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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 1575 views

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Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 900 436.30 (-0.84)         Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 61.41 (+0.29)         Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 17 436.30 (-0.84)         The Invitation aka The Bride (TBRID) 150000 28.89 (-0.02)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 45.99 (+5.56)         80 For Brady (80FBR) 10000 19.66 (+1.42)         Elvis (ELVIS) 50000 89.90 (-1.30)         Lightyear (LITYR) 6224 142.32 (-0.05)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 45.99 (+5.56)         Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 45.99 (+5.56)         Minions: The Rise of Gru H$80 Ca (MNIO2.CA) 25000 2.43 (-0.23)         Puss In Boots: The Last Wish (PUSS2) 705 69.11 (-0.09)         Elvis (ELVIS) 2000 89.90 (-1.30)         Tahar Rahim (TRAHI) 25000 1.78 (+0.05)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 89.90 (-1.30)         Madame Web (MDWEB) 50 87.71 (+0.33)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 89.90 (-1.30)         Dakota Johnson (DJOHN) 24775 10.29 (-0.06)         Emma Roberts (EROBE) 24999 9.65 (-0.11)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 89.90 (-1.30)         Ezra Miller (EMILL) 8500 156.36 (+0.44)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 89.90 (-1.30)         Thor: Love and Thunder - Opening (THOR4.OW) 10017 141.77 (+0.46)         The Forgiven (TFRGV) 150000 2.73 (-0.06)         The Forgiven (TFRGV) 150000 2.73 (-0.06)         The Wonderful Story of Henry Sug (WSOHS) 150000 0.56 (-0.44)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 150000 20.00 (0.00)         Elvis (ELVIS) 100000 89.90 (-1.30)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 89.90 (-1.30)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 89.90 (-1.30)         Elvis (ELVIS) 2653 89.90 (-1.30)         Beba (BEBA) 3 0.01 (-0.02)         Minions: The Rise of Gru - Openi (MNIO2.OW) 100000 76.54 (-2.08)         Madame Web (MDWEB) 150000 87.71 (+0.33)         Flux Gourmet (FLUXG) 3 0.02 (-0.01)         The Sea Beast (TSEAB) 25 0.14 (+0.02)         Am I Ok? (AMIOK) 150 0.07 (+0.03)         Mother Land (MTHRL) 150000 20.00 (0.00)         Strange World (STRNW) 15 99.13 (+1.00)         Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (AQUM2) 5 240.68 (+0.83)         The Wonderful Story of Henry Sug (WSOHS) 150000 0.56 (-0.44)         Glass Onion: A Knives Out Myster (KNIV2) 3 9.63 (-0.02)         Women Talking (WMTLK) 3 6.02 (-0.01)         Fall (FALL) 150000 8.26 (-0.15)         The Good House (TGDHS) 90 3.52 (-0.05)         Fall (FALL) 150000 8.26 (-0.15)         The Good House (TGDHS) 15 3.52 (-0.05)         Man from Toronto (MFTOR) 100000 1.58 (-0.02)         Marcel the Shell With Shoes On (MSWSO) 1 9.45 (+0.84)         Fall (FALL) 150000 8.26 (-0.15)