SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Harry Potter casts spell on moviegoers.



The beginning of the end for Warner Bros.’ fantasy franchise commences as Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I [HPOT7] arrives in theaters. Now that character developments are over and done with, it’s time for the teen wizard to lead the battle against the forces of evil. Are box office records within reach? The previous two installments Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix and Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince are not apt comparisons as they opened on a Wednesday during summer. The last film to open on a Friday in November, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, scored $102 million in 2005. Deathly Hallows should surpass that mark easily perhaps in two days given the strong advance sales at higher ticket prices. Opening in 4125 theaters, Deathly Hallows could conjure upwards of $126 million.

Megamind [MEGAM] has proven to have staying power. With another 35% decline, the animated film would bank another $19 million.

Unstoppable [USTOP] opened along the lines of previous Denzel Washington [DWASH] films. The action thriller should remain the choice for adults not interested in fantasy. With positive word of mouth, Unstoppable should tail off around 45% to $13 million.

Washington’s American Gangster co-star Russell Crowe [RCROW] debuts his own action thriller The Next Three Days [N3DAY]. Elizabeth Banks [EBANK] plays his wife who he breaks out of prison and together become fugitives on the run. Aside from the big-budgeted Robin Hood, Crowe’s contemporary films usually open in the mid-teens. Without much buzz, Lionsgate may have to settle for less. The PG-13 rated The Next Three Days may earn $10 million from 2564 locations.

In its third weekend, Due Date [DUDAT] looks to drop to fourth at around $7 million. Between the two sophomore films, Morning Glory [MORNG] will hold better than Skyline [SKYLN] and finish with $5.5 million versus $4.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): HPOT7, MEGAM, USTOP, DWASH, RCROW, N3DAY, EBANK, DUDAT, MORNG, SKYLN

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 18, 2010 @ 04:58 PM        2160 views


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The Shack (SHACK) 2500 46.95 (+0.13)         Robotech (RTECH) 100000 18.43 (+1.51)         Women in Business (WMNBZ) 100000 24.87 (+1.97)         CHiPs (CHIPS) 100000 20.34 (-0.26)         CHiPs (CHIPS) 100000 20.34 (-0.26)         Power Rangers - Opening Weekend (MMPR.OW) 99999 39.16 (+0.51)         Beauty and the Beast (BTATB) 1 432.86 (-1.00)         Power Rangers - Opening Weekend (MMPR.OW) 100000 39.16 (+0.51)         Power Rangers (MMPR) 30261 99.31 (-0.52)         Power Rangers - Opening Weekend (MMPR.OW) 100000 39.16 (+0.51)         Power Rangers (MMPR) 30000 99.31 (-0.52)         Kingsman: The Golden Circle aka (KTSS2) 30000 115.81 (+0.05)         Battle Of The Sexes (BTSEX) 2500 11.97 (-0.31)         Nomis (NOMIS) 50000 8.53 (+0.53)         Nomis (NOMIS) 50000 8.53 (+0.53)         Nomis (NOMIS) 50000 8.53 (+0.53)         Nomis (NOMIS) 50000 8.53 (+0.53)         Power Rangers (MMPR) 42500 99.31 (-0.52)         CHiPs (CHIPS) 100000 20.34 (-0.26)         Barbie (BARBI) 100000 22.49 (-1.54)         The Circle (CIRCL) 12401 41.31 (+0.35)         Life (LIFEM) 10000 45.68 (-1.58)         Where'd You Go, Bernadette? (WDYGB) 5000 14.80 (+1.85)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 2500 31.27 (+1.68)         Robotech (RTECH) 2500 18.43 (+1.51)         Assassination Nation (ASNAT) 25000 9.81 (+1.38)         Den of Thieves (DENOT) 2500 23.60 (+1.20)         Nomis (NOMIS) 6667 8.53 (+0.53)         Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, (3BOEM) 1667 9.34 (+0.60)         Nomis (NOMIS) 100000 8.53 (+0.53)         Nomis (NOMIS) 99999 8.53 (+0.53)         Dumbo (DUMBO) 100000 78.96 (+0.60)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 100000 75.25 (-0.36)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 100000 31.27 (+1.68)         The Vampire Chronicles (VAMPC) 100000 8.67 (-0.20)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 100000 31.27 (+1.68)         Nomis (NOMIS) 2051 8.53 (+0.53)         Madagascar 4 (MADG4) 50000 24.01 (+0.21)         Madagascar 4 (MADG4) 50000 24.01 (+0.21)         Madagascar 4 (MADG4) 50000 24.01 (+0.21)         Madagascar 4 (MADG4) 50000 24.01 (+0.21)         The Circle (CIRCL) 1000 41.31 (+0.35)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 100000 31.27 (+1.68)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 77.50 (+0.40)         Angry Birds 2 (ANGR2) 100000 31.27 (+1.68)         Samson (SAMSN) 100000 10.10 (+0.96)         Ghost in the Shell (GSHEL) 100000 75.25 (-0.36)         Gemini (GEMIN) 100000 3.93 (-0.07)         Life (LIFEM) 100000 45.68 (-1.58)         Life (LIFEM) 100000 45.68 (-1.58)