HSX - Hollywood Stock Exchange. Trade stock in movies, stars and more!
HSX Forums: Movies Board
it has been out opening the last one in every territory so unless the bo malaise is unique to US... {nm}
MTC: FFUR5 78 (whoa!), PROM 10, Hoodwinked 8, Dylan Dog 3 {nm} on Apr 25, 10:42
what do you mean 'whoa'? You think it's a HIGH estimate ??? {nm} on Apr 25, 10:44
he definitely is surprised :) .... however i think Fast Five has commedable amount of buzz for a ripping opening... {nm} on Apr 25, 11:29
If this number is realistic, then several of the attached star bonds don't really reflect it yet (whereas a few more or less do). {nm} on Apr 25, 11:41
That depends. If this number is realistic, nothing says the movie has any legs. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:44
Very true {nm} on Apr 25, 11:50
According to the formula that means Fast 5 should open well above 78 mil right? {nm} on Apr 25, 10:46
That's the "rule" and 78 is well above 60. {nm} on Apr 25, 10:54
let me rephrase the question; Do YOU think it's a high estimate. ( I think it is. Ridicolously high ! ) {nm} on Apr 25, 11:16
Why? Can you break it down in numbers, and support your notion with comparisons, referance to weekend potential in general, etc? {nm} on Apr 25, 11:24
(just curious - cause if one feels as strongly about a figure, there must be some rational reason somewhere - and then it should be possible on Apr 25, 11:26
I posted some numbers below your previous post asking about theaters counts facto {nm} on Apr 25, 11:28
Thanks - I see it now {nm} on Apr 25, 11:38
I think I can explain my reasoning on this vindiesel/carhitmovie. But let´s do these things in a certain order ) Secret may answer first {nm} on Apr 25, 11:35
Why does SS need to offer his opinion before you give a reasoning on why you think it's 'ridiculously high'. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:44
because - woooow... this FF5 thread could be the biggest ever in recent hsx-history - but still; because.... on Apr 25, 12:08
SS is not obligated to offer an 'opinion'. But you volunteered your opinion and we're curious to your reasoning. {nm} on Apr 25, 12:15
??? on Apr 25, 12:23
The discussion is movies and you say you said you can explain your reasoning re FFUR5. {nm} on Apr 25, 12:34
offcourse I can. But at what point do I have to ? I prefer to wait for SS-answer, as I stated before. I feel you are pressuring me to... on Apr 25, 12:53
So 74 million is doable, but 78 million is high. Gotcha. :) {nm} on Apr 25, 13:04
No you don't. 74 is way too high. But that's my humble opininon. What's yours ? :-) {nm} on Apr 25, 13:20
no way in hell it does that. just my opinion, though {nm} on Apr 25, 10:52
I saw the trailer in a movie theatre on Saturday - it does look quite good. If people are hungry for a blockbuster popcorn flick right about on Apr 25, 11:00
I think the trailers look awesome {nm} on Apr 25, 11:13
I was hoping for plus 75 for FFUR5. I love my, I love my, I love my MTC {nm} on Apr 25, 10:52
78? Thanks MTC, I needed a good laugh! {nm} on Apr 25, 10:55
it has been out opening the last one in every territory so unless the bo malaise is unique to US... {nm} on Apr 25, 11:03
We'll see. I'll believe it when I see it. I'll happily eat my crow if I'm wrong, but.. on Apr 25, 11:08
WoW really?? Is that because of the movie or how the market has been? {nm} on Apr 25, 11:14
BO has been down and it's not summer. I don't think TROCK is that much of a draw. Having original cast helps, though. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:18
BO has been down because the movie selection year-to-date has sucked. That changes this weekend. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:20
I can't see anything breaking out until maybe PIRT4. I know FFUR4 did 70m in April of 2009, but it was the only new movie and there wasn't on Apr 25, 11:30
But you are basing all this on pure instinct/gut.. ? Can you break it down in numbers, please? on Apr 25, 11:31
What numbers do you want? Just because a seuqel comes out and MTC goes ga-ga over it, doesn't make it true. Just look at IRNM2. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:37
What was MTC on IRNM2? IRNM2 opened at $128M, higher than IRMN at $102M. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:41
