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Whisper Numbers: Can Argo beat Taken 2?

Even with high expectations heading into last weekend, Taken 2 [TAKE2] outperformed the competition by a wide margin. As with most highly anticipated sequels, Taken 2 was likely front-loaded by fans and headed for a 50% drop to about $23 million, which may be enough to hold off the slew of newcomers at the box office.

Warner Bros.’ Argo [ARGO] arrives in theaters riding a crescendo of Oscar buzz. Ben Affleck [BAFFL] directs and stars in the film based on the true story of how the CIA rescued six Americans trapped by the 1979 Iranian Revolution. The R-rated thriller has earned overwhelmingly positive reviews, which will bring out the adult moviegoers. Opening in 3232 theaters, Argo could net $20 million.

Kevin James [KJAME] plays a teacher turned MMA fighter in the comedy Here Comes the Boom [HCTBM]. With a PG-rating and formulaic storyline, the film aims to capture a broad audience. However, Here Comes the Boom may be too family-friendly for fans of the fighting sport, which itself could turned off women. Competition for young male moviegoers is also fierce this weekend. Fighting in 3014 theaters, Here Comes the Boom may earn $15 million.

The R-rated horror film Sinister [SINIS] stars Ethan Hawke [EHAWK] as a family man who uncovers some disturbing home videos. The Summit release has generated positive buzz from early reviews, which should attract horror fans. Sinister could scare up $14 million from 2527 locations.

Colin Farrell [CFARR], Woody Harrelson [WHARR] and Christopher Walken [CWALK] star in the R-rated comedy Seven Psychopaths [7PSYC]. Since none of the cast are guaranteed draws, CBS Films has done an admirable marketing job with funny trailers. Opening in just 1512 theaters, Seven Psychopaths could ransom about $7.5 million.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Perks of Being a Wallflower [POBWF] expands nationwide to 762 theaters. Based on a popular young adult novel, the PG-13 rated drama will primarily draw on young women. Perks of Being a Wallflower could dance away with about $3.5 million.

The weekend’s last new release is the sequel based on the Ayn Rand novel, Atlas Shrugged, Part II [ATLA2].  The first film grossed a respectable $4.6 million in limited release. The sequel will open wide in 1012 theaters and could tally $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TAKE2, ARGO, BAFFL, KJAME, HCTBM, SINIS, EHAWK, CFARR, WHARR, CWALK, 7PSYC, POBWF, ATLA2

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 11, 2012 @ 04:15 PM 6240 views

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Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 4133 362.45 (+0.76)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 45000 45.17 (+0.85)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 5000 43.90 (+6.06)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 2456 235.00 (+0.17)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 43655 76.14 (-0.88)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 150000 14.19 (+1.35)          The Face of Horror (FCOHR) 150000 11.45 (+0.34)          The Face of Horror (FCOHR) 150000 11.45 (+0.34)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 50000 40.00 (0.00)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 45000 45.17 (+0.85)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 34.40 (-1.15)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.59 (-2.13)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 43.90 (+6.06)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 23.53 (-0.10)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 43.90 (+6.06)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 111 88.74 (+1.99)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 150000 10.76 (-1.14)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 75000 10.76 (-1.14)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 1 10.76 (-1.14)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 54031 88.74 (+1.99)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.59 (-2.13)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 32.59 (-2.13)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 106420 40.00 (0.00)          Timothee Chalamet (TCHAL) 10220 129.67 (+0.46)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 150000 71.72 (+1.88)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 77873 38.06 (+0.01)          Remain (REMAN) 50000 63.30 (+0.14)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 76.14 (-0.88)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 52.40 (+0.02)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 90000 43.90 (+6.06)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.13)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 43.90 (+6.06)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 150000 1.69 (-0.31)          Bedford Park (BEDFP) 150000 1.82 (-0.18)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.56 (+1.23)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 34.40 (-1.15)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 1.95 (+0.07)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 76.14 (+0.50)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 10000 51.86 (-0.48)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 24.23 (+0.15)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 1.44 (-0.13)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.13)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 14.62 (+0.16)