SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2924 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.97 (+9.23)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 50000 81.62 (+5.48)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149999 200.97 (+9.23)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.14 (-0.62)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.53 (-0.14)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 6.91 (+0.88)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 150 49.23 (+0.05)          Backrooms (BACRM) 100 64.44 (+0.97)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.97 (+9.23)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 30 223.37 (+0.65)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149999 200.97 (+9.23)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 16531 81.62 (+5.48)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 50000 38.73 (+1.09)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 50000 32.01 (+0.68)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 81.62 (+5.48)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 17.25 (+0.77)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 9.07 (+0.58)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 4 23.83 (-0.01)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 4 23.83 (-0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10 149.21 (+1.46)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 4 91.91 (+0.31)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 4 20.39 (-0.06)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 30 200.97 (+9.23)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 50 200.97 (+9.23)          The Breadwinner - Opening Weeken (BREDW.OW) 100000 9.88 (-0.06)          Passenger (PSNGR) 20 23.17 (+0.36)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC.OW) 100000 5.88 (+0.48)          Passenger (PSNGR) 20 23.17 (+0.36)          In the Grey (NGREY) 10 7.22 (+0.06)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 50000 38.73 (+1.09)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 50000 32.01 (+0.68)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 630 54.79 (+4.20)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.46 (+1.09)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 6 196.37 (-0.17)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 20 5.34 (-0.08)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 50 0.24 (-0.01)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 4000 81.62 (+5.48)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 65 81.62 (+5.48)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 110.33 (+1.14)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 110.33 (+1.14)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 9.69 (+0.30)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 12.96 (+0.42)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 2970 200.97 (+9.23)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 110.33 (+1.14)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 85.33 (+1.21)