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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2706 views

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The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 5622 228.68 (+0.93)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 159.59 (-0.86)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 200 379.03 (-0.21)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 45000 0.76 (-0.24)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 60000 21.62 (-0.02)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 149999 50.93 (+0.09)          Ally (ALLY) 60000 21.53 (-0.16)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 7.94 (-0.26)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 149999 21.92 (-0.01)          The Catch (TCATC) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 12.15 (-0.15)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 149999 12.15 (-0.15)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 149999 48.16 (-0.43)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.06 (-5.77)          Backrooms (BACRM) 40000 39.76 (-0.15)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.06 (-5.77)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 12000 198.83 (-0.03)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 149999 544.78 (-1.49)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 119.85 (-0.92)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 149999 77.15 (-1.23)          Digger (DIGER) 145000 119.85 (-0.92)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.06 (-5.77)          Scandalous (SCAND) 49975 6.46 (-0.01)          Scandalous (SCAND) 50000 6.46 (-0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.06 (-5.77)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 70000 1.92 (-0.25)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 15000 1.92 (-0.25)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 19975 11.80 (-0.02)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 15.67 (+2.86)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 15.67 (+2.86)          Antoine Fuqua (AFUQU) 750 114.00 (+0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.06 (-5.77)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 7500 109.55 (+0.24)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 109.55 (+0.24)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 6250 171.13 (-0.12)          The Catch (TCATC) 1 50.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 77.89 (+0.35)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 15000 33.61 (-0.95)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 33.61 (-0.95)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.06 (-5.77)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 25000 67.03 (-0.50)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 30026 50.00 (0.00)