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Whisper Numbers: Will Iron Man 2 beat The Dark Knight?

The 2010 summer movie season blasts off with the return of a Marvel Comic superhero in Iron Man 2 [IRNM2].  Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN] returns as the man in the iron suit, Tony Stark, along with Gwenyth Paltrow [GPALT] as Pepper Potts. Don Cheadle [DCHEA] takes over the role of James Rhodes, who suits up as War Machine. Also joining the cast are Mickey Rourke [MROUR], Sam Rockwell [SROCK] and Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA].  The first Iron Man opened at $102 million and was universally loved by audiences. With tremendous goodwill built up, the sequel will have more moviegoers feel the must-see urge opening weekend.  Trackings indicate the record $158 million debut set by The Dark Knight is within striking distance.  Iron Man 2 has already taken one record from The Dark Knight as the widest release ever at 4380 theaters.  Unlike The Dark Knight however, Iron Man 2 reviews are not as stellar as its predecessor.  Fortunately, the fan favorite is review-proof opening weekend.  With not even a romantic comedy counter-programmed as competition, Iron Man 2 has an open field to punch out $160 million. 

A Nightmare on Elm Street [NELMS] was heavily front-loaded on the Friday of its opening weekend.  The Friday the 13th reboot plummeted 80% in its second weekend last year.  A Nightmare on Elm Street could tumble more than 65% to $11 million.

How to Train Your Dragon looks to cross the $200 million mark with another $6 million in its 7th weekend of release.

Focus Features is opening the documentary Babies [BABIS] in 534 theaters to take advantage of Mother’s Day.  Babies could crack the top ten with around $3 million. 

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): IRNM2, RDOWN, GPALT, DCHEA, MROUR, SROCK, SJOHA, NELMS, BABIS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 6, 2010 @ 04:04 PM 4367 views

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Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 2500 16.28 (+0.29)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 31.37 (+0.10)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.32 (-0.01)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.42 (-0.01)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 8.57 (-0.04)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 2000 21.59 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 5.90 (+0.27)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 1089 9.09 (-0.11)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.78 (+0.18)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 9.78 (+0.18)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 69999 58.63 (-0.82)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.09 (-0.11)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 1 13.23 (+0.49)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 5000 13.96 (+0.29)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 70000 6.94 (+0.07)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 10000 27.86 (+0.63)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 100000 9.09 (-0.11)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 149999 390.03 (+0.75)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 100000 4.43 (+0.22)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 10000 16.28 (+0.29)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 149999 9.09 (-0.11)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 12.97 (-0.12)          Primetime (PRMTM) 99999 22.99 (-0.42)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 20000 5.07 (+0.35)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 1 6.94 (+0.07)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.99 (-0.42)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.43 (+0.22)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 149999 4.43 (+0.22)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 60000 5.07 (+0.35)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 1 58.63 (-0.82)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 5.90 (+0.27)          Above The Below (ABELW) 149999 5.90 (+0.27)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 15000 58.63 (-0.82)          Primetime (PRMTM) 149999 22.99 (-0.42)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 20000 58.63 (-0.82)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 60000 13.23 (+0.49)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 58.63 (-0.82)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 85000 13.96 (+0.29)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 59999 13.96 (+0.29)