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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 4065 views

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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 37500 79.49 (-0.67)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 20000 75.59 (+2.07)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 12500 46.38 (+0.68)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.18 (-0.09)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.18 (-0.09)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 2007 77.62 (-3.68)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 25000 175.38 (+0.78)          Backrooms (BACRM) 1663 155.73 (+1.97)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 5000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 10000 317.93 (-3.80)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 100000 42.98 (+1.41)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 100000 65.06 (+3.70)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 7.04 (-5.59)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 50000 7.04 (-5.59)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 5000 169.12 (-2.45)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 15000 75.59 (+2.07)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 65.06 (+3.70)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 8.61 (-0.27)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 30026 25.00 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 21214 155.73 (+1.97)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.54 (+0.20)          Peddi (PEDDI) 149999 4.82 (+0.22)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 149999 13.11 (+0.34)          The Get Out aka Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 6.08 (+0.37)          The Invite (TINVT) 149999 19.67 (+0.70)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 12.48 (+1.10)          Signal One (SGNL1) 150000 0.32 (-0.02)          Backrooms (BACRM) 1307 155.73 (+1.97)          Signal One (SGNL1) 150000 0.32 (-0.02)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 75772 44.89 (-0.84)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.54 (+1.54)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 140.91 (-3.86)          Primetime (PRMTM) 40000 23.42 (+1.64)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 45 416.63 (-0.88)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 1500 25.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 75000 75.59 (+2.07)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 150.34 (-3.89)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 99999 150.34 (-3.89)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 23045 416.63 (-0.88)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 140.91 (-3.86)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 49999 140.91 (-3.86)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100 150.34 (-3.89)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20000 150.34 (-3.89)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 65.06 (+3.70)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 30000 169.12 (-2.45)          Isabelle Huppert (IHUPP) 10000 2.18 (-0.07)          Isabelle Huppert (IHUPP) 10000 2.18 (-0.07)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 40000 25.00 (0.00)