SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Avengers casts over Dark Shadows.

Even The Dictator knew better than to deal with the second weekend of The Avengers [AVNGR] as the Sacha Baron Cohen film pushed its release date back until next week leaving Dark Shadows [DRKSH] as the sole new wide opener.  After shattering the opening weekend box office record, The Avengers has held up reasonably well during the weekdays.  The Avengers enjoys excellent word of mouth, which will attract moviegoers seeing these superheroes for the first time as well as bring repeat business. Much like Avatar, The Avengers has become a must-see event for those who want to stay cultural relevant. Amongst the superhero blockbusters that opened the first weekend in May, The Avengers' second weekend drop-off should be closer to the well-liked Spider-Man (-38%) and Iron Man (-48%), rather than the maligned Spider-Man 3 (-61%) and Iron Man 2 (-60%)  The Avengers looks to amass around $107 million and set another record for biggest second weekend ever.

Dark Shadows reunites Johnny Depp [JDEPP] with director Tim Burton [TBURT]. Their last collaboration Alice in Wonderland opened to $116 million in 2010, but that was a family-friendly 3D film based on a famous literary as well as Disney property. Dark Shadows is based on a 1960s TV series no one under 40 is familiar with. Warner Bros. was late in starting the marketing campaign and when the first trailer finally arrived, its offbeat humor divided opinions.  The PG-13 rated gothic comedy has received mixed reviews from critics, which may turn off older adults who actually remembered the original show.  Younger moviegoers are more likely to watch The Avengers again.  With Depp and Burton indulging in their weird kookiness, Dark Shadows looks to attract only their die-hard fans. Opening in 3755 theaters, Dark Shadows may suck in $32 million.

As for the rest of the box office, ahh who cares. Wink  Nothing else will make more than a few million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, DRKSH, JDEPP, TBURT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 10, 2012 @ 03:10 PM 6567 views

Recent Comments

oozy
Friday, June 29 at 10:14 AM Pacific
How much profit will we make with devi on avengrs?



Robot Dreams (RBDRM) 150000 1.71 (-0.03)          Robot Dreams (RBDRM) 150000 1.71 (-0.03)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 1500 24.98 (-0.23)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 1500 24.98 (-0.23)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 33.31 (-0.15)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 150000 24.98 (-0.23)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Untitled Trey Parker (UVCHA) 150000 23.56 (+0.12)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.57 (-0.24)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.10 (-0.44)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 99000 11.99 (+1.05)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Forge (TFORG) 150000 17.74 (-0.23)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 31.23 (+5.31)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.06 (+0.73)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.06 (+0.73)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Abigail (ABGAL) 35462 31.95 (+0.63)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Watchers (WATCS) 25000 36.97 (-0.34)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.96 (+0.60)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.06 (+0.73)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 50000 121.44 (-2.58)          Will Smith (WSMIT) 25000 97.99 (+1.25)          Will Smith (WSMIT) 25000 97.99 (+1.25)          The Killer (KILER) 150000 0.06 (0.00)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 149999 18.48 (-0.25)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.06 (+0.73)          The Killer (KILER) 150000 0.06 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 30000 11.99 (+1.05)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 150000 18.48 (-0.25)          Madden (MADEN) 25000 31.23 (+5.31)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.90 (+0.21)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 31.23 (+5.31)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.26 (-0.07)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 9.72 (-1.79)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 9.72 (-1.79)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 150000 52.54 (+1.12)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 31.23 (+5.31)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.68 (+0.36)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 31.95 (+0.63)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 59200 9.15 (+1.74)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.99 (+1.05)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 1037 9.15 (+1.74)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 1200 9.15 (+1.74)          The Wager (WAGER) 30000 35.90 (-0.24)