SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2393 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.91 (-0.09)          Rafe Spall (RSPAL) 20000 80.65 (-0.20)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.91 (-0.09)          Legacy (LGACY) 150000 3.64 (-0.36)          Alden Ehrenreich (AEHRE) 20000 132.61 (-0.26)          Daniel Kaluuya (DKALU) 20000 100.28 (-0.26)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 5.52 (+0.03)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.22 (+0.11)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.22 (+0.11)          Ludi Lin (LLIN) 25000 120.64 (-0.66)          Rami Malek (RMALE) 20000 93.32 (-0.20)          Sean Harris (SHARR) 25000 78.33 (-0.50)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 7.83 (+0.02)          Michelle Rodriguez (MRODR) 25000 80.48 (-0.75)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD.OW) 100000 5.41 (-0.12)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 29.66 (-0.37)          Joe Pantoliano (JPANT) 20000 79.33 (-0.20)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 3.62 (-0.80)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 11.32 (-0.12)          Dracula (DRALT) 150000 6.28 (+0.30)          Dracula (DRALT) 150000 6.28 (+0.30)          Shiver (SHVER) 149997 64.84 (+0.32)          Kate Winslet (KWINS) 25000 98.72 (-0.25)          Robin Wright (RWPEN) 20000 78.55 (-0.20)          Simon Pegg (SPEGG) 20000 137.58 (-0.26)          Shiver (SHVER) 149999 64.84 (+0.32)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 77.38 (-0.25)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 11.32 (-0.12)          Dracula (DRALT) 150000 6.28 (+0.30)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 50000 419.90 (-0.97)          Kevin Kline (KKLIN) 20000 57.21 (-0.13)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 50000 419.90 (-0.97)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 237.91 (-1.50)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 26.13 (+0.07)          Giovanni Ribisi (GRIBI) 25000 100.03 (-0.33)          Paul Walter Hauser (PWHAU) 1200 119.63 (+0.40)          Paul Walter Hauser (PWHAU) 3900 119.63 (+0.40)          Liv Tyler (LTYLE) 6500 53.78 (+0.08)          Liv Tyler (LTYLE) 5500 53.78 (+0.08)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 17.84 (+0.06)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 5000 62.48 (+0.15)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 5000 62.48 (+0.15)          How to Make a Killing - Opening (HNGTN.OW) 20600 3.78 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 81025 91.73 (+0.81)          Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I'd K (A6CRBY) 25000 6.20 (+0.03)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 8000 20.21 (-0.04)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 91.73 (+0.81)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 20000 16.51 (+1.14)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 6000 419.90 (-0.97)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 200 259.60 (-0.26)