SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3005 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Christophers (CHRIS) 150000 3.36 (+0.04)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 9.16 (-0.15)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 23.44 (+0.13)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 9.16 (-0.15)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 39.29 (-0.13)          Henry Cavill (HCAVI) 25000 130.32 (-0.66)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 150000 27.13 (-0.20)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 83.74 (+0.34)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 139.29 (-1.54)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 150000 30.32 (-0.10)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 139.29 (-1.54)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 62.68 (+0.25)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 152.61 (+0.01)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 5000 82.85 (-0.92)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 112.46 (+1.51)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.56 (+0.27)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 39.36 (+0.37)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 112.46 (+1.51)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.56 (+0.27)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 103.95 (+0.01)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1100 20.70 (-1.04)          Fjord (FJORD) 150000 6.26 (-0.32)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 18.66 (+0.07)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 6.62 (-0.56)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 17.64 (+0.13)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 17.64 (+0.13)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 140000 374.33 (+1.76)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 128.32 (+1.48)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 23.67 (+0.55)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 112.46 (+1.51)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 15000 37.68 (0.00)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 833 7.13 (-0.87)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 1000 7.13 (-0.87)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 277.32 (+3.52)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 1000 22.38 (-0.09)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 1000 22.38 (-0.09)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 5000 45.82 (+0.06)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 5000 45.82 (+0.06)          The Young People (TYPEP) 1000 13.30 (-0.04)          The Young People (TYPEP) 1000 13.30 (-0.04)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1000 209.82 (-0.74)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1000 209.82 (-0.74)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 20000 139.29 (-1.54)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.56 (-0.16)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.14 (-0.15)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.56 (-0.16)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 23000 33.75 (+0.01)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 47733 11.70 (+1.60)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 24000 40.63 (-0.03)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1000 45.67 (+0.03)