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And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 13:14 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

like BOF, BOT, etc. By comparison, MTC gets the adjust direction right 60% of the time, RS about 45% of the time.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Tunnels (TUNLS) 149999 0.03 (+0.01)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 100001 40.35 (+0.35)          Sleeping Dogs (SDOGS) 93743 1.01 (+0.01)          Den of Thieves: Pantera (DENO2) 1 13.34 (+0.02)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 1 25.11 (+0.80)          The Killer's Game (KLRGM) 100000 13.44 (-0.02)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 100000 5.83 (-0.21)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 100000 5.83 (-0.21)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle - O (HAIKY.OW) 100000 4.49 (-0.08)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle - O (HAIKY.OW) 100000 4.49 (-0.08)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 149999 11.16 (-0.05)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.01 (-0.49)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.01 (-0.49)          The Supremes at Earl's All-You-C (TSAEA) 150000 1.83 (+0.02)          Anora (ANORA) 50000 7.01 (-0.49)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 30000 17.18 (-0.03)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 142.19 (-0.33)          Huntington (HNGTN) 1000 15.89 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 34.93 (-0.20)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 34.93 (-0.20)          The Killer's Game (KLRGM) 150000 13.44 (-0.02)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 50000 49.66 (-0.07)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 25000 49.66 (-0.07)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 3000 134.73 (0.00)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 150000 23.72 (-0.08)          Now You See Me 3 (NYSM3) 50000 27.95 (-0.03)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 38864 104.14 (-0.19)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 55000 3.04 (-0.03)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 20000 40.35 (+0.35)          Die, My Love (DIMLV) 77000 7.77 (+0.71)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.01 (-0.49)          Anora (ANORA) 10000 7.01 (-0.49)          Anora (ANORA) 20000 7.01 (-0.49)          Reagan (REAGN) 2000 6.29 (+0.23)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 40000 18.21 (+0.55)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 1200 18.21 (+0.55)          Anora (ANORA) 43000 7.01 (-0.49)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 3200 40.35 (+0.35)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.01 (-0.49)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.01 (-0.49)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 25.11 (+0.80)          Die, My Love (DIMLV) 150000 7.77 (+0.71)          Die, My Love (DIMLV) 150000 7.77 (+0.71)