ANNOUNCEMENT: Trade Blockbuster Warrants of Hollywood's biggest moneymakers.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: 'The Blind Side' should score the win in its third weekend.



The weekend after Thanksgiving is usually slow at the box office as audiences tighten their wallets after a weekend of holiday shopping.  Because of that, the four new wide releases offered are unlikely to challenge for the top spot.  After finishing second for two weeks, The Blind Side [BLDSD] is poised to claim the top spot. The success of the sports drama has been driven by moviegoers in small towns, rather than big cities, that identify with its message of family values.  The Blind Side should block out the competition with a weekend leading $27 million.

The Twilight Saga: New Moon [TWLI2] has proved to be massively front-loaded by its female fanbase.  Even with another big drop-off, New Moon should still finish in second with about $17 million.

Sony’s Armored [ARMRD] looks to have the most commercial appeal out of the new releases.  The male-skewing heist film features recognizable faces in Matt Dillon [MDILL], Columbus Short [CSHOR] and Laurence Fishburne [LFISH].  Locked into 1915 theaters, the PG-13 rated release may bank around $8 million.

Tobey Maguire [TMAGU] and Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] star as Brothers [BRTHS] feuding over the same woman, played by Natalie Portman [NPORT].   Another R-rated drama about a veteran returning from war in Afghanistan may prove to be a hard sell to moviegoers.  The Lionsgate film could tally $7 million from 2088 locations.

Robert De Niro [RDENI] heads a dysfunctional family in the holiday comedy Everybody’s Fine [EBFIN].   Marketing has been almost non-existent on the PG-13 rated film as a result of regime change at the scaled back Miramax.   Opening in 2133 theaters, Everybody’s Fine may settle with just $4 million.

The R-rated comedy Translymania [TRSLM] is actually a sequel in the straight-to-video series Dorm Daze. The creators formed a new distribution company, Full Circle Releasing, and secured 1007 theaters.  Even with marketing support, the starless feature is unlikely to make more than $1.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): BLDSD, TWLI2, ARMRD, MDILL, CSHOR, LFISH, TMAGU, JGYLL, BRTHS, NPORT, RDENI, EBFIN, TRSLM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 3, 2009 @ 03:30 PM        2423 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Amanda Peet (APEET) 20000 40.26 (0.00)         Mad Max: Fury Road (MMAX4) 100000 119.77 (-6.04)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 1 217.30 (+3.68)         Spectre (JB24) 1 193.20 (-1.21)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 50000 40.00 (0.00)         Anna Paquin (APAQU) 20000 91.14 (-0.20)         Assassin's Creed (ASCRD) 50000 32.82 (+4.30)         Anna Paquin (APAQU) 20000 91.14 (-0.20)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 100000 23.84 (-1.05)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 100000 23.84 (-1.05)         Tink (TINK) 100000 17.02 (+5.84)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 1 217.30 (+3.68)         The Accountant (ACTNT) 1000 33.36 (+1.71)         Spectre (JB24) 1 193.20 (-1.21)         Kevin Hart: What Now? (KHWN) 1000 25.96 (+1.94)         San Andreas (SANDR) 100000 108.96 (+2.57)         LEGO Batman (LBATM) 50000 79.84 (-0.91)         Avengers: Infinity War Part I (AVNG3) 29 396.96 (-0.71)         Adrianne Palicki (APALI) 20000 46.55 (-0.13)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 3 40.00 (0.00)         Tink (TINK) 100000 17.02 (+5.84)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Every Thing Will Be Fine (ETWBF) 1000 0.01 (-0.09)         I Walk With the Dead (IWWTD) 100000 0.21 (+0.20)         Ant-Man (ANTMN) 4695 150.69 (+0.11)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 31939 40.00 (0.00)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 31939 40.00 (0.00)         The Smurfs Movie (SMRF3) 50000 32.08 (+0.10)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 4895 40.00 (0.00)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 4895 40.00 (0.00)         The Italian Job 2 aka The Brazil (ITJO2) 1 0.21 (+0.02)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 4895 40.00 (0.00)         Tink (TINK) 100000 17.02 (+5.84)         Medusa (MEDUS) 100000 27.54 (-0.33)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 10000 40.00 (0.00)         Harker (HARKR) 1 0.60 (0.00)         Tink (TINK) 100000 17.02 (+5.84)         Alfred Molina (AMOLI) 20000 75.66 (-0.20)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 46786 40.00 (0.00)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 46786 40.00 (0.00)         Alfred Molina (AMOLI) 20000 75.66 (-0.20)         Harker (HARKR) 1 0.60 (0.00)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Avengers: Age of Ultron $450M Bl (AVNG2.BW) 20000 9.98 (-0.53)         The Italian Job 2 aka The Brazil (ITJO2) 1 0.21 (+0.02)         Medusa (MEDUS) 50000 27.54 (-0.33)         The Rockford Files (TROCF) 1 0.31 (-0.10)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 46786 40.00 (0.00)