SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3412 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 74.06 (+0.58)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 3812 10.68 (+0.01)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 76925 236.53 (+3.07)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 3812 10.68 (+0.01)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 412 1.12 (-0.16)          Rupert Everett (REVER) 3168 2.65 (0.00)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 288 1.12 (-0.16)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 149916 13.65 (-0.31)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 13.65 (-0.31)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 175 535.24 (+0.50)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 194 4.93 (+0.08)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 250 381.48 (+2.93)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 108588 64.19 (-0.14)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 1006 4.93 (+0.08)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 307 0.11 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 H$15 Call (STRO3.CA) 25000 1.33 (+0.06)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 893 0.11 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 132058 67.59 (+1.30)          Super Troopers 3 H$15 Call (STRO3.CA) 25000 1.33 (+0.06)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 5000 29.93 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 99.14 (-1.09)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 50000 5.95 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 1600 0.28 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 600 0.28 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 17.75 (-2.83)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 8.36 (-0.06)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 8.36 (-0.06)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 201 0.40 (-0.01)          Moana (MOAN1) 1 120.22 (-2.22)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 1399 0.40 (-0.01)          Underland (UNDRL) 999 0.04 (0.00)          Signal One (SGNL1) 1998 0.02 (-0.01)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 145000 236.53 (+3.07)          Not Alone (NTALN) 100 108.93 (+0.28)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 405.59 (+0.06)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 404 0.23 (-0.01)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 900 121.53 (-0.41)          Snoop (SNOOP) 10000 30.12 (+0.25)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 1396 0.23 (-0.01)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 2500 10.99 (-0.07)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Chum (CHUM) 307 0.11 (-0.01)          Chum (CHUM) 1293 0.11 (-0.01)          Motor City (MTRCT) 1 5.64 (+0.23)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 1499 0.06 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)