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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3241 views

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The Teller (TELER) 50000 8.12 (+0.46)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 4.39 (+0.35)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.77 (+0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 3.65 (+0.32)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 8.06 (+0.03)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 8.06 (+0.03)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 117.23 (-0.60)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 88.14 (+8.14)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 20.44 (+0.15)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 20.44 (+0.15)          Young Washington (YWASH) 42 48.83 (+7.57)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Teller (TELER) 50000 8.12 (+0.46)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 50000 3.92 (+0.43)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 6.09 (+0.35)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 99 21.77 (-0.59)          Young Washington (YWASH) 149942 48.83 (+7.57)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 1 16.26 (+1.92)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 88.14 (+8.14)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 149999 1.14 (+0.86)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 30000 406.20 (-11.43)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 50000 28.62 (+0.36)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 406.20 (-11.43)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 406.20 (-11.43)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 50000 28.62 (+0.36)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 15.07 (-0.19)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 119999 59.89 (-0.40)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 50 196.25 (+1.08)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 50000 28.62 (+0.36)          Erupcja (ERUPC) 149999 0.24 (-0.02)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 50000 28.62 (+0.36)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 15000 103.08 (-1.63)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 37500 21.77 (-0.59)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 89999 76.94 (-0.71)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 5000 47.58 (-1.75)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1 215.49 (-23.22)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 215.49 (-23.22)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149999 80.77 (-1.38)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 215.49 (-23.22)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 149999 215.49 (-23.22)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 3.91 (-0.15)          Young Washington (YWASH) 149999 48.83 (+7.57)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 16.26 (+1.92)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)