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xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm}

Posted by: eallensbp on Jun 21, 20:45 in response to xiayun's post Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





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Drop (DROP) 150000 24.46 (+0.06)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 60.53 (+0.25)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 20.54 (+0.13)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 1.41 (-0.13)          Taylor Swift (TSWIF) 1000 52.05 (0.00)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 13.52 (+0.18)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 500 270.75 (0.00)          Den of Thieves: Pantera (DENO2) 150000 13.12 (+0.26)          Den of Thieves: Pantera (DENO2) 150000 13.12 (+0.26)          Here (HERE1) 15000 60.76 (+0.11)          Constance Wu (CWU) 50 67.01 (-0.50)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 15000 60.53 (+0.25)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 15000 111.42 (+0.25)          Joker: Folie Ă  Deux (JOKE2) 500 275.17 (+0.25)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 38613 88.79 (-1.23)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 34999 50.03 (+0.18)          Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F (BHCP4) 150000 0.31 (-0.01)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 5000 12.82 (+1.17)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 25000 38.54 (+0.30)          Emma Stone (ESTON) 1000 54.74 (-0.16)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 5000 38.54 (+0.30)          Zoe Kravitz (ZKRAV) 15 131.85 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 3.83 (-0.06)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 500 4.46 (+1.03)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 1000 12.82 (+1.17)          Kristen Bell (KBELL) 15 117.79 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 1 134.72 (-1.04)          The Killer's Game (KLRGM) 1000 12.90 (+1.54)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 25000 4.46 (+1.03)          Wicked (WICKD) 500 158.26 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 25000 9.48 (+0.48)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 75000 38.54 (+0.30)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 34999 8.31 (+0.15)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 5000 11.60 (-0.01)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 134.72 (-1.04)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 1.09 (+0.06)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 134.72 (-1.04)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 19000 4.46 (+1.03)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 50 4.46 (+1.03)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 3 4.46 (+1.03)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 40000 9.48 (+0.48)          Late Bloomers (LTBLM) 1 0.15 (+0.03)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 5000 61.93 (-0.16)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 112000 134.72 (-1.04)          Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F (BHCP4) 150000 0.31 (-0.01)          Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F (BHCP4) 150000 0.31 (-0.01)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 25000 2.28 (+0.28)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 20.54 (+0.13)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 25000 17.18 (+0.10)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.48 (+0.48)