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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4225 views

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How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 20000 40.97 (-1.32)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 9.80 (+0.62)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 14.76 (+0.38)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 35.45 (+5.45)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 49.05 (+2.35)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 100000 23.99 (-0.25)          Tommy Lee Jones (TLJON) 25000 11.95 (+0.09)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 106.31 (-0.69)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 106.31 (-0.69)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 10000 5.52 (+0.61)          Neal McDonough (NMCDO) 25000 11.11 (-0.13)          Cole Sprouse (CSPRO) 25000 52.26 (-0.05)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 42.43 (-0.93)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 25000 42.64 (+0.31)          Mikey Madison (MMADI) 25000 63.40 (-0.72)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 12.63 (-0.06)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 7.78 (-0.10)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 7.78 (-0.10)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 4.93 (-0.02)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 119.73 (-13.39)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 7999 119.73 (-13.39)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 49.05 (+2.35)          Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 25000 78.31 (+0.21)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 14.76 (+0.38)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 49.05 (+2.35)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 11.58 (-0.87)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 75000 7.21 (-0.51)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          Dichen Lachman (DLACH) 25000 106.31 (-0.69)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 11.58 (-0.87)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 42.43 (-0.93)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 14.23 (+4.16)          John Cho (JCHO) 25000 9.01 (-0.99)          Callina Liang (CLIAN) 25000 25.39 (-1.16)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 119.73 (-13.39)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 24.64 (+1.62)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 9.53 (+0.41)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 3.46 (-0.85)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)