SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3649 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 71.90 (+0.33)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 44040 274.32 (+1.14)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 5.14 (+0.69)          Anna Faris (AFARI) 2500 76.24 (+0.23)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 42792 265.83 (+2.12)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 287.83 (-0.75)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 344.19 (+0.75)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 113.28 (+1.10)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 25000 6.71 (+1.04)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 4000 21.36 (+1.36)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 1000 8.48 (+0.49)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 20000 21.36 (+1.36)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 21.36 (+1.36)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 443 183.38 (0.00)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 20000 12.82 (+1.24)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 7.11 (-0.84)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 100 238.03 (-0.83)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.81 (+0.09)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 7.11 (-0.84)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 1 7.11 (-0.84)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.81 (+0.09)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 1000 113.28 (+1.10)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 25000 7.11 (-0.84)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 1 17.06 (-0.88)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 30000 17.06 (-0.88)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 21.36 (+1.36)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 50.66 (-0.70)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 50.66 (-0.70)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 100 414.31 (+0.25)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 109735 50.12 (-0.42)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 100 414.31 (+0.25)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 9.68 (+0.03)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.52 (+1.03)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.52 (+1.03)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 10.83 (+0.07)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 25000 20.26 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 87 271.20 (0.00)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 85.12 (+0.66)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 4000 75.42 (+0.11)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 100 204.71 (+0.61)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 6.02 (+0.34)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 100 261.79 (+0.25)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 12000 168.99 (-0.59)          Oceans (OCEN5) 100 66.16 (0.00)          Barbarella (BARBA) 5000 22.81 (-0.02)          Last Friday (FRID4) 5000 5.68 (0.00)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 100 124.35 (-0.11)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 100 150.75 (-0.14)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 19891 45.27 (+0.18)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 200 532.24 (+1.38)