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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3144 views

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Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 255.77 (+0.56)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 3000 56.67 (+0.05)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 64.89 (-4.94)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 4000 255.77 (+0.56)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 10000 27.48 (+1.03)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 30.13 (+1.41)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 170 3.98 (+0.09)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 5000 27.07 (+2.69)          The Catch (TCATC) 4000 69.43 (-0.10)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 17.20 (+0.15)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 1000 169.67 (+0.01)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 17.20 (+0.15)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 43.22 (+11.73)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 43.22 (+11.73)          Artificial (AIFIC) 10000 11.56 (+0.22)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 36.23 (+22.23)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 10000 27.07 (+2.69)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 36.23 (+22.23)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 4000 51.15 (+0.47)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 11.56 (+0.22)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 64.89 (-4.94)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1 118.27 (-1.48)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 60.32 (-0.90)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 36.23 (+22.23)          Will Forte (WFORT) 24995 12.32 (-0.98)          Mandy Moore (MMOOR) 24995 66.84 (+0.59)          Damian Lewis (DLEWI) 24995 32.36 (-0.04)          Chris Messina (CMESS) 24995 23.54 (+0.41)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 24995 37.24 (+1.75)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 24995 64.89 (-4.94)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 24995 22.39 (-0.73)          Will Forte (WFORT) 24995 12.32 (-0.98)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 24995 36.23 (+22.23)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 24995 43.22 (+11.73)          Chris Messina (CMESS) 24995 23.54 (+0.41)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 24995 37.24 (+1.75)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 24995 64.89 (-4.94)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 24995 22.39 (-0.73)          Will Forte (WFORT) 25000 12.32 (-0.98)          Will Forte (WFORT) 25000 12.32 (-0.98)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 37.24 (+1.75)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 37.24 (+1.75)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 43.22 (+11.73)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 64.89 (-4.94)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 64.89 (-4.94)          Chris Messina (CMESS) 25000 23.54 (+0.41)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 22.39 (-0.73)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 22.39 (-0.73)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 36.23 (+22.23)