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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3197 views

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Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 100000 312.79 (+1.72)          Emily Beecham (EBEEC) 25000 24.18 (-0.25)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 3.37 (+0.23)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 93.32 (-0.83)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.48 (-0.29)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.12 (+0.02)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 11.33 (+1.19)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 1.60 (-0.12)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 1.60 (-0.12)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.12 (+0.02)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.48 (-0.29)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 5000 3.21 (+0.11)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 3.37 (+0.23)          Marwan Kenzari (MKENZ) 25000 108.14 (-0.66)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 5000 3.21 (+0.11)          Sylvester Stallone (SSTAL) 25000 94.58 (-0.50)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 28.32 (-0.50)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 31.54 (+5.29)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 6.50 (+0.33)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 62.64 (+3.30)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 81.10 (-0.50)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 3.52 (-0.33)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 31.54 (+5.29)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 31.54 (+5.29)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 3.52 (-0.33)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 6.08 (-0.07)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 100000 31.54 (+5.29)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 13.17 (-1.10)          White Elephant (WELEP) 2 14.92 (+1.22)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 3 11.33 (+1.19)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 2 7.69 (+0.65)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 31.54 (+5.29)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 14.92 (+1.22)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.98 (+0.27)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.98 (+0.27)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 11.33 (+1.19)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 7.69 (+0.65)          Adele Exarchopoulos (AEXAR) 2000 47.57 (+0.16)          Adele Exarchopoulos (AEXAR) 1993 47.57 (+0.16)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5000 420.65 (-1.79)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 8000 420.65 (-1.79)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 151 430.43 (-0.24)          Flavia (FLAVI) 30000 3.90 (-0.43)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 103.75 (+0.66)          Flavia (FLAVI) 30000 3.90 (-0.43)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 78.72 (+1.53)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 103.75 (+0.66)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.12 (+0.02)          The Worst (TWORS) 39999 7.23 (-0.03)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 4.29 (+0.18)