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No, this happens every year. Traders are looking to park their summer profits, and holiday openers are as good an investment as any.

Posted by: RogerMore on Nov 15, 14:31 in response to Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin's post Yes, understood. Ideally, moviestocks would always play...

Especially for players who aren't as active. The result is over-priced holiday openers.

It's only about 4-8 weeks before the adjust that the market seriously starts considering stock prices against the OW.

BO: Long Range Forecast: Taken 3; (The Woman In Black 2: Angel of Death from last week) Oleg Max Nov 15, 08:54

Jebus... that site has Night at the Museum 3 opening at slightly more than 1/2 what HSX pubic does. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 11:06

1st one opened on the identical wknd before Chrismas in 2006 to 30.4; easy to see why they think NMUS3 would be that low... Oleg Max Nov 15, 11:59

it will have great legs for sure but some traders mistake delist price w/ .ow adjust price... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 15, 12:01

The link says 25M OW. The multiplier is used to estimate delist based on the OW. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:42

right now the play is for ow. how it will delist is based on actual b.o. wknd before christmas is usually not the great, however because Oleg Max Nov 15, 13:52

Yes, understood. Ideally, moviestocks would always play to OW until they adjust, then for DBO. Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:56

hence the profit opportunity. one does not get to be #1 by ignoring these... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 15, 14:02

Are we talking about ignoring something? {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 14:13

No, this happens every year. Traders are looking to park their summer profits, and holiday openers are as good an investment as any. RogerMore Nov 15, 14:31

This is a fantastic observation, RogerMore :) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:31

the OW derivative and Sat halt might have minimized the actual adjust on Sun, but not the price changes the week(s) before the adjust {nm} JLDolphin Nov 15, 16:45

Thank you for the reaffirmation, JLD :) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:31

The original MUSEM had ~ a 6.2 multiplier from opening to delist ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:49

The 2nd one had a 2.68. {nm} JLDolphin Nov 15, 16:42

2.68 but opened in May. I think Oleg is saying the pattern might be closer to the original because of Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:35

It's opening weekend included Dec 24, which deflated the OW so the delist multiplier was comparatively high. RogerMore Nov 15, 18:34





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Challengers (CHALN) 149999 40.01 (+0.91)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 149999 8.86 (+1.45)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 149999 21.72 (+0.39)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 25000 216.54 (-0.01)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 30.50 (+4.58)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.72 (+0.39)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 100000 14.77 (+0.35)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 30.50 (+4.58)          Unsung Hero H$10 Call (UNSUN.CA) 25000 0.93 (-0.18)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 20000 121.58 (-2.44)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 100000 8.75 (-0.24)          Nosferatu (NOSFR) 100000 20.81 (-0.04)          Abigail (ABGAL) 50000 31.74 (+0.42)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 184.84 (+0.20)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 50000 70.83 (+0.32)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 8.32 (+0.11)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 1 2.82 (+0.13)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 1 1.26 (-0.07)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 150000 58.27 (-0.15)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Joker: Folie Ă  Deux (JOKE2) 150000 266.94 (-1.19)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 1 47.05 (+1.32)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 100 25.11 (-0.10)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 2000 47.05 (+1.32)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 900 54.14 (-0.26)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 400 78.14 (-0.16)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 100 25.11 (-0.10)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 8.86 (+1.45)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 400 416.68 (+3.52)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 2677 10.67 (-0.84)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 700 19.82 (+0.14)          Here (HERE1) 500 58.29 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 15000 156.32 (-0.90)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 121.58 (-2.44)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 150.42 (+0.04)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 121.58 (-2.44)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 3.29 (+0.06)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 100000 8.75 (-0.24)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 10.67 (-0.84)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)