HSX Forum

Movies

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm}

Posted by: xiayun on Jun 21, 08:24 in response to lobogotti's post indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had...

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 63.26 (+3.26)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 75000 57.90 (+1.07)          The Monk and the Gun (TMATG) 14255 0.33 (-0.08)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 70000 40.28 (-1.15)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.05 (-0.58)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 50000 71.37 (-1.22)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 75000 57.90 (+1.07)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 4.02 (+0.33)          Humane (HUMNE) 1 0.68 (-0.09)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 139 226.09 (+1.54)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 50000 63.26 (+3.26)          Orlando Bloom (OBLOO) 222 110.16 (-0.33)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 300 170.93 (+0.88)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 300 89.04 (+2.50)          Henry Golding (HGOLD) 25000 47.97 (-0.20)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 36.31 (+1.82)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 343 21.05 (-0.12)          The Wager (WAGER) 150000 37.29 (+1.72)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 24778 48.76 (+0.01)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 63.26 (+3.26)          Danny Ramirez (DARAM) 25000 97.75 (+0.24)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 89.04 (+2.50)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 50000 127.65 (-2.01)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 46873 21.05 (-0.12)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 1000 170.93 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 108 1.84 (-0.06)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.51 (-1.53)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 16369 116.68 (-1.65)          Challengers (CHALN) 49012 39.76 (+0.27)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 38470 21.05 (-0.12)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 50000 127.65 (-2.01)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 150000 0.20 (+0.01)          Spawn (SPWN2) 150000 3.48 (+0.05)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 1 23.87 (0.00)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 150000 1.23 (0.00)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 429 18.41 (-0.03)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 50000 127.65 (-2.01)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 18993 82.47 (-1.22)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 1 1.23 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 149999 63.26 (+3.26)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 109260 4.51 (-1.53)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 1 0.20 (+0.01)          Spawn (SPWN2) 1 3.48 (+0.05)          Scarface (SCARF) 149778 3.46 (+0.04)          Passion of the Christ 2: The Res (RESUR) 1 31.79 (-0.29)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 40740 4.51 (-1.53)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 89.04 (+2.50)          Accidental Texan (ACTEX) 802 1.26 (-0.05)          Accidental Texan (ACTEX) 1802 1.26 (-0.05)