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Yep - what I mean is it seems harder to go against groupthink on the downside than the upside.

Posted by: RogerMore on Feb 08, 18:44 in response to PVL Admin's post That's also the power of group think.

Like no matter what the movie, Lego or Pacific Rim, there are always enthusiasts who'll say "I don't care what tracking says, it's opening way above that". But it's rare to see someone say "a movie about vampire Hogwarts? $5m OW max!"

ERC: George Clooney's THE MONUMENTS MEN (MONUM) rolled out to a solid $7M on Friday. {nm} H-Mogul Feb 08, 09:06

It'll go lower. Reviews are terrible. I don't see much word of mouth--- {nm} VictorY Feb 08, 09:10

Is this your opinion or a premonition? {nm} jdaniel Feb 08, 09:18

It's dropped to "33 percent" on Rotten overnight, it was around "50 percent" yesterday. Not a good sign. {nm} VictorY Feb 08, 09:49

You said "It'll go lower". So what's your estimate for the weekend total? {nm} jdaniel Feb 08, 09:56

And I'd like to know tonight's Powerball numbers. {nm} clusterxxx Feb 08, 10:14

3-12-19-40-11 powerball 36... {nm} Fagatron Feb 08, 15:18

I'll wager 2 bucks and play those numbers :p {nm} pennystocks2 Feb 08, 15:28

Looks like your sensei silly blog guess on Lego are terrible too {nm} karspov Feb 08, 10:17

Lots of bad guesses this week. Lego was apparently hard to judge. PVL Admin Feb 08, 14:31

Actually, it wasn't Lego that brought everyone down it was Vampire Academy....interesting. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 14:36

Really? Vampire Acadamy was the easiest for me to judge this week. The movie is a little late to the vampire party. {nm} magicdreamer Feb 08, 16:07

Yes. Sites were all 70-100% accurate on LEGO and wrt Vampire, 8/12 got 0%, a couple got ~30 and a couple got ~70. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 17:03

...again, if numbers hold. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 17:03

The thinking "It can't possibly open lower than this" is pretty tempting. RogerMore Feb 08, 16:27

That's also the power of group think. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 08, 17:04

Yep - what I mean is it seems harder to go against groupthink on the downside than the upside. RogerMore Feb 08, 18:44





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Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 3 135.40 (-0.36)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 135.40 (-0.36)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 29.41 (+0.04)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 7.07 (-0.01)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 7.07 (-0.01)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 7.07 (-0.01)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 50000 6.95 (-0.01)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 50000 6.95 (-0.01)          The Substance (SBSTN) 19523 5.78 (-0.48)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 50000 6.95 (-0.01)          The Substance (SBSTN) 49522 5.78 (-0.48)          Nonnas (NONAS) 50000 8.78 (+0.01)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 2000 71.07 (+0.08)          Nonnas (NONAS) 50000 8.78 (+0.01)          Nonnas (NONAS) 50000 8.78 (+0.01)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 1 88.80 (-1.22)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 50000 73.35 (-0.58)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 1 18.24 (+0.25)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 2 9.58 (+0.58)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 50000 73.35 (-0.58)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 2 12.82 (+1.17)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 50000 73.35 (-0.58)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 100000 12.82 (+1.17)          Sight (SIGHT) 3 8.30 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 1.93 (+0.01)          Sight (SIGHT) 150000 8.30 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 1.93 (+0.01)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 1.93 (+0.01)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.24 (+0.25)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.58 (+0.58)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.82 (+1.17)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 149998 8.27 (+0.11)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 29.41 (+0.04)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 59.57 (-0.43)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 1.91 (-0.09)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 29.41 (+0.04)          Dracula - Universal (DRCUL) 49999 16.77 (-0.02)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.40 (+0.40)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 29.41 (+0.04)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 200 9.58 (+0.58)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          The Watchers - Opening Weekend (WATCS.OW) 100000 15.37 (+0.37)          The Watchers H$15 Put (WATCS.PU) 25000 2.23 (+0.23)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 7.07 (-0.01)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 7.07 (-0.01)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 7.07 (-0.01)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 100000 15.38 (-0.59)          Warfare (WARFR) 100000 32.48 (-0.55)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 200 36.74 (+0.14)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 25.84 (-1.05)