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An "accurate" estimate for the weekend could still be $15-20 million off. Different movies perform differently, even when they are similar. {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore (a.k.a CaineFund) on Nov 22, 15:30 in response to Oleg Max's post I get it might be tough for an original flick, but...

THR: HGAM2 Friday matinee grosses are trailing behind the first film. Antibody Nov 22, 14:50

"Based on early returns, box office observers are divided as to whether Catching Fire can match the $152.5 million debut of HGAME" - wow... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 22, 14:53

Nobody knows anything! {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:02

how can they be divided if they have #s in front of them? its either beating HGAME or not... if not, are they still holding out hope for Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:05

Because they have different opinions. Nobody knows anything! {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:06

wouldn't their opinion be based on hard #s though? i take it middies are throwing them off... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:08

You should know that by how the projections vary and change from now until Sun morning. {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:13

I get it might be tough for an original flick, but wouldn't it be so much easier to compare data of the sequel to the original and come up Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:21

The midnights are ahead, but the Friday matinees are behind. There's already a contradiction. {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:24

like Shrek 2! {nm} charlie Nov 22, 15:26

An "accurate" estimate for the weekend could still be $15-20 million off. Different movies perform differently, even when they are similar. RogerMore Nov 22, 15:30

because it might play differently than the first film, e.g., more people go at night and later in the weekend than came out early last time {nm} charlie Nov 22, 15:09

because they {nm} tealfan Nov 22, 15:18

because they're not in a hurry to admit they were wrong {nm} tealfan Nov 22, 15:18

On the other hand, everybody knows nothing! {nm} DTravel Nov 22, 23:48

It's a Young Adult targeted movie... Young Adults are usually in school on Fridays during matinee time {nm} RazorHawk Nov 22, 15:18

weren't they in the school when the first one came out too, or was it a holiday wknd? {nm} Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:24

March 23 was not a holiday weekend. Good Friday was April 6. {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:27

The first installment came out on Spring Break (at least for my area) {nm} aggie2145 Nov 22, 15:32

SPRING BREAK WOOHOO! {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:06

"Spring break. Spring break. Spring break fo'ever." {nm} Willroast Nov 22, 17:30

look at all my ****, i got scarface on repeat ya'll, scarface on repeat! {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:35

so saturday might be monstrous then... hmm... {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:08

Is it going to be a rollercoaster of a night for this stock??...haha! A very expensive ride considering official projection are not in yet?? {nm} Malachi1 Nov 22, 15:24

I miss the guy who used to write numbers throughout the day with comparables already {nm} thatpj Nov 22, 15:28

steve mason? {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:06





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Annette Bening (ABENI) 24990 57.15 (+0.16)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.51 (+3.03)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.51 (+3.03)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 98 31.17 (+0.07)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 27083 10.00 (0.00)          Chris Pine (CPINE) 24846 41.72 (-0.16)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 24846 113.20 (-0.33)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 50000 13.94 (-0.12)          Poolman (POOLM) 1 0.36 (-0.01)          Poolman (POOLM) 144 0.36 (-0.01)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 150000 3.11 (+0.22)          Poolman (POOLM) 150000 0.36 (-0.01)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 8.31 (-2.13)          Humane (HUMNE) 150000 0.43 (-0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 82 2.33 (-0.02)          Jamie Foxx (JFOXX) 147 79.59 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 208 58.87 (+0.63)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 1 2.09 (-0.09)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 29148 146.07 (+2.86)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 148 2.09 (-0.09)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 13.94 (-0.12)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 82.70 (-0.37)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 143596 30.24 (-0.14)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.33 (-0.02)          Eric Bana (EBANA) 177 31.51 (-0.25)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.33 (-0.02)          Force of Nature: The Dry 2 (FNTUR) 1 0.30 (-0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 95667 146.07 (+2.86)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 58.87 (+0.63)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.22 (-1.16)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.22 (-1.16)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 18.54 (+1.77)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.51 (+3.03)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 8.31 (-2.13)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 9999 22.92 (+2.22)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 15.34 (-1.05)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 15.34 (-1.05)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 5.07 (-0.55)          Fantastic Four (FANF2) 12249 161.61 (-0.60)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 5.07 (-0.55)          Matthew Macfadyen (MMACF) 25000 64.22 (-0.25)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 75000 37.90 (+0.76)          Asphalt City (BLKFL) 150000 0.68 (-0.06)          Asphalt City (BLKFL) 150000 0.68 (-0.06)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 5.38 (-1.40)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 16.92 (+0.12)          Peaches (PEACH) 150000 3.49 (+0.03)          Uproar (UPROA) 150000 0.69 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 150000 2.09 (-0.09)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 150000 3.11 (+0.22)