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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4222 views

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Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 24999 53.13 (+0.16)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 1000 33.08 (+3.08)          Tommy Lee Jones (TLJON) 25000 11.95 (+0.09)          Mikey Madison (MMADI) 25000 63.40 (-0.72)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 1 13.80 (-0.12)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 49.05 (+2.35)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 1 13.96 (-0.14)          Ji-young Yoo (JYOO) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 46.32 (-33.51)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 46.32 (-33.51)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 25000 59.80 (+0.16)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 25000 42.64 (+0.31)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 30000 29.38 (-0.21)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 53.13 (-11.58)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 150000 5.32 (+0.07)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 6.99 (-0.50)          Clay (CLAY) 3000 117.27 (-0.19)          Trashers (TRSHR) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 1 75.44 (+0.25)          Ji-young Yoo (JYOO) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Wunmi Mosaku (WMOSA) 25000 101.93 (-0.63)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 50000 38.48 (0.00)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (li (TMNT5) 3000 80.10 (+0.12)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 42.43 (-0.93)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 1 75.44 (+0.25)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 42.43 (-0.93)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 1 42.43 (-0.93)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 119.73 (-13.39)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 1 42.43 (-0.93)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 3000 290.08 (-0.74)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 46.32 (-33.51)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 1 9.85 (-26.90)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 46.32 (-33.51)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 95.22 (-2.16)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 3000 66.29 (+0.05)