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Jebus... that site has Night at the Museum 3 opening at slightly more than 1/2 what HSX pubic does. {nm}

Posted by: Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin on Nov 15, 11:06 in response to Oleg Max's post BO: Long Range Forecast: Taken 3; (The Woman In Black 2:...

BO: Long Range Forecast: Taken 3; (The Woman In Black 2: Angel of Death from last week) Oleg Max Nov 15, 08:54

Jebus... that site has Night at the Museum 3 opening at slightly more than 1/2 what HSX pubic does. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 11:06

1st one opened on the identical wknd before Chrismas in 2006 to 30.4; easy to see why they think NMUS3 would be that low... Oleg Max Nov 15, 11:59

it will have great legs for sure but some traders mistake delist price w/ .ow adjust price... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 15, 12:01

The link says 25M OW. The multiplier is used to estimate delist based on the OW. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:42

right now the play is for ow. how it will delist is based on actual b.o. wknd before christmas is usually not the great, however because Oleg Max Nov 15, 13:52

Yes, understood. Ideally, moviestocks would always play to OW until they adjust, then for DBO. Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:56

hence the profit opportunity. one does not get to be #1 by ignoring these... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 15, 14:02

Are we talking about ignoring something? {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 14:13

No, this happens every year. Traders are looking to park their summer profits, and holiday openers are as good an investment as any. RogerMore Nov 15, 14:31

This is a fantastic observation, RogerMore :) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:31

the OW derivative and Sat halt might have minimized the actual adjust on Sun, but not the price changes the week(s) before the adjust {nm} JLDolphin Nov 15, 16:45

Thank you for the reaffirmation, JLD :) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:31

The original MUSEM had ~ a 6.2 multiplier from opening to delist ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 15, 13:49

The 2nd one had a 2.68. {nm} JLDolphin Nov 15, 16:42

2.68 but opened in May. I think Oleg is saying the pattern might be closer to the original because of Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 16, 15:35

It's opening weekend included Dec 24, which deflated the OW so the delist multiplier was comparatively high. RogerMore Nov 15, 18:34





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The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 41.96 (+1.50)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 41.96 (+1.50)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 131.65 (+0.57)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 150000 27.88 (-0.26)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.49 (+0.71)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.49 (+0.71)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 150000 27.88 (-0.26)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.49 (+0.71)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 23.61 (+0.40)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 23.61 (+0.40)          Apex aka Untitled Formula 1 Proj (FORM1) 150000 45.08 (-0.15)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 24.95 (+0.61)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 24.95 (+0.61)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 23.12 (+0.26)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 23.12 (+0.26)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.49 (+0.71)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.04 (+0.35)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.04 (+0.35)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 9.16 (-0.16)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 9.16 (-0.16)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 150000 6.69 (-0.47)          Sight (SIGHT) 150000 8.87 (-0.29)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 50000 17.23 (+0.08)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 42778 5.49 (+0.71)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 25000 74.97 (+0.50)          Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 1 9.80 (-0.05)          Ben Wang (BWANG) 25000 26.35 (+0.25)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 9.16 (-0.16)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 25000 9.87 (+0.06)          I, Object (IOBJC) 150000 7.96 (-0.05)          Joachim Ronning (JRONN) 25000 74.97 (+0.50)          Ioan Gruffudd (IGRUF) 25000 81.17 (+0.70)          Ioan Gruffudd (IGRUF) 20000 81.17 (+0.70)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 50.85 (+0.85)          Tarot (HRSCP) 62874 23.12 (+0.26)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 46.49 (+0.39)          Fuze (FUZE) 50000 16.00 (0.00)          The Black Hole (BLKHO) 50000 0.03 (0.00)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 23.61 (+0.40)          Weapons (WEPNS) 150000 23.61 (+0.40)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 50000 14.84 (+1.95)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.49 (+0.71)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 5.49 (+0.71)          The Authority (AUTHO) 59834 45.93 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Jared Leto (JLETO) 25000 61.36 (+0.25)