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And I bet the first tick would be UP! {nm}

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on Aug 26, 21:41 in response to raven headed guy with a shotgun's post Please peg the opening weekend derivatives to that...

DL: a record opening of $300M stateside and $315M abroad is possible for Force Awakens. Antibody Aug 26, 16:26

Fat stacks. Fat stacks everywhere {nm} Strider907 Aug 26, 16:31

Perhaps the Thursday midnights will begin sometime on Monday, and that's "the new Friday." {nm} second gary Aug 26, 17:50

+1 {nm} ShawnMR Aug 26, 18:48

Really? $300 million in a weekend? That's almost 50% more than the current record holder (Jurassic World) FabioParme Aug 26, 16:38

Clickbait for slow news week. {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 16:56

only 100 million more than Jurassic World. I'm hoping it breaks the HP record of 91 million on opening day. {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:01

doable.. say 95 on Fri.. 120 on sat. even a 25% drop on Sunday is another 90... That gets ya to 305 for the weekend. Dorfman Aug 26, 17:08

and just cause I've had a few drinks doesn't mean I'm crazy. lol {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:11

Sat is not going to be bigger than Fri due to the Thu previews. {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 17:11

Why not?? Sat was 21% bigger than fri for Episode 3 and it had Thu previews. or wait.. was that Wed previews? Dorfman Aug 26, 17:14

See JURA4, BATm3 or any other recent blockbuster.. {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 17:16

Episode 3 opened one day earlier on Thursday, {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 17:17

I thought maybe it did. {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:23

Episode 3's breakdown inside MattW Aug 26, 17:39

yeah, so sat was bigger, but it had previews on wed. And as Anti said. no recent blockbuster has bigger sat. Dorfman Aug 26, 18:13

Saturday will be the last big shopping day before crimbers for many people. {nm} Shrike Aug 27, 06:56

Avatar was down 4.6% Sat and down 3.1% on Sun OW ryeontherocks Aug 26, 17:25

only? {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 17:08

well it's not 50% more.. {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:11

300-200 = 100 100/200 = 50% $300M is a 50% increase from $200M {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 17:12

oh you and your fancy math. LOL my bad.. {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:17

don't argue with Antibody about fancy numbers... he has degrees in dealing with fancy numbers {nm} RazorHawk Aug 26, 17:31

Jurassic Park was 208, so not quite 50% {nm} JDolphin Aug 26, 17:53

hehe {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 18:13

Please peg the opening weekend derivatives to that number. Please. I beg you. raven headed guy with a shotgun Aug 26, 16:48

And I bet the first tick would be UP! ndmaster Aug 26, 21:41

In the article they call SW16 "Rogue One: A Star Wars Story." That would be bad. Don't they check their sources? {nm} chosenone2oo5 Aug 26, 17:10

That's the branding D23 unveiled to replace STAR WARS ANTHOLOGY. Doesn't mean that it can't change again, but that's the current. {nm} notfabio Aug 26, 18:13

"Star Wars Anthology: Rogue One" was how I hoped it'd end up. Oh well. I thought just changing the subtitle each time would've been enough. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Aug 26, 21:28

imagine the frontloading on that one {nm} tealfan Aug 26, 17:12

crazy front loading {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:17

Not if it manages to be a decent film and pull out a little more fan service. The article (if you read it) goes into the little competition. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Aug 26, 17:17

This is true. Still bound to be frontloaded because I remember when original was rereleased and prequels.. There were lines around building Dorfman Aug 26, 17:22

STAR7 won't be frontloaded. This is December. See Avatar. {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 17:23

I forgot about Avatar. It's 2nd saturday was bigger than it's opening weekend Saturday. {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:25

Avatar was not a sequel. It didn't have 6 movies before it and HUMONGOUS fan base. {nm} JDolphin Aug 26, 22:01

Also see LOTR and the HOBIT sequels. {nm} Antibody Aug 26, 23:44

LOTR was 12 yrs ago viewing habits have changed.Hobit is not nearly the blockbuster Star Wars is. I don't think there is a good comparison {nm} JDolphin Aug 27, 11:26

Disagree. December openers that get the Christmas weekend bump consistently have long legs, {nm} Antibody Aug 27, 12:31

it's going to be a long 4 months to find out who is right {nm} JDolphin Aug 27, 16:54

I meant if it opens at 300M...unless somehow it delists at 810M 8O {nm} tealfan Aug 26, 18:23

i absolutely think they can do it. you have your abrams fans who want to see what he can do with SW, you have your rabid core fanbase who wi horrorfanatic Aug 26, 17:21

+1 {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:23

and it comes out right when schools get out for christmas break and will be in IMAX entire time and then some {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:24

"4,000 theaters on at least 10,000 U.S. screens stateside". wow {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:29

Lol wut? MattW Aug 26, 17:32

looks good matt. I really want it to beat HP's first day though. lol {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:38

Is a $66,000+ PTA (300 mil/4500 screens) realistic? I remember some previous discussion of max saturation. {nm} Initech Aug 26, 17:35

(300 mil/ 4500 theaters) {nm} Initech Aug 26, 17:35

If each theater , as the DL article suggests, ends up with STAR7 on 10 screens a day. {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 17:39

Not each - just every theatre with 20+ screens {nm} RogerMore Aug 26, 19:08

75,000 pta {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 18:15

wait.. wtf {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 18:15

nvm 66,000 damn finger slipped on calculator {nm} Dorfman Aug 26, 18:15

Remember that many theaters are planning to be open 24 hours a day for that weekend. It is going to crush the record. {nm} nilephelan Aug 26, 22:04

Agreed the record is on the table and will probably go down if reviews match the hype. Just think it's a little early to speculate on a # ShawnMR Aug 26, 22:20

I would at the most conservative estimate a $250 million opening. Thursday previews likely in the $30 million range and then add midnight nilephelan Aug 26, 22:27

wow didn't know that! {nm} tealfan Aug 26, 23:42

Where did you hear that? {nm} Antibody Aug 27, 09:56

Trust me. =) {nm} nilephelan Aug 28, 18:35





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