HSX Forum

Movies

It was so incredibly hyped...

Posted by: Mattrek on Oct 28, 23:11 in response to Movienaut's post I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous...

every little bit of presales information was posted including the 65m WW presales figure and of course AEG came along and made it worse. I usually keep a level head, but the presales were just incredible and I gave in to a 50m OD and 108m 5-day (I know I'm embarrassed). And of course over at BOM with every piece of good news the predicts climb and with negative news they decline, but there was never negative, so it skyrocketed.

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm} Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm} thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Nuremberg (NUREM) 25000 20.02 (+5.23)          Seven Veils (7VEIL) 1 2.28 (+0.02)          The New Boy (TNEWB) 1 1.68 (+0.01)          The Shrouds (SHRUD) 1 2.79 (+1.41)          Poolman (POOLM) 1 0.39 (+0.03)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 140000 20.02 (+5.23)          Free Agents (FREAG) 1 2.79 (+0.02)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 2.97 (+2.96)          Relay (RELAY) 1 4.02 (+0.01)          Hope (HOPE) 1 3.02 (+0.02)          The Collaboration (COLAB) 1 1.73 (+0.02)          Universe’s Most Wanted (UNIMW) 1 2.90 (+0.02)          Letitia Wright (LWRIG) 10000 126.76 (+0.78)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 10000 20.02 (+5.23)          On Swift Horses (OSWFH) 1 4.29 (+0.01)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 1 0.93 (+0.02)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 2000 137.78 (+0.22)          The Climb (CLIMB) 1 1.43 (+0.02)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.23 (-0.05)          The Actor (TACTR) 1 1.26 (+0.02)          Harbinger (HARBN) 1 0.84 (+0.01)          Bad Behaviour (BBHAV) 150000 0.81 (-0.04)          Blitz (BLTZ) 1 2.59 (+0.01)          That Christmas (THCHR) 1 1.59 (+0.02)          Evil Does Not Exist (EDNTE) 1 0.69 (+0.02)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 1 4.37 (+0.02)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 91.48 (-0.69)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 1 18.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 91.48 (-0.69)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 91.48 (-0.69)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 91.48 (-0.69)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 57.70 (+0.16)          Thelma (THELM) 9 4.34 (+1.08)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 1 24.50 (+0.06)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 10000 20.70 (+0.21)          The War Magician (WARMG) 19 4.59 (+0.01)          Sweet Vengeance (SWVNG) 10 1.64 (+0.01)          Mob Girl (MOBGR) 10 1.01 (+0.03)          The Beast (LBETE) 5 0.51 (+0.01)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 50000 349.69 (+1.15)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 39.35 (+0.60)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 56.96 (-0.03)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 16.92 (-2.06)          Michael Angarano (MANGA) 25000 71.25 (+1.25)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 500 217.68 (+0.68)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 500 349.69 (+1.15)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 10000 2.97 (+2.96)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 150000 20.02 (+5.23)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 15000 2.97 (+2.96)