SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: The Avengers casts over Dark Shadows.

Even The Dictator knew better than to deal with the second weekend of The Avengers [AVNGR] as the Sacha Baron Cohen film pushed its release date back until next week leaving Dark Shadows [DRKSH] as the sole new wide opener.  After shattering the opening weekend box office record, The Avengers has held up reasonably well during the weekdays.  The Avengers enjoys excellent word of mouth, which will attract moviegoers seeing these superheroes for the first time as well as bring repeat business. Much like Avatar, The Avengers has become a must-see event for those who want to stay cultural relevant. Amongst the superhero blockbusters that opened the first weekend in May, The Avengers' second weekend drop-off should be closer to the well-liked Spider-Man (-38%) and Iron Man (-48%), rather than the maligned Spider-Man 3 (-61%) and Iron Man 2 (-60%)  The Avengers looks to amass around $107 million and set another record for biggest second weekend ever.

Dark Shadows reunites Johnny Depp [JDEPP] with director Tim Burton [TBURT]. Their last collaboration Alice in Wonderland opened to $116 million in 2010, but that was a family-friendly 3D film based on a famous literary as well as Disney property. Dark Shadows is based on a 1960s TV series no one under 40 is familiar with. Warner Bros. was late in starting the marketing campaign and when the first trailer finally arrived, its offbeat humor divided opinions.  The PG-13 rated gothic comedy has received mixed reviews from critics, which may turn off older adults who actually remembered the original show.  Younger moviegoers are more likely to watch The Avengers again.  With Depp and Burton indulging in their weird kookiness, Dark Shadows looks to attract only their die-hard fans. Opening in 3755 theaters, Dark Shadows may suck in $32 million.

As for the rest of the box office, ahh who cares. Wink  Nothing else will make more than a few million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, DRKSH, JDEPP, TBURT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 10, 2012 @ 03:10 PM 6928 views

Recent Comments

oozy
Friday, June 29 at 10:14 AM Pacific
How much profit will we make with devi on avengrs?



Seth Rogen (SROGE) 22048 74.99 (-0.47)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 169.12 (-2.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 241.70 (+2.32)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 20000 89.56 (-0.26)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 109007 77.50 (-3.80)          The Catch (TCATC) 1 68.68 (+1.57)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10000 11.98 (+0.06)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 20000 42.64 (+0.37)          Kiefer Sutherland (KSUTH) 25000 8.07 (+0.20)          Kiefer Sutherland (KSUTH) 25000 8.07 (+0.20)          Kiefer Sutherland (KSUTH) 25000 8.07 (+0.20)          Pressure (PRSUR) 19996 15.07 (-0.38)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 33.96 (-0.37)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 33.96 (-0.37)          Ariana Greenblatt (ARGRE) 25000 81.85 (-1.25)          Ariana Greenblatt (ARGRE) 25000 81.85 (-1.25)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.66 (-6.15)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.66 (-6.15)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.19 (-6.44)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.19 (-6.44)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 4.84 (-0.01)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 4.84 (-0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 140.27 (-4.50)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.78 (+0.14)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.78 (+0.14)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 1.89 (+0.06)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 500 36.55 (+1.26)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.19 (-6.44)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 25000 115.34 (-1.63)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.74 (+1.74)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 149990 115.34 (-1.63)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10000 11.98 (+0.06)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 43.06 (-2.01)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 43.06 (-2.01)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 60000 57.66 (+0.38)          Moana (MOAN1) 50000 241.70 (+2.32)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1000 6.19 (-6.44)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1000 6.19 (-6.44)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 100 6.56 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 77.50 (-3.80)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 1000 6.40 (+0.01)          Ecto aka Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 1000 4.59 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 78000 3.52 (+0.18)          Voltron (VOLTN) 477 20.69 (-0.06)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 10000 35.17 (+0.10)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 6.74 (+1.74)          Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 25000 89.67 (+0.25)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 20000 6.89 (-0.01)          Rosa Salazar (RSALA) 25000 56.10 (+0.16)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 10000 35.17 (+0.10)