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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3609 views

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OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 121000 14.90 (+1.20)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 60000 16.23 (+1.61)          Monopoly (MONOP) 50000 8.72 (0.00)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 371 21.34 (+0.58)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 101.37 (-0.39)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 409 43.68 (+0.16)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 100000 6.09 (+0.05)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 16641 26.31 (-0.45)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 50000 26.80 (+0.03)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 12.71 (+0.02)          Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 50000 1.76 (+0.01)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 13367 16.23 (+1.61)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 150000 0.03 (-0.04)          Gundam (GUNDM) 50000 9.80 (+0.01)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 50000 13.51 (-0.04)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 50000 256.08 (-0.25)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 136.05 (-0.20)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 68.57 (+0.04)          Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 5.17 (+0.80)          The Wild Robot Escapes (TWRB2) 10000 33.37 (0.00)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 12.55 (-0.04)          Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 5.17 (+0.80)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 22.63 (+0.29)          Oceans (OCEN5) 150000 64.34 (+0.15)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 10000 36.46 (-0.01)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 1.81 (-0.19)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 10000 21.45 (-0.12)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 1.81 (-0.19)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.76 (-0.24)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.76 (-0.24)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 77989 838.08 (-0.75)          42.6 Years (426YR) 3266 14.56 (+0.73)          42.6 Years (426YR) 5555 14.56 (+0.73)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 5.25 (+0.23)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 5.25 (+0.23)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 1.74 (-0.26)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 18.23 (-0.47)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 149999 1.74 (-0.26)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 145000 18.23 (-0.47)          Pretty in Pink 2 (PINK2) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 150000 265.97 (+1.32)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.03 (-1.07)          Pretty in Pink 2 (PINK2) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 20000 23.01 (+0.65)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 40000 11.21 (-0.01)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 150000 0.30 (+0.02)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.76 (-0.24)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.76 (-0.24)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.CA) 24000 3.18 (-0.19)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 40000 8.44 (-0.01)