HSX Forum

Movies

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

Posted by: MattW (a.k.a del_RGV_MattW) on Dec 27, 13:31 in response to Filmstardust's post I'm thinking delist would go around 830M.

Weekdays this week about 90m (25,25,25,15)

3rd weekend ~100m

3rd set of weekdays 25m (about 6m each day)

4th weekend ~50m

But this week's Mon-Th could surprise in either direction pushing it just under 800

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 74.64 (+0.25)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 7.85 (-0.25)          Henry Golding (HGOLD) 25000 44.19 (-1.12)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 1.48 (+0.20)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 18 4.04 (+0.35)          Being Mortal (BMRTL) 150000 2.04 (-0.03)          Treasure (TRESU) 19 3.74 (+0.40)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 10 0.48 (+0.02)          RoboCop Returns (ROBO2) 10 1.38 (+0.01)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 150000 18.04 (-0.06)          The Rosie Project (ROSIE) 150000 0.17 (+0.02)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 150000 0.18 (-0.03)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 69 67.81 (-0.55)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Balestra (BALES) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 149999 3.24 (+0.21)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 8000 259.93 (+4.50)          Not Bloody Likely (NBLKL) 150000 0.10 (+0.04)          Bring Him to Me (BHTM) 150000 0.03 (-0.03)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 1000 140.93 (+5.30)          Cary Elwes (CELWE) 25000 35.91 (+1.09)          Eternity (ETERN) 149999 18.62 (+0.62)          Aisha (AISHA) 150000 0.03 (-0.06)          Aisha (AISHA) 150000 0.03 (-0.06)          Eternity (ETERN) 149999 18.62 (+0.62)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 42.71 (+0.66)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 42.71 (+0.66)          Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 25000 138.75 (-0.66)          June Squibb (JSQUI) 25 64.33 (-1.00)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 85.93 (+0.50)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 1000 52.53 (+0.67)          Sam Neill (SNEIL) 5000 80.96 (+1.40)          Owen Teague (OTEAG) 20000 30.00 (0.00)          Eternity (ETERN) 25000 18.62 (+0.62)          Alfre Woodard (AWOOD) 7500 93.56 (-1.25)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 25000 5.23 (-0.25)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 25000 5.23 (-0.25)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 25000 5.23 (-0.25)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 61 50.58 (-0.16)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.50 (+0.36)          Alfre Woodard (AWOOD) 25000 93.56 (-1.25)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.50 (+0.36)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 25000 47.52 (-0.21)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 25000 47.52 (-0.21)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 1.07 (+0.05)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 25000 50.12 (+2.27)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 116.93 (+2.68)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 25000 50.12 (+2.27)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 150000 144.15 (+0.26)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 20000 85.70 (-0.25)