 3000 219.82 (+0.20)         Storks (STORK) 100000 65.69 (+6.82)         Alien 5 (ALIE5) 100000 24.54 (+1.69)         Storks (STORK) 100000 65.69 (+6.82)         Brie Larson (BLARS) 19000 49.65 (-0.12)         The Bounce Back (TBNCB) 100000 1.91 (-0.05)         Beauty and the Beast aka La Bell (LBELB) 1505 0.09 (-0.09)         Zachary Quinto (ZQUIN) 20000 87.76 (-0.60)         Alien 5 (ALIE5) 10000 24.54 (+1.69)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (GOTG2) 1000 319.74 (+0.96)         Goodbye Christopher Robin (GBCR) 20000 17.03 (-0.03)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 50000 95.22 (+0.72)         Ocean's Eight aka Ocean's 8 (OCEN4) 1 67.47 (+0.79)         John Cho (JCHO) 20000 98.20 (-0.40)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 7000 47.92 (+0.10)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 24999 13.10 (+2.08)         T.I. Tip Harris (THARR) 20000 83.16 (-0.20)         Ray Liotta (RLIOT) 20000 4.37 (0.00)         Jason Sudeikis (JSUDE) 20000 38.85 (-0.16)         Janet McTeer (JMCTE) 20000 72.16 (-0.13)         Denzel Washington (DWASH) 20000 104.83 (-0.85)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 100000 95.22 (+0.72)         Park Chan-wook (CWPAR) 20000 0.73 (+0.01)         Christian Slater (CSLAT) 20000 2.08 (0.00)         Alien 5 (ALIE5) 100000 24.54 (+1.69)