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the dark knight was $313M after week 2. i think it easily passes that. {nm}

Posted by: ivyg (a.k.a del_JZW_bkohn01) on Jul 24, 08:51 in response to ivyg's post Dark Knight Rises: Over or Under $320 after its 2nd...

Dark Knight Rises: Over or Under $320 after its 2nd weekend? guesses? ivyg Jul 24, 08:49

i think definitely over... my guess is $335M... it is easily going to pass $500M {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:50

301 {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:51

the dark knight was $313M after week 2. i think it easily passes that. ivyg Jul 24, 08:51

its already running behind BATM2 cume at this point of $182.9.... {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:53

i know but i think this weekend was an extraordinary circumstance. i think the drop off will be much less. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:58

TDKR has fallen behind the pace of TDK. TDK has outgrossed TDKR 3 of the 4 days so far. {nm} fourstars Jul 24, 08:56

312.50 {nm} Tanker Jul 24, 08:52

I get this one! (nm) wkelc Jul 24, 12:30

under...and it will NOT be hitting $500M domestically {nm} Movie Cub Jul 24, 08:56

Definitely going to go over $500M. In fact, I'm betting this weekend will blow everyone's mind with its hugeness. {nm} Biff68 Jul 24, 09:44

Under probably be in the 270ish range. If it can recover it might break 500 but only if it recovers between week 3 and 4 {nm} medv4380 Jul 24, 09:28

One of the fansites needs to do a box office school, so people can understand how to project totals islander Jul 24, 09:59

you're right i dont know how to project. that explanation would be interesting. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:47

however; do you not think its plausible that extraordinary made its opening weekend artificially low {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:49

so why wouldnt a 40 or 45% drop be possible? {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

because you have seen movies follow a normal distribution curve, you do not think that outliers can occur. which is naive {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

i am not am not saying it will or wont. i am new to all this. but to tell me that what is going on is standard does not make sense {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:52

i admit its possible that batm3 could see an unprecedented 2nd wknd upswing because of events, but something like that happening is just so islander Jul 24, 11:15

Completely Plausible to get into the 270ish range. I'm just using the line from HPOT8 medv4380 Jul 24, 10:54

im saying i think it will be above 300M that the drop off will be less than usual {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:57

but based on what islander wrote. my inital guess of 335 will definitely be wrong. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:58

the potter films, like the twilight films, are not good comparisons because the fanbases for those films have shown that they rush out islander Jul 24, 11:12

Unless you're conclude that the only the Batman Fan Base is who is showing up. It's your average person who isn't a Hard Core fan that didn' medv4380 Jul 24, 11:35

$288m {nm} xiayun Jul 24, 13:18

welcome back :) {nm} tealfan Jul 24, 15:07





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Drop (DROP) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 14990 14.15 (-0.14)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Companion (CMPAN) 10000 19.12 (-0.34)          Hitpig (HITPG) 98999 6.05 (+0.37)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 150000 7.95 (+1.52)          The Order (TORDR) 149000 8.59 (+0.98)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 19517 66.37 (+2.18)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 19516 66.37 (+2.18)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 5000 131.70 (-0.13)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 19000 8.68 (-1.32)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 4000 30.07 (-0.10)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 1000 139.83 (+1.32)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 10000 6.49 (+0.03)          Blossoms (BLOSM) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Chungking Express 2020 (CKXP2) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Kung Fury 2 (KFURY) 7999 0.01 (0.00)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 6.49 (+0.03)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 15.95 (-2.03)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 38.46 (-0.39)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 75000 30.07 (-0.10)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 150000 31.39 (+1.30)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 6000 30.07 (-0.10)          Drop (DROP) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 5000 8.68 (-1.32)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle - O (HAIKY.OW) 9 4.53 (-0.47)          The Order (TORDR) 149999 8.59 (+0.98)          The Order (TORDR) 149996 8.59 (+0.98)          Drop (DROP) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Barbarella (BARBA) 23509 54.95 (-0.49)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 14.15 (-0.14)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 10000 23.38 (+0.74)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 10000 131.70 (-0.13)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.60 (+0.42)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 83.54 (+0.85)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 146.27 (-1.86)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.68 (-1.32)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 5000 159.55 (+0.80)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 5000 103.08 (+0.87)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 5000 128.88 (-0.06)          Drop (DROP) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Shayda (SHDYA) 150000 0.10 (+0.03)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 5000 104.07 (-0.06)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.84 (-0.27)          Avantika (AVANT) 5000 30.56 (-0.02)          Drop (DROP) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.22 (+0.10)          Hannah Waddingham (HWADD) 5000 65.04 (-0.05)