SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2599 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Island (ISLAN) 150000 0.59 (+0.03)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 79.14 (+0.42)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 149999 14.52 (-0.09)          Tyriq Withers (TWITH) 25000 25.65 (+1.25)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 115000 189.35 (+1.16)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 104.58 (-1.33)          Dacre Montgomery (DMONT) 25000 43.00 (-0.50)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 104.58 (-1.33)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 34.99 (+0.06)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 149999 14.52 (-0.09)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 95.33 (+0.26)          Jodie Foster (JFOST) 25000 10.00 (-4.08)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 468.40 (-1.71)          The Invite (TINVT) 1 15.57 (+1.43)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 150000 17.89 (+0.04)          The Invite (TINVT) 149999 15.57 (+1.43)          Jodie Foster (JFOST) 25000 10.00 (-4.08)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1000 162.57 (+0.40)          The Invite (TINVT) 50000 15.57 (+1.43)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 150000 121.47 (+0.90)          Jodie Foster (JFOST) 25000 10.00 (-4.08)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 150000 235.87 (+0.32)          The Invite (TINVT) 149999 15.57 (+1.43)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3000 115.97 (+0.17)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 42.68 (+0.14)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 26.00 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 26.00 (0.00)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 3000 94.88 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 45.62 (+0.10)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 75000 17.67 (+1.72)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 149999 7.66 (+0.57)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 468.40 (-1.71)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 5.89 (-0.17)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 149999 13.34 (+1.75)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 13.34 (+1.75)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Adam Shankman (ASHAN) 25000 65.27 (+0.70)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 162.57 (+0.40)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 15000 242.22 (-1.56)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 149999 7.66 (+0.57)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 11.86 (+0.08)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 7.66 (+0.57)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 149999 3.60 (+0.40)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 39.00 (+0.17)