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Playing & Trading Strategy

Ok, bear with me...

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a del_SJW_accountant_4_Jesus) on Jul 28, 20:13 in response to GuitarGenius7's post call / put theory help

The Call for The Smurfs is for $20M. If the movie makes more than that during its opening weekend, the call will cash out at the difference between the actual gross and the strike price (i.e. if $22M, it will cash out at $2 per share, etc). Also, that is the same way the Put works. If it doesn't make its strike price (i.e. $15M instead of $20M), then the Put cashes out at the difference between the actual gross and strike price (using the above example, the Put would cash out at $5 per share). It depends on how you think a movie will go during its opening weekend as to what you invest in with regards to Calls & Puts. If you think that a movie will gross more than $2M more than the strike price of the Call, then it would be advisable to buy the Call and short the Put, because the Put will cash out at $0, meaning you make money both ways. If you think that a movie will gross almost exactly at the strike price of the Call & Put, then you short both, because the value of either the Call or Put will be fairly small and/or cash out at $0 (the Put for No Strings Attached earlier this year cashed out somewhere around $0.50 per share and the Call cashed out at $0, just to use an example). If you think that a movie will gross less than (strike price - $2M), then you long the Put and short the Call, because the Put will cash out at more than you purchased it for, and the Call will cash out at $0.

Hopefully that's made some sense for you.





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