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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3712 views

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Lesley Manville (LMANV) 25000 2.85 (-0.02)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 47.56 (-5.30)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 5000 5.63 (-0.09)          Joey King (JOKIN) 25000 96.27 (+0.25)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 10.28 (-0.80)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 10.28 (-0.80)          Closing Night (CLSNT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 13000 92.62 (+0.63)          Alicia Vikander (AVIKA) 4000 1.00 (+0.03)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 6788 8.29 (-0.20)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 6.16 (-0.34)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 13.84 (-1.44)          Artificial (AIFIC) 6 14.10 (+1.85)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 150000 0.74 (-0.08)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 92.62 (+0.63)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 77.49 (-0.22)          Vicky Krieps (VKRIE) 25000 1.47 (0.00)          Odessa A'zion (OAZIO) 25000 39.00 (0.00)          Odessa A'zion (OAZIO) 25000 39.00 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 99.89 (+1.13)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 66 35.21 (+1.42)          Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 20000 51.47 (-0.13)          Closing Night (CLSNT) 149996 2.00 (0.00)          Eli Roth (EROTH) 25000 30.55 (+0.45)          Will Gluck (WGLUC) 24999 68.78 (+0.03)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 29384 10.28 (-0.80)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 126.14 (+1.00)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 126.14 (+1.00)          Closing Night (CLSNT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 8.20 (-0.16)          David Robert Mitchell (DRMIT) 25000 18.12 (-0.50)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 64.24 (+1.25)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 58.06 (-0.67)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 0.82 (-0.10)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 58.06 (-0.67)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 3.10 (+0.10)          Maria Bakalova (MBAKA) 25000 69.60 (-1.68)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 20.86 (+0.08)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 78787 47.56 (-5.30)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 40.73 (+0.14)          Monitor (MONTR) 11000 12.54 (-0.04)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.86 (+0.06)          Eli Roth (EROTH) 25000 30.55 (+0.45)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 78787 47.56 (-5.30)          Jay Chandrasekhar (JYCHA) 25000 10.21 (-0.94)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 0.64 (-0.08)          Jay Chandrasekhar (JYCHA) 24997 10.21 (-0.94)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 8.29 (-0.20)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 35.21 (+1.42)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 35.21 (+1.42)