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Here's my Box office analysis

Posted by: tatoufan on Sep 19, 12:55 in response to islander's post You know what I haven't seen on this board lately? Box...

 

Trouble with Curve: "I dont think Eastwood's silliness at RNC will detract moviegoers." I second that, regardless of politics, who doesn't like a halfway decent Clint film?  

House: Another week, another medioce horror film. it grosses around the average of the past couple week releases (WORDS, TPOSS). Audience is mostly horror fans, too much to see for 'non-horror'  fans to go. 

Dredd:  Viewers weren't that wowed the first time (Judge Dredd) and I think viewers will be less the second time.

Master: Intriguing, and mainstream eats it up. Will do well, number depends on the screen count.  

 

End of Watch: The trailer looks alright, so a few Jake fans and people who couldn't get into the sold out showing of The Master see it, but viewers are quickly disappointed, light turnout. Film suffers from bad word of mouth.

That's how I see it.

 

 

You know what I haven't seen on this board lately? Box office analysis. Isn't that why you people are here? We have 5 openers this week! islander Sep 19, 12:11

I think Curve will be the highest of the 5; looks decent plus for picky viewers CEAST has recent history of solid movies daveart Sep 19, 12:30

If anything, I think CEAST being on the spotlight would be good for the movie... {nm} slappydavid Sep 19, 12:32

Here's my Box office analysis tatoufan Sep 19, 12:55

MASTR and ENDWT have little audience overlap. The hispanic market is grealt underestimated. And what bad of mouth? It's gotten good reviews. {nm} Antibody Sep 19, 13:01

I wasn't underestimating the Hispanic market, I just don't think it will fly. JMO {nm} tatoufan Sep 19, 13:07

Everyone underestimates the Hispanic market. {nm} Roger More Sep 19, 13:46

Que? Catzan Sep 19, 13:54

It's a glib comment, but don't you find that movies popular with Hispanics are underestimated on HSX? Roger More Sep 19, 14:15

Yes. Similar to how HSX traders underestimated many african-american targetted films. Catzan Sep 19, 15:38

I see "The Master" more like "There Will Be Blood" which mainstream audiences went to over a long time or not at all. Catzan Sep 19, 13:41

I see Curve winning the wkd, house doing slightly under estimates, dredd & watch doing high single digits, master 6+ {nm} HSXMetrics.com Sep 19, 13:27

I got House winning mid high teens, then Curve mid to low teens, then Watch and Dredd with high single digits grosses thatpj Sep 19, 13:43

Clint is in his wheelhouse as a grouchy old coot. Audiences will come out for that. ENDST looks like generic horror, so I don't expect a Roger More Sep 19, 14:00





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