ANNOUNCEMENT: Invest in Blockbuster Warrants of Hollywood's biggest moneymakers.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: 'The Blind Side' should score the win in its third weekend.



The weekend after Thanksgiving is usually slow at the box office as audiences tighten their wallets after a weekend of holiday shopping.  Because of that, the four new wide releases offered are unlikely to challenge for the top spot.  After finishing second for two weeks, The Blind Side [BLDSD] is poised to claim the top spot. The success of the sports drama has been driven by moviegoers in small towns, rather than big cities, that identify with its message of family values.  The Blind Side should block out the competition with a weekend leading $27 million.

The Twilight Saga: New Moon [TWLI2] has proved to be massively front-loaded by its female fanbase.  Even with another big drop-off, New Moon should still finish in second with about $17 million.

Sony’s Armored [ARMRD] looks to have the most commercial appeal out of the new releases.  The male-skewing heist film features recognizable faces in Matt Dillon [MDILL], Columbus Short [CSHOR] and Laurence Fishburne [LFISH].  Locked into 1915 theaters, the PG-13 rated release may bank around $8 million.

Tobey Maguire [TMAGU] and Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] star as Brothers [BRTHS] feuding over the same woman, played by Natalie Portman [NPORT].   Another R-rated drama about a veteran returning from war in Afghanistan may prove to be a hard sell to moviegoers.  The Lionsgate film could tally $7 million from 2088 locations.

Robert De Niro [RDENI] heads a dysfunctional family in the holiday comedy Everybody’s Fine [EBFIN].   Marketing has been almost non-existent on the PG-13 rated film as a result of regime change at the scaled back Miramax.   Opening in 2133 theaters, Everybody’s Fine may settle with just $4 million.

The R-rated comedy Translymania [TRSLM] is actually a sequel in the straight-to-video series Dorm Daze. The creators formed a new distribution company, Full Circle Releasing, and secured 1007 theaters.  Even with marketing support, the starless feature is unlikely to make more than $1.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): BLDSD, TWLI2, ARMRD, MDILL, CSHOR, LFISH, TMAGU, JGYLL, BRTHS, NPORT, RDENI, EBFIN, TRSLM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 3, 2009 @ 03:30 PM        2450 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Cantor Exchange

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Amanda Peet (APEET) 20000 40.14 (+0.24)         Alison Brie (ABRIE) 20000 66.12 (+0.40)         23 Jump Street (21JS3) 1 66.09 (-0.52)         Goblins (GOBLN) 100000 0.14 (-0.03)         Sausage Party (SAUSG) 12276 46.51 (-1.16)         Alison Brie (ABRIE) 20000 66.12 (+0.40)         The Lost City of Z (LOCTZ) 95000 2.56 (+0.01)         That's What I'm Talking About (TWITA) 2972 7.18 (-0.09)         Star Wars: The Force Awakens (STAR7) 24761 344.37 (-0.20)         23 Jump Street (21JS3) 1 66.09 (-0.52)         Rambo V: Last Blood (RAMB5) 95000 1.96 (+0.03)         Animal Farm (AFARM) 1642 0.39 (+0.04)         Rounders 2 (RNDR2) 95000 5.22 (-0.02)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 100000 41.91 (+7.39)         Tron: Ascension aka Tron: Voyage (TRON3) 5642 14.78 (+0.02)         Uptown Saturday Night (USATN) 95000 4.44 (-0.13)         Alive Alone (ALVAL) 642 1.14 (+0.04)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 9900 356.32 (+6.32)         Queen of the Desert (QDSRT) 100000 5.29 (+3.20)         The Trap (TTRAP) 95000 11.63 (+0.12)         Queen of the Desert (QDSRT) 100000 5.29 (+3.20)         All I See Is You (AISIY) 642 16.92 (-0.02)         Ant-Man (ANTMN) 20000 153.85 (+5.60)         Salt 2 (SALT2) 642 0.18 (+0.04)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 38 356.32 (+6.32)         Avengers: Infinity War Part I (AVNG3) 737 398.98 (-0.65)         Minions - Opening Weekend (MNION.OW) 100000 93.17 (+0.82)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 23597 356.32 (+6.32)         Mad Max: The Wasteland (MMAX5) 200 65.07 (-3.28)         The Rockford Files (TROCF) 642 0.33 (+0.05)         Ted 2 (TED2) 10000 74.24 (-3.41)         Terminator: Genisys (TERM5) 99 92.95 (+4.91)         Popeye (POPEY) 95000 29.49 (+0.08)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 1 41.91 (+7.39)         Terminator 2 (TERM6) 2045 31.58 (-2.86)         Terminator: Genisys (TERM5) 4141 92.95 (+4.91)         Magic Mike XXL (MGCM2) 1040 47.54 (-23.77)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 1000 356.32 (+6.32)         Ballers (BALLR) 10081 8.59 (+0.01)         Terminator: Genisys (TERM5) 100000 92.95 (+4.91)         Gershwin (GRSHW) 642 0.03 (+0.01)         Kubo And The Two Strings (KUBO) 25000 12.89 (-0.07)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 100000 561.52 (-2.47)         Jurassic World 2 (JURA5) 10 356.32 (+6.32)         Elvis & Nixon (ELVNX) 1990 1.20 (+0.04)         Black and White (BLAWH) 10675 18.58 (-0.15)         Tupac (TUPAC) 36601 9.09 (-0.17)         Andrew Adamson (ANADA) 2642 121.71 (+1.14)         Jurassic World (JURA4) 20000 561.52 (-2.47)         The Blunderer (BLUND) 54990 1.13 (-0.10)