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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3229 views

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Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 88876 13.97 (-1.03)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 223.20 (-1.30)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 3 43.29 (+0.02)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3 13.87 (-0.04)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 7.51 (-0.54)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 3 64.51 (+0.05)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 37.95 (+0.12)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 3 8.32 (-0.01)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 3 54.87 (-0.05)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 3 18.34 (+0.04)          Clayface (CLAYF) 15000 83.46 (-2.99)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 3 59.18 (+0.05)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 104.72 (+1.06)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 6 8.04 (+0.04)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 6 80.03 (+0.47)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 5 46.89 (+0.16)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 37.73 (+0.12)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 15 29.37 (+0.40)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 13.97 (-1.03)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 4 81.37 (+0.20)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 28.37 (+2.96)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 5 47.96 (+0.16)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.36 (+0.06)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 3.39 (-0.16)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 118.78 (-0.37)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 245.52 (+0.06)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 7.51 (-0.54)          Young Washington (YWASH) 1 39.38 (-0.09)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 50.09 (-0.93)          Young Washington (YWASH) 1 39.38 (-0.09)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 50.09 (-0.93)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 256.52 (-6.64)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 256.52 (-6.64)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 10000 37.73 (+0.12)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 150000 243.10 (-0.46)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 256.52 (-6.64)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 256.52 (-6.64)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 224.14 (+1.97)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 10000 81.37 (+0.20)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 90.40 (-0.48)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 490.60 (-0.92)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149999 83.46 (-2.99)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 90.40 (-0.48)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 224.14 (+1.97)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149992 83.46 (-2.99)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 3000 62.29 (+0.91)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 5.92 (+0.05)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.36 (+0.06)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 3 97.29 (+0.02)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.36 (+0.06)