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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2856 views

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Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 88.69 (-0.25)          Aaron Paul (APAUL) 24999 21.47 (-0.24)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 51.06 (+1.06)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 900 53.81 (-0.18)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 100 83.19 (-0.59)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 900 28.55 (+0.03)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 50000 84.65 (+2.89)          Grendel (GREND) 900 10.85 (+0.02)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 87.92 (+1.23)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 50000 51.06 (+1.06)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 100 83.19 (-0.59)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 50000 51.06 (+1.06)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 50000 51.06 (+1.06)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 51.06 (+1.06)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 16.33 (+0.84)          Sugar Bandits (SUGBN) 150000 15.85 (-0.05)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 50000 84.65 (+2.89)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 149999 200.09 (+1.15)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 1 5.61 (+0.94)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 25000 5.61 (+0.94)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 84.65 (+2.89)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 87.92 (+1.23)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 100000 27.35 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10000 359.40 (+0.85)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 6977 359.40 (+0.85)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.61 (+0.94)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 75000 15.00 (0.00)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 47940 3.10 (+0.02)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Monitor (MONTR) 150000 7.33 (-0.67)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 147.12 (-0.20)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Hourman (HRMAN) 150000 9.36 (-0.11)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          District 10 (DIS10) 150000 11.16 (-0.08)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.61 (+0.94)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 23.59 (+1.37)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 9.89 (+1.46)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 11.98 (-0.06)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)