SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2313 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 179.68 (+1.38)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 179.68 (+1.38)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 82.94 (+0.92)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 12.95 (+1.33)          Barbarella (BARBA) 50000 30.44 (-0.77)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 12204 82.94 (+0.92)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.23 (+0.34)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.23 (+0.34)          Clayface (CLAYF) 17500 75.78 (-1.09)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.16 (-0.45)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.16 (-0.45)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 150000 6.08 (-0.28)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 22.44 (-0.04)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 150000 6.08 (-0.28)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 15000 4.72 (-0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 25000 10.29 (-0.05)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 35000 4.72 (-0.01)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 100000 7.65 (-0.05)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 15000 249.03 (-0.38)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.77 (+1.13)          First Warrior (FWARR) 150000 4.38 (+0.02)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.23 (+0.34)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.23 (+0.34)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.16 (-0.45)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 82.94 (+0.92)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 100 15.94 (-0.18)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 5000 13.28 (+0.21)          FOX: Best Medicine (BESMED) 5000 8.90 (+0.04)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 900 15.13 (+0.07)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 900 80.11 (-0.08)          Send Help (SENDH) 104 38.13 (0.00)          Halle Berry (HBERR) 25000 54.84 (-0.16)          The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 900 1.47 (+0.01)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 900 19.16 (+0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 900 363.37 (-0.25)          Jim Broadbent (JBROA) 25000 22.82 (-0.12)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 100 15.94 (-0.18)          Rachel McAdams (RMCAD) 25000 92.67 (-0.25)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 47.33 (-0.16)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 54.15 (-0.16)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 82.94 (+0.92)          Subversion (SUBVS) 5000 22.77 (+0.04)          Felicity Jones (FJONE) 25000 11.42 (-0.10)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 30282 82.94 (+0.92)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 72559 74.44 (-0.12)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 56102 82.94 (+0.92)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 17244 148.54 (+0.08)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 21586 181.64 (+0.40)          Trap House (TRAPH) 16887 1.63 (0.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 12879 56.40 (-0.01)