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THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
To save people's time, suppose the # for Tues with midnight is x, use 5.26*x - 32 as a ballpark estimate for its 6-day gross
Transformers's Tuesday-to-6-day multiplier, excluding Monday's $8.8m, is 5.26, so if Spider-Man follows the same trajectory and Tuesday's gross is x, then the 6-day total would be (x - 7.5) * 5.26 + 7.5 = 5.26 * x - 7.5* 4.26 = 5.26 * x - 32.
So if x = 27: 6-day = 110; x = 30: 6-day = 125.8; x = 34: 6-day = 146.8; x = 37: 6-day = 162.6.
Will do a formula for adjusted price next.
BOG Tweet: "Sources tell me #SpiderMan shd finish TUE somewhere in $30-37M range incl midnites. $135M+ possible in 6days." Jul 03, 20:36
Who's Gitesh Pandya? {nm} Jul 03, 20:41
He sounds Indian {nm} Jul 03, 20:42
You think? {nm} Jul 03, 20:43
Heh heh, he's Editor, BoxOfficeGuru.com. {nm} Jul 03, 20:48
To save people's time, suppose the # for Tues with midnight is x, use 5.26*x - 32 as a ballpark estimate for its 6-day gross Jul 03, 21:44
For the adjust price, use 9.9*x - 54, where x is the # for Tues with midnight (calculation inside) Jul 03, 21:58
As always, thanks for your hard work & analysis. {nm} Jul 03, 22:02
Ditto. You're a great help as always. {nm} Jul 03, 22:06
That's what I'd expect from a fellow quant jock from UCLA:) {nm} Jul 03, 22:21
Shoot, got 2.7 applied to the wrong half, re-calculating, and it should be 9.56*x - 64.2 Jul 03, 22:37
Thx for your work here!!! {nm} Jul 03, 22:40
again...that's if you want to use TFORM as the comp...thx xiayun! {nm} Jul 03, 22:17
Im still surprised that folks had little faith in Spiderman! ;) {nm} Jul 03, 22:26