SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 3996 views

Recent Comments

briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 9.61 (+0.10)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 6000 40.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 1000 229.33 (-0.18)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 10.37 (-0.30)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 25000 40.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 1000 229.33 (-0.18)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10 362.45 (+0.76)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 1 43.05 (+5.21)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 43.05 (+5.21)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 787 32.74 (-1.98)          Newborn (SOLIT) 10000 0.57 (-0.01)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 88.73 (+1.98)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 4.03 (+0.47)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 4.03 (+0.47)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.74 (-0.03)          Clifton Collins Jr. (CCOLL) 25000 4.23 (-0.15)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 32588 169.95 (+1.30)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 99755 55.61 (-0.06)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.68 (+1.35)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 150000 14.61 (+1.77)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 14.14 (-1.35)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.68 (+1.35)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.32 (-0.83)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Do Not Enter aka Creepers (CREPR) 150000 1.86 (-0.12)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 149998 14.61 (+1.77)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 149996 14.61 (+1.77)          The Rosie Project (ROSIE) 8000 0.01 (-0.02)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.74 (-1.98)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 39999 34.64 (-0.91)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 1 1.72 (-0.28)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 2.35 (-0.14)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 150000 5.01 (-0.26)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.74 (-1.98)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.74 (-1.98)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          American Psycho (APSYC) 8000 24.13 (+0.17)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 100000 0.16 (+0.02)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 100000 8.64 (+0.03)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 8.70 (-0.13)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 8.70 (-0.13)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)