I have MTC at 150 for IRNM2 {nm} on Apr 25, 11:42
By that measure, MTC is conservative with this sequel... {nm} on Apr 25, 11:46
I found it now, too - posted by notfabio on May 3, 2010 on Apr 25, 11:50
Searching and haven't found it yet - found the MTC for the weekend after.. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:47
Woah.. What competition is this movie gonna have?? Dylan Dogg? Hoodwinked?? {nm} on Apr 25, 11:33
There wasn't a kids movie like RIO this time last year. Only down 31% from opening weekend, that will take away some biz from FFUR5 {nm} on Apr 25, 11:36
I doubt it overlaps much. Urban audiences go for Rio over OW Fast 5? Don't see it. Blockbuster auds already saw Rio, mostly, I'd think. on Apr 25, 11:40
and we are looking at a PG-13 flick and a G rated movie {nm} on Apr 25, 11:42
We'll see! Either way I hope it makes me some H$! {nm} on Apr 25, 11:43
Thats the important thing {nm} on Apr 25, 11:44
Monsters Vs. Aliens competed against the last FFUR. I think that one is relevant. My opinion on #4 is that they really did a good job in on Apr 25, 11:45
Everyone here is making good points! on Apr 25, 11:48
Call it a gut instinct then. That's about all I can say! {nm} on Apr 25, 11:49
lol...who needs a gut when halt is on Saturdays usually. ;-) {nm} on Apr 25, 11:53
And not just Saturdays but saturday evening..... well for reg stock {nm} on Apr 25, 11:54
EXACTLY! I hope it either bombs or breaks out b/c I will be right there making profits! {nm} on Apr 25, 11:55
I think last years F&F could have down well more than almost 71 mil if not for Monsters Vs Aliens. on Apr 25, 11:49
this, I think (hope) {nm} on Apr 25, 12:06
And looking back at this time last year, there were a LOT of shorts... {nm} on Apr 25, 11:23
May I suggest that you go back two years, and calculate what you would've lost if you went short on Fast 4? on Apr 25, 11:29
Don't have records that far back. What did it halt at? {nm} on Apr 25, 11:31
Less than 130, it seems - adjusted to 195 {nm} on Apr 25, 11:36
I think that may be a lil high for dylan dogg IMO. Thats 3000 per theatre. {nm} on Apr 25, 10:59
LMFAO @ 78. Way off. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:00
Fast and Furious 2 years ago took (almost) everyone here on HSX by surprise. Do you remember? {nm} on Apr 25, 11:01
Why is that so way off? BO was saying 70mil and that was before the weekend showing what a breakout Fast 5 is having overseas. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:01
I can imagine that there's some "cognitive dissonance" in effect, here(?) on Apr 25, 11:09
Last week Antibody posted that Fast5 could get 3500+ on Apr 25, 11:20
My 2011 Easter though for you... maybe don't put all your eggs in one basket {nm} on Apr 25, 11:27
lol oh i don't {nm} on Apr 25, 11:28
I put all my Easter eggs in the same burlap sack. They were fine. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:54
While it's high, I too am confused why everyone is laughing. 70 for the last one + the addition of The Rock + like last time, no competition on Apr 25, 11:08
Also, IMAX, which will inflate prices even more. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:09
The Rocks popularity has been on the rise with his return to doing promos at WWE. I'm sure he's gonna bring in quite a few fans too. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:09
Yeah, I don't get it. It may or may not be a bit high, but in no way is it laughably so. {nm} on Apr 25, 11:21
Much to Thor's chagrin, this is also the first 'Summer Movie' ("April" be damned) on Apr 25, 11:21
Looking at last years F&F movie numbers and theater counts its definitely doable {nm} on Apr 25, 11:23
Even if you take 2 FAST 2 FURIOUS' number and account for inflation + an IMAX bump, you're looking at around $68m minimum. In no way is 78 on Apr 25, 11:32
Wrong movie. Look at Fast & Furious from 2009 not 2 fast 2 furious {nm} on Apr 25, 11:36
Fast and Furious 2009... on Apr 25, 11:41
Read your post wrong dsbman. Thought u were saying 78 was laughable. my bad {nm} on Apr 25, 11:55
Tagging [FFUR5], [PROM], [DEADN], [HDWN2]. {nm} on Apr 27, 00:26
Post a Reply
What is HSX all about?
Hollywood Stock Exchange is The Entertainment MarketTM where you can buy and trade movies, stars and more. Sign up and we'll get you started with H$2,000,000.
Sign up now »
