SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3036 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 153.56 (-1.66)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.76 (+0.34)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.14 (+2.15)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.14 (+2.15)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.14 (+2.15)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.14 (+2.15)          Miles Teller (MTELL) 25000 103.92 (+1.00)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 100000 29.11 (+4.11)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 150000 21.55 (+0.14)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 136.14 (+0.99)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 15184 188.86 (+0.70)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 7.53 (+0.63)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 47.92 (-3.35)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.14 (+2.15)          Fever (PEGLE) 22000 0.01 (-0.01)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 11.60 (0.00)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 2.24 (+1.42)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 4.95 (+0.96)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 4.95 (+0.96)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 6.87 (-0.02)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 29.11 (+4.11)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 52.56 (+0.18)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 52.56 (+0.18)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 47.92 (-3.35)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.76 (+0.34)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.76 (+0.34)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 78720 317.08 (-0.85)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.51 (-0.08)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 10000 29.11 (+4.11)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 47.92 (-3.35)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 10000 29.97 (+2.74)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.14 (+2.15)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 20000 4.95 (+0.96)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.18 (-0.02)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.18 (-0.02)          The Catch (TCATC) 1000 68.73 (+0.05)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Urban Legend (URBN3) 3 4.96 (-0.01)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 90000 9.18 (-0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 67 67.14 (0.00)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.48 (+0.27)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.48 (+0.27)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 37.19 (+0.03)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 5 45.38 (+0.21)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 180 45.52 (+0.05)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 2.24 (+1.42)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 2.24 (+1.42)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 3 57.23 (+0.01)