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I agree on it depends, not just on this weekend but its hold against Rogue One (what % it drops weekend #2)...
Rogue One has grabbed all the theaters it's getting for its opening weekend, but theaters still have to figure out how and where all the Dec 21 (and 23) movies are going and if Rogue One will give up a few screens or badly performing holdovers will...I think both will happen...
What number this weekend would be good for OFCPT making it's price? Dec 07, 08:50
It could do it with a $20m OW, but that presupposes good WOM, which I don't expect. I'd go with your $25m number. {nm} Dec 07, 09:05
Maybe less than $20M OW should be enough for a delist at $75M. Dec 07, 09:22
OFCPT is currently at 38% and dropping on RT. Just for current comparison with your example. {nm} Dec 07, 09:43
fwiw, The Night Before opened at $9.9M, delisted at $38.4M for a multiplier of 3.9. {nm} Dec 07, 10:21
Yes. It did have Thanksgiving in the sophomore frame to help, but even, still, held up quick nicely after that. {nm} Dec 07, 10:24
But delisted before the lucrative Christmas weekend. {nm} Dec 07, 10:28
I agree on it depends, not just on this weekend but its hold against Rogue One (what % it drops weekend #2)... Dec 07, 10:23