SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3696 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 1000 47.63 (+0.68)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 41000 18.62 (+3.13)          Deeper (DEPER) 150000 30.90 (+1.13)          Starman (STARM) 12000 17.39 (+1.66)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 49.91 (+9.91)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 75000 16.87 (-0.08)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 49.91 (+9.91)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 3000 96.32 (-0.49)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 3.42 (+0.02)          One Night Only (ONTON) 1000 12.02 (-0.16)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 49.91 (+9.91)          Nimrods (NIMRD) 1000 2.10 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 3.86 (+0.13)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 34.23 (+0.92)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 2.90 (-0.94)          It Ends (ITNDS) 1000 2.32 (+0.11)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 20.05 (-1.38)          Untitled Blair Witch Movie (TBWP4) 3000 37.33 (+0.11)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 3.42 (+0.02)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 541.49 (+1.28)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 149996 20.05 (-1.38)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 1000 0.33 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 149996 14.22 (-1.78)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 541.49 (+1.28)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 636.00 (+1.02)          Runner (RUNNR) 149998 14.22 (-1.78)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 3000 95.67 (+0.11)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 149996 18.62 (+3.13)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 149998 18.62 (+3.13)          Starman (STARM) 149996 17.39 (+1.66)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 3000 55.04 (+0.09)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 149998 17.39 (+1.66)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 96.96 (+4.93)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 149996 22.91 (-0.93)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 3000 118.92 (+0.01)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 1000 2.94 (+0.03)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 4.12 (+0.30)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 1000 0.91 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 75000 39.27 (-1.05)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 4.12 (+0.30)          Varanasi (VARAN) 80000 7.28 (0.00)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 1.59 (-0.06)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 150000 17.39 (+1.66)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Naughty (NAUTY) 3000 41.37 (-0.09)