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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3225 views

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Moana (MOAN1) 150000 223.52 (-3.67)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 54321 137.30 (+0.18)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.79 (+0.38)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.79 (+0.38)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.79 (+0.38)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 418.82 (-0.41)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 30.61 (+0.54)          Untitled Blair Witch Movie (TBWP4) 150000 32.80 (+0.18)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 61.59 (-0.01)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.13 (-0.08)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 100 25.07 (+0.07)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 21111 14.09 (+0.27)          Scarface (SCARF) 149999 0.08 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 1.14 (-0.06)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 418.82 (-0.41)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 418.82 (-0.41)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 418.82 (-0.41)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 20000 15.00 (0.00)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 11111 2.66 (-0.03)          Will Forte (WFORT) 13889 15.87 (+0.05)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 6.48 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 1 15.54 (+0.21)          Shockwave (SHKWV) 150000 0.16 (-0.01)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 15.54 (+0.21)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 150000 0.17 (-0.03)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 264.05 (-14.15)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 25000 36.92 (-0.09)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 68.91 (-0.75)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 22222 63.08 (+0.45)          Lorne (LORNE) 150000 0.53 (0.00)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 11692 15.00 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.39 (-0.14)          Goblin (GBLIN) 2500 22.08 (+1.42)          Couture (STCHS) 60000 0.97 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 25.07 (+0.07)          Goblin (GBLIN) 10000 22.08 (+1.42)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 28633 15.00 (0.00)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 10000 52.64 (-0.74)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 10000 52.64 (-0.74)          Werwulf (WERWU) 10000 74.49 (-1.39)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 28.40 (+2.87)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 38.78 (+0.25)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 25000 88.76 (+0.50)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 20000 6.99 (-0.67)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 46.14 (+0.33)          Jeff Bridges (JBRID) 25000 65.97 (+0.50)          Hugh Bonneville (HBONN) 25000 26.87 (-0.12)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 25000 94.56 (-0.49)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 107.89 (-0.66)