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I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm}

Posted by: Filmstardust on Dec 27, 12:52 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Twisters (TWIS2) 150000 162.93 (-0.33)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 150000 247.19 (+0.23)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 69999 56.52 (+2.27)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 100100 10.46 (-0.21)          Tarot (HRSCP) 8 17.41 (+0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 500 145.86 (0.00)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 100000 3.72 (-0.81)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 10000 57.76 (-0.25)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 1000 8.00 (0.00)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 1 10.46 (-0.21)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 10.46 (-0.21)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 100000 56.52 (+2.27)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 56.52 (+2.27)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 149999 22.14 (-0.13)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 1 2.14 (+0.01)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 100000 142.83 (+0.72)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 111.57 (-2.10)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 30.13 (-0.25)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 56.52 (+2.27)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 44.10 (-0.30)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 56.52 (+2.27)          Didi (DIDI) 149996 4.67 (-0.07)          Reunion (REUNN) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 150000 2.10 (-0.11)          Elevation (ELVTN) 149998 9.05 (+0.56)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 5.25 (+0.15)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 6.22 (+0.10)          Elevation (ELVTN) 149996 9.05 (+0.56)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 44.10 (-0.30)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 149996 5.19 (+0.08)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 11.91 (+0.84)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 30.13 (-0.25)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 174 79.63 (-0.36)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 56.52 (+2.27)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 149996 23.73 (+0.07)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 3 19.08 (+0.12)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 111.57 (-2.10)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 111.57 (-2.10)          Challengers (CHALN) 2000 43.45 (+0.28)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 150000 2.14 (+0.01)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 19.08 (+0.12)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 2.86 (+0.02)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 6 354.69 (+0.82)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 1000 354.69 (+0.82)          IF (IMGNF) 1220 111.57 (-2.10)