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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3671 views

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Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 35.22 (+0.09)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 71.33 (+1.66)          The Uprising (THOOD) 100000 9.33 (+0.26)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 133000 112.35 (-0.77)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 90000 7.11 (+1.41)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 2652 107.73 (+0.59)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 11000 37.13 (+0.10)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 56.50 (+2.08)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 56.50 (+2.08)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 149999 12.70 (-0.83)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 9243 7.11 (+1.41)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 150000 0.56 (+0.28)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 150000 0.56 (+0.28)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 167.01 (-1.10)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 24.10 (+0.13)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 100000 37.13 (+0.10)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 150000 37.13 (+0.10)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 140000 7.11 (+1.41)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.11 (+1.41)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 50000 20.74 (+0.99)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 50000 0.52 (-0.01)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 10000 1.76 (-0.24)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 20000 20.74 (+0.99)          Starman (STARM) 1000 15.85 (+3.85)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 3619 79.66 (-0.99)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 43.12 (-2.04)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Starman (STARM) 20000 15.85 (+3.85)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Marisa Tomei (MTOME) 1 147.53 (-0.66)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.11 (+1.41)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 584 23.75 (+0.07)          Sylvia Hoeks (SHOEK) 25000 27.56 (+0.25)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.11 (+1.41)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 112.86 (-4.64)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 149999 0.56 (+0.28)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 150000 0.56 (+0.28)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 149999 7.11 (+1.41)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.11 (+1.41)          Starman (STARM) 150000 15.85 (+3.85)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 82.68 (-4.12)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 67.76 (-0.36)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 82.50 (-0.24)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 140.91 (+0.92)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 112.86 (-4.64)