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nice to see you good man. {nm}

Posted by: lobogotti on Jun 21, 08:28 in response to xiayun's post Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





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Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 10000 142.35 (-0.54)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 30000 90.51 (-0.05)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 1006 13.77 (-0.01)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 20000 14.21 (0.00)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1000 39.67 (+0.92)          Thelma (THELM) 60000 3.82 (+0.56)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1000 39.67 (+0.92)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1000 56.08 (-0.33)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 1 18.84 (+0.02)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 2000 51.89 (-0.15)          Christine (CRSTN) 1000 36.03 (-0.10)          The Wager (WAGER) 1000 35.57 (-0.10)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 1000 26.80 (-0.16)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 3000 26.80 (-0.16)          Thread: An Insidious Tale (THRED) 18000 25.92 (-0.11)          Thread: An Insidious Tale (THRED) 1000 25.92 (-0.11)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 1 56.65 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 5200 142.35 (-0.54)          John Malkovich (JMALK) 25000 39.31 (+0.12)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 110280 344.88 (-0.01)          Eternity (ETERN) 100 17.57 (+0.61)          Eternity (ETERN) 2000 17.57 (+0.61)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 641 344.88 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 112518 344.88 (-0.01)          The Choral (CHORL) 3000 5.02 (-0.16)          The Choral (CHORL) 3000 5.02 (-0.16)          Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 149999 16.85 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 50000 56.08 (-0.33)          Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 1 16.85 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1 122.63 (+1.33)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1 122.63 (+1.33)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1 261.76 (-0.23)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1 261.76 (-0.23)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 1 30.08 (0.00)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 1 30.08 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 142.35 (-0.54)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 1 56.93 (0.00)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 1 56.93 (0.00)          Superman (SUPRM) 1 196.08 (0.00)          Superman (SUPRM) 1 196.08 (0.00)          The Choral (CHORL) 1000 5.02 (-0.16)          The Choral (CHORL) 1000 5.02 (-0.16)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 105.07 (-0.33)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 7000 105.07 (-0.33)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 103.34 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 103.34 (0.00)          Loretta Devine (LDEVI) 2000 6.14 (-0.05)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 6000 62.06 (+0.25)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 1 175.67 (-0.23)          Wes Ball (WBALL) 4000 96.66 (+0.25)