SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Batman has competition on and off the screen



Whether moviegoers remain spooked by the Colorado shooting tragedy or are staying home to watch the Olympics, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] has not kept pace with The Dark Knight despite a bigger opening weekend. Since the overall box office is affected and not just Batman, The Dark Knight Rises should be able to hold back two new wide releases and retain the top spot for a third weekend with about $33 million.

Colin Farrell [CFARR] stars in Sony’s PG-13 rated remake of the popular 1990 sci-fi actioner Total Recall [RECAL]. Farrell previously starred in the remake of Miami Vice and Fright Night, but is not a guaranteed box office draw. Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] and Jessica Biel [JBIEL] are on hand to add starpower, which should appeal to both men and women. Instead of going to Mars, the updated version stays on Earth, but otherwise the story hews pretty close to the Arnold Schwarzenegger original. Judging by the trailers however, the remake isn’t offering older fans anything new besides updated CG effects.  Poor reviews won’t help bring them back to theaters either. Planted in 3601 theaters, Total Recall may collect around $29 million.

Fox moves Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days [WIMP3] to the summer after opening the first two installments of the family film series during the spring. The 2010 original Diary of a Wimpy Kid debuted to $22.1 million, which was topped by the 2011 sequel Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules with $23.8 million. Unlikely to bring in new fans, Dog Days will attract strictly those already invested in the franchise, which is based on a book series. With the target audience of tween boys another year older, some of them may have out-grown the PG-rated family film.  Playing in 3392 theaters, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days could earn about $18.0 million.

The under-performing The Watch [NEIBW] finished slightly ahead of Step Up: Revolution [STUP4] in their debut last weekend, but the roles are likely to be reversed in their sophomore weekend as both looks to suffer from big drop-offs. The female-targeted Step Up: Revolution may score $5.8 million, while The Watch could catch $5.2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BATM3, CFARR, RECAL, KBECK, JBIEL, WIMP3, NEIBW, STUP4

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 2, 2012 @ 03:58 PM        6938 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 48 59.37 (+0.14)         The Conjuring 2 (CNJU2) 30000 96.55 (-0.05)         Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Ou (TMNT2) 8000 142.73 (+0.13)         Time to Choose (TMCHO) 100000 1.09 (+0.26)         Doc Savage (DOCSV) 100000 13.05 (+1.60)         The Purge: Election Year (PURG3) 11 54.51 (-0.13)         Star Trek Beyond (TREK3) 1000 162.13 (+0.03)         The Magnificent Seven (MAGN7) 40000 95.15 (-0.59)         Now You See Me 2 (NYSM2) 5000 71.65 (-0.16)         Pacific Rim 2 (PACR2) 100000 29.90 (+2.89)         The Purge: Election Year (PURG3) 101 54.51 (-0.13)         Finding Dory (NEMO2) 1 278.69 (-0.19)         Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Ou (TMNT2) 1 142.73 (+0.13)         Me Before You (MBFYU) 1 24.63 (+0.20)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 1000 3.40 (-0.02)         Microbe and Gasoline (MCGAS) 961 1.35 (+0.01)         El Presidente (ELPRS) 1000 1.12 (0.00)         Me Before You (MBFYU) 300 24.63 (+0.20)         Finding Dory (NEMO2) 18508 278.69 (-0.19)         Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 6000 187.87 (+0.24)         Microbe and Gasoline (MCGAS) 38 1.35 (+0.01)         Avengers: Infinity War Part II (AVNG4) 1000 336.13 (+3.09)         Wiener-Dog (WIENR) 1855 2.21 (-0.02)         Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 94166 19.20 (-0.80)         The Fundamentals of Caring (RFOCG) 100000 0.70 (+0.12)         Monster Trucks (MNTRC) 3999 10.01 (+0.02)         Monster Trucks (MNTRC) 2999 10.01 (+0.02)         The Comedian (COMDN) 2000 2.18 (-0.04)         The Fundamentals of Caring (RFOCG) 100000 0.70 (+0.12)         Swiss Army Man (SWSAM) 356 7.39 (-0.02)         The Fundamentals of Caring (RFOCG) 100000 0.70 (+0.12)         Colossal (COLSL) 2999 6.82 (+0.06)         Fantastic Four 2 (FANF2) 100000 11.81 (+1.27)         Colossal (COLSL) 1999 6.82 (+0.06)         The Ultimate Spider-Man aka Anim (ASPDR) 100000 41.45 (-2.59)         Cruella (CRULA) 10000 52.20 (+4.34)         The Ultimate Spider-Man aka Anim (ASPDR) 1000 41.45 (-2.59)         The Ultimate Spider-Man aka Anim (ASPDR) 100000 41.45 (-2.59)         How to Train Your Dragon 3 (HTYD3) 10000 74.98 (-0.62)         Fantastic Beasts 2 (FBST2) 100000 141.66 (-0.37)         Avengers: Infinity War Part II (AVNG4) 36 336.13 (+3.09)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 20000 48.03 (+3.47)         Doc Savage (DOCSV) 20952 13.05 (+1.60)         Doc Savage (DOCSV) 20000 13.05 (+1.60)         The Neon Demon (NEOND) 351 3.89 (-0.04)         Doc Savage (DOCSV) 100000 13.05 (+1.60)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 (EDGT2) 100000 48.03 (+3.47)         Warcraft (WARCF) 5000 55.95 (-0.44)         Cruella (CRULA) 100000 52.20 (+4.34)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 1000 5.62 (-0.15)