SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2297 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Justin Long (JLONG) 25000 35.72 (+0.12)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 1 2.37 (0.00)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 1 6.73 (0.00)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 5.81 (-0.23)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 5.50 (+0.30)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 3.20 (-0.05)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149999 12.91 (-0.17)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 149999 15.20 (+0.68)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 149999 6.04 (-0.14)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 149999 13.46 (+0.66)          Mercy (MRCY1) 149999 25.58 (-0.13)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.96 (-0.04)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 13.16 (+0.20)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 6.04 (-0.14)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.87 (-0.13)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 150000 5.85 (-0.13)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 5.81 (-0.23)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 5.81 (-0.23)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 13.95 (0.00)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 12.91 (-0.17)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 88163 51.67 (-0.48)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 14.58 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 32.85 (-0.10)          Michele Morrone (MMORR) 25000 30.23 (+0.25)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 3 51.67 (-0.48)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 51.67 (-0.48)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 51.67 (-0.48)          Mercy H$10 PUt (MRCY1.PU) 25000 2.34 (+0.02)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 61837 51.67 (-0.48)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.PU) 25000 4.24 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.CA) 25000 1.00 (-0.02)          Airman (AIRMA) 149999 22.16 (-0.11)          Airman (AIRMA) 149999 22.16 (-0.11)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 13.99 (0.00)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 149999 24.66 (+0.77)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 149999 13.95 (0.00)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 149999 6.04 (-0.14)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.87 (-0.13)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.96 (-0.04)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 146.92 (-0.33)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 50000 5.87 (-0.01)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 149999 13.95 (0.00)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 13.16 (+0.20)          Sunny (SUNNY) 50000 11.26 (-0.02)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 1.69 (+0.02)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.87 (-0.13)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 150000 5.85 (-0.13)          Buffalo Kids (BUFKS) 150000 2.32 (+0.02)          Primate (PRIMT) 50000 23.60 (-0.02)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 136 148.74 (+0.34)