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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3191 views

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Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 103.12 (-3.18)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 10000 61.72 (-8.04)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.92 (+0.14)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 7.69 (+0.47)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 41.11 (-0.22)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 103.05 (+0.78)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 136.39 (-0.15)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 23.98 (-1.58)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 24.67 (+0.82)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 12.77 (+0.98)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 4.58 (+0.97)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 5.92 (-0.07)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 150000 39.32 (+1.52)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 311.10 (-2.28)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 50000 25.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 311.10 (-2.28)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 80.35 (+0.84)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 15000 103.12 (-3.18)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 3750 103.12 (-3.18)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 76.83 (+3.32)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 2500 7.20 (+0.39)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 32532 259.45 (+0.41)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 45.36 (+0.16)          Jennifer Lawrence (JLAWR) 25000 54.83 (+0.16)          White Lies (WHTLI) 733 13.50 (+1.75)          White Lies (WHTLI) 2500 13.50 (+1.75)          The Invite - Opening Wekeend (TINVT.OW) 100000 6.77 (+0.16)          Andrea Riseborough (ARISE) 25000 5.67 (+0.20)          Erupcja (ERUPC) 150000 0.16 (-0.06)          Erupcja (ERUPC) 150000 0.16 (-0.06)          Erupcja (ERUPC) 150000 0.16 (-0.06)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 150000 0.10 (0.00)          Hannah John-Kamen (HJOHN) 25000 115.12 (+0.33)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 7500 103.12 (-3.18)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 0.27 (-0.02)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 25000 22.36 (-0.12)          Paul Greengrass (PGREE) 25000 77.35 (-0.25)          Erupcja (ERUPC) 150000 0.16 (-0.06)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 6.13 (+1.13)          Katherine Waterston (KWATE) 25000 17.12 (-0.10)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 6.17 (+0.04)          Werwulf (WERWU) 149999 76.83 (+3.32)          Aaron Paul (APAUL) 25000 16.68 (-0.10)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 30000 25.00 (0.00)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Magic Hour (MGCHR) 150000 0.09 (0.00)          Nina Dobrev (NDOBR) 25000 34.43 (-0.25)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 150000 0.75 (-0.25)