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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3215 views

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Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 284.83 (-11.85)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 1000 45.25 (+0.85)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 1000 76.65 (-0.01)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 5000 3.49 (+0.15)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 900 37.89 (+3.40)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 25000 419.24 (-2.00)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 5000 1.66 (-0.22)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 4.51 (+0.02)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 1000 34.15 (-0.03)          Artificial (AIFIC) 5000 15.72 (+1.36)          White Elephant (WELEP) 10000 15.82 (+1.47)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 37.91 (+0.62)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 1000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 25000 284.83 (-11.85)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 25000 284.83 (-11.85)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 15000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 149999 284.83 (-11.85)          Miles & Juliette (MILJU) 7500 2.93 (0.00)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 7600 52.60 (-3.87)          Miles & Juliette (MILJU) 7000 2.93 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 15000 284.83 (-11.85)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 40.29 (+0.62)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 46000 25.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 25000 419.24 (-2.00)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 1 37.89 (+3.40)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 12500 284.83 (-11.85)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 284.83 (-11.85)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 42.24 (+0.73)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 40.29 (+0.62)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 284.83 (-11.85)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 25198 433.21 (+0.40)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 61.78 (-0.05)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 42.24 (+0.73)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 40.29 (+0.62)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 52.60 (-3.87)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 52.60 (-3.87)          Werwulf (WERWU) 25000 76.07 (-0.86)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 98.27 (-1.68)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 25000 284.83 (-11.85)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 284.83 (-11.85)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 55 0.46 (+0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 55000 284.83 (-11.85)