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Whisper Numbers: Batman has competition on and off the screen



Whether moviegoers remain spooked by the Colorado shooting tragedy or are staying home to watch the Olympics, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] has not kept pace with The Dark Knight despite a bigger opening weekend. Since the overall box office is affected and not just Batman, The Dark Knight Rises should be able to hold back two new wide releases and retain the top spot for a third weekend with about $33 million.

Colin Farrell [CFARR] stars in Sony’s PG-13 rated remake of the popular 1990 sci-fi actioner Total Recall [RECAL]. Farrell previously starred in the remake of Miami Vice and Fright Night, but is not a guaranteed box office draw. Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] and Jessica Biel [JBIEL] are on hand to add starpower, which should appeal to both men and women. Instead of going to Mars, the updated version stays on Earth, but otherwise the story hews pretty close to the Arnold Schwarzenegger original. Judging by the trailers however, the remake isn’t offering older fans anything new besides updated CG effects.  Poor reviews won’t help bring them back to theaters either. Planted in 3601 theaters, Total Recall may collect around $29 million.

Fox moves Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days [WIMP3] to the summer after opening the first two installments of the family film series during the spring. The 2010 original Diary of a Wimpy Kid debuted to $22.1 million, which was topped by the 2011 sequel Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules with $23.8 million. Unlikely to bring in new fans, Dog Days will attract strictly those already invested in the franchise, which is based on a book series. With the target audience of tween boys another year older, some of them may have out-grown the PG-rated family film.  Playing in 3392 theaters, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days could earn about $18.0 million.

The under-performing The Watch [NEIBW] finished slightly ahead of Step Up: Revolution [STUP4] in their debut last weekend, but the roles are likely to be reversed in their sophomore weekend as both looks to suffer from big drop-offs. The female-targeted Step Up: Revolution may score $5.8 million, while The Watch could catch $5.2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BATM3, CFARR, RECAL, KBECK, JBIEL, WIMP3, NEIBW, STUP4

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 2, 2012 @ 03:58 PM        6506 views


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Return to Sender (RTSND) 100000 1.12 (+0.02)         Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials (MAZE2) 6 75.12 (+0.03)         Halloween 3 (HALW3) 6000 2.20 (-0.06)         Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justi (SUPE2) 7942 319.66 (-0.34)         Alien 5 (ALIE5) 1 41.96 (-0.68)         Trainwreck (TRWRC) 4000 61.26 (0.00)         Halloween 3 (HALW3) 4000 2.20 (-0.06)         Hugh Jackman (HJACK) 14000 98.42 (-0.54)         The Mountain Between Us (TMBUS) 50000 14.51 (-0.10)         Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 7000 111.83 (-0.03)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 100000 43.07 (-0.33)         Matt Damon (MDAMO) 5000 85.89 (-0.25)         Ouija 2 (OUIJ2) 100000 26.41 (+1.12)         Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials (MAZE2) 14371 75.12 (+0.03)         Avengers: Infinity War Part I (AVNG3) 2166 397.66 (-0.01)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 25000 67.24 (+0.46)         American Jesus (AMJES) 9999 0.01 (-0.03)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 25000 67.24 (+0.46)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 25000 126.46 (+0.65)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 99999 34.63 (+2.98)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 25000 126.46 (+0.65)         Welcome to Me (WLCME) 100000 0.42 (-0.02)         The Locals (LOCAL) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 25000 67.24 (+0.46)         Poltergeist (POLTR) 25000 67.24 (+0.46)         Every Secret Thing (EVSTH) 100000 0.15 (0.00)         The Immortalist (IMORT) 9999 0.01 (0.00)         Jem and the Holograms (JEMHG) 50000 26.91 (-1.93)         Jem and the Holograms (JEMHG) 50000 26.91 (-1.93)         Star Wars: The Force Awakens (STAR7) 28000 339.40 (-0.25)         Tomorrowland (1952) 100000 105.89 (-4.25)         The Secret Scripture (SCRSC) 99999 3.32 (+0.13)         Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials (MAZE2) 5000 75.12 (+0.03)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 70000 40.96 (-2.10)         The Light Between Oceans (TLBOC) 99999 7.87 (+0.13)         The Bourne 5 (BORN5) 1000 78.27 (-0.10)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 25000 126.46 (+0.65)         Avengers: Infinity War Part I (AVNG3) 1250 397.66 (-0.01)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 25000 126.46 (+0.65)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 20000 132.80 (-0.29)         Shot Caller (SHOTC) 100000 17.19 (-0.81)         The Choice (CHOCE) 100000 13.25 (-0.05)         Tomorrowland (1952) 100000 105.89 (-4.25)         Star Wars: The Force Awakens (STAR7) 4000 339.40 (-0.25)         Aloha - Opening Weekend (ALOHA.OW) 100000 15.83 (-0.03)         Tomorrowland (1952) 10000 105.89 (-4.25)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 1000 207.45 (+0.16)         Tomorrowland (1952) 1000 105.89 (-4.25)         Love & Friendship (LVFRN) 100000 3.09 (-0.10)         Spectre (JB24) 1000 193.82 (-0.59)