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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2991 views

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Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 125000 10.00 (0.00)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 103.26 (+1.34)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 49.34 (+0.15)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 259 125.00 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood - Openin (TDORH.OW) 10000 10.00 (0.00)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 150000 0.96 (-0.04)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.38 (+0.28)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 10000 8.57 (-0.01)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.38 (+0.28)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.38 (+0.28)          The Death of Robin Hood - Openin (TDORH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 24.53 (-0.12)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 49.87 (+0.10)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 5.40 (+0.10)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.24 (+0.07)          Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 1.70 (-0.02)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.09 (+0.08)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 883 125.00 (0.00)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 1464 6.77 (+0.07)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.36 (-0.23)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.01 (+1.76)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood - Openin (TDORH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 150000 0.96 (-0.04)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 920 125.00 (0.00)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 33.59 (+2.16)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 32.43 (+1.02)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 2500 33.59 (+2.16)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 3000 37.57 (-0.02)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 3000 25.30 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 192.20 (-1.05)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 15.09 (+2.65)