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Whisper Numbers: Bourne, Campaign against Batman

A couple of newcomers hope to finally take down the caped crusader.  Unable to convince Matt Damon to reprise his role, Universal relaunched its spy franchise with Jeremy Renner [JRENN] in the fourth installment The Bourne Legacy [BORN4]. In order to one up on the Bourne trilogy, the studio marketing describes his character Aaron Cross as a genetically altered super-soldier who is even better than Jason Bourne. Cross goes on the run with a scientist played by Rachel Weisz [RWEIS] after the government terminated their black ops program and marked them for death. With all the elements from the Bourne series, the PG-13 rated film should appeal to at least a portion of the fanbase that opened The Bourne Ultimatum to a whopping $69.3 million in 2007. Breaking into 3746 theaters, The Bourne Legacy could earn around $39 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] square off in the political comedy The Campaign [CMPGN]. Both comedians excel at playing buffoons and politicians provide great fodder this election year. Ferrell’s last R-rated wide release Step Brothers grossed $30.9 million in August of 2008, while Galifianakis co-led the R-rated Due Date to a $32.7 million debut. However, moviegoers may not be in the mood for a film about dirty politics, even one played for laughs. The Campaign may be able to tally $27 million from 3207 locations.

After a three week reign, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] looks to fall back to third place with around $22 million to its total just short of $400 million.

Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Tommy Lee Jones [TLJON] star in the PG-13 rated dramedy Hope Springs [GHSPR] targeted at the older adult demographic. Streep’s late summer film Julia & Julia debuted with $20 million in 2009. However, Hope Springs doesn’t have her portraying any famous, real-life figure. To get the word of mouth started, Sony opened the film on Wednesday and grossed $2.2 million. Playing in 2361 theaters, Hope Springs should be able to manage about $14 million for the weekend.

Total Recall [RECAL] came out of its below expectation opening weekend with poor word of mouth. With added competition, the sci-fi remake looks to drop 55% to around $11 million.

Nitro Circus The Movie 3D [NTROC] seeks to follow the trail blazed by the Jackass crew. The documentary hopes to attract young male fans of extreme sports not interested in the Olympics. Opening Wednesday in 800 theaters and grossing $0.7 million, Nitro Circus The Movie 3D may score $2.5 million from Friday to Sunday.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JRENN, BORN4, RWEIS, WFERR, ZGALI, CMPGN, BATM3, MSTRE, TLJON, GHSPR, RECAL, NTROC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 9, 2012 @ 04:29 PM 7187 views

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Moana (MOAN1) 50000 239.91 (+0.53)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 14.38 (+0.42)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 140.27 (-4.50)          Wicker (WCKER) 105000 5.05 (-0.05)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 239.91 (+0.53)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 77.52 (-3.78)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 60000 18.78 (-0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 77.52 (-3.78)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.78 (-0.10)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 50000 0.01 (-0.02)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 105000 4.41 (-0.06)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 8.74 (-0.07)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 50000 202.37 (+0.63)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 35000 3.82 (-0.07)          Helldivers (HELDV) 20000 102.56 (-5.25)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 11.78 (-0.04)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 75.60 (+2.08)          Sing 3 (SING3) 50000 49.90 (-0.24)          Sing 3 (SING3) 50000 49.90 (-0.24)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 1 4.67 (-0.01)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.74 (+0.10)          Oasis Live '25 (OASIS) 30000 15.40 (+0.05)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 10000 13.81 (-0.02)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 24000 12.39 (-0.18)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 41621 36.55 (+1.26)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 19000 29.67 (+0.07)          Remain (REMAN) 20000 67.73 (+0.22)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 28.22 (+0.41)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 40000 29.67 (+0.07)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 60000 44.82 (-0.91)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 15000 44.82 (-0.91)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 40000 8.61 (-0.27)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 15000 43.06 (-2.01)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 45000 43.06 (-2.01)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 1.42 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 5000 317.93 (-3.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 55000 150.34 (-3.89)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 12000 21.91 (-0.12)          Helldivers (HELDV) 95000 102.56 (-5.25)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 8.74 (-0.07)          Helldivers (HELDV) 55000 102.56 (-5.25)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 5000 57.57 (+1.00)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 150000 157.70 (+0.55)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.74 (+0.10)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 102.56 (-5.25)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 102.56 (-5.25)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.07 (-0.38)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 30000 228.80 (+1.14)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 149975 12.46 (+1.08)