SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Smiths take on Furious 6

One of Hollywood’s most bankable star teams up with his son on the sci-fi film After Earth [1THAE], but they may not be able to out-flex the muscles and cars, not to mention muscle cars, of Fast & Furious 6 [FAST6].  It’s hard to believe the sixth film scored the highest opening weekend ever for Universal, while the franchise has become their biggest grossing ever. The sequel is likely to be as front-loaded as the previous installment Fast Five, which lost 62% in its sophomore outing. Fast & Furious 6 looks to downshift 60% to $38 million, which should be enough to stay ahead of the competition in first place.

The post-apocalyptic After Earth stars Will Smith [WSMIT] and his son Jaden [JSMIT] as survivors of a spaceship that crash landed on the planet long abandoned by mankind. The father gets sidelined by an injury, so the PG-13 rated film is clearly a vehicle for the youngster as he explores the world alone. Most moviegoers are smart enough to see through the film's set-up from the marketing, which has also omitted the fact that the film is directed by box office poison M. Night Shyamalan [MNSHY]. Sony knowingly withheld the film from critics, whom have now given the film poor reviews. Landing in 3401 theaters, After Earth could uncover $36 million.

The other new wide release this weekend is Summit’s heist thriller Now You See Me [NYSME]. Jesse Eisenberg [JEISE] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] reunite to lead a crew of magicians that rob banks with illusions. Although the magician comedy Burt Wonderstone bombed earlier this year with only a $10 million opening, Now You See Me has more going for it as a high-concept thriller similar to the Ocean films, albeit with a smaller star wattage. The PG-13 rated film’s trailers have enticed audiences to find out how they pull off their heists. Favorable reviews should also attract the adult crowd looking for something more than mindless action films. Opening in 2925 theaters, Now You See Me could appear with $23 million.

Epic [EPIC] remains the only animated film for families and should be able to score $21 million in its second weekend.

The Hangover Part III [HNOV3] lost half of its fanbase and was still disliked by those who saw it. The Hangover part II tumbled nearly 64% in its second weekend. A similar drop would put The Hangover Part III at $14.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): 1THAE, FAST6, WSMIT, JSMIT, MNSHY, NYSME, JEISE, WHARR, EPIC, HNOV3

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 30, 2013 @ 04:24 PM 3536 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Sharlto Copley (SCOPL) 10 12.75 (+0.10)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 14.87 (+0.92)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 5.03 (+0.16)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 50000 18.61 (-0.36)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 50000 18.61 (-0.36)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 10000 91.51 (-0.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 10000 57.25 (-0.04)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 25000 8.71 (0.00)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 100 129.62 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 25000 11.11 (+0.37)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.79 (+0.13)          Normal (NORML) 100000 16.56 (+0.77)          Meghann Fahy (MFAHY) 300 4.92 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 25000 11.11 (+0.37)          Kristen Wiig (KWIIG) 100 88.17 (0.00)          Taika Waititi (TAWAI) 25000 99.26 (-1.00)          Rose (ROSE) 10000 1.72 (-0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 5.03 (+0.16)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 2.68 (+0.02)          Justin Theroux (JTHER) 10 125.42 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 64336 14.87 (+0.92)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 100 20.01 (0.00)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 10 179.41 (0.00)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 10 16.98 (0.00)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 10 6.56 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 7.89 (+0.60)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 5.03 (+0.16)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 13.75 (-0.46)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 6.07 (+0.71)          Sweat (SWEAT) 150000 8.86 (-0.05)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 50000 13.75 (-0.46)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 100000 13.27 (-0.53)          Riverrun (RVRUN) 150000 1.43 (-0.02)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.87 (+0.92)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 100 68.23 (0.00)          Issa Rae (IRAE) 100 150.77 (0.00)          Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 100 130.35 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 20000 11.11 (+0.37)          David Oyelowo (DOYEL) 40 11.29 (0.00)          Diane Kruger (DKRUG) 100 6.53 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 15000 11.11 (+0.37)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 10.92 (-0.47)          The Brink of War aka Reykjavik (REYKJ) 150000 4.49 (-0.76)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 149999 70.02 (+0.19)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.99 (-0.01)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 11.11 (+0.37)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 11.11 (+0.37)