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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4082 views

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Wet (WET) 150000 6.47 (+0.94)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 60000 24.19 (-0.37)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 75000 13.71 (+1.18)          Home (HOME1) 15000 8.45 (0.00)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 4139 34.77 (+0.01)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 81.03 (+1.03)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 10000 6.58 (0.00)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 150000 5.66 (+0.50)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.47 (+0.94)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.76 (-0.57)          Clayface (CLAYF) 101 58.73 (+0.15)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.19 (-0.37)          Gods Don’t Give Gifts (GDGG) 150000 1.56 (-0.03)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 15429 76.79 (-0.84)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 2.69 (+0.04)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 150000 5.66 (+0.50)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.47 (+0.94)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 150000 5.66 (+0.50)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 4.58 (+0.74)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 15.17 (-0.14)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 125000 24.19 (-0.37)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 25000 13.71 (+1.18)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 81.03 (+1.03)          Ali G: Who Iz I? - Opening Weeke (ALIG2.OW) 2000 3.38 (-0.01)          Starman (STARM) 3000 13.06 (0.00)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 1000 81.03 (+1.03)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 1000 81.03 (+1.03)          Narcs (NARCS) 3000 25.50 (+0.76)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 10000 14.35 (-0.04)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 75000 2.69 (+0.04)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 20000 1.62 (0.00)          The Mummy: The Book of the Dead (MUMY5) 10000 126.71 (+0.13)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 16000 245.05 (+0.22)          Gatto (GATTO) 22000 149.63 (+0.27)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 25000 681.49 (+0.13)          Narcs (NARCS) 10000 25.50 (+0.76)          Wet (WET) 100000 6.47 (+0.94)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 81.03 (+1.03)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 108000 13.71 (+1.18)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 75000 13.71 (+1.18)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 11000 112.63 (-0.13)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 11000 128.40 (-0.13)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 12000 118.80 (-0.16)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 12000 118.80 (-0.16)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 81.03 (+1.03)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 13000 29.53 (-0.14)          Primetime (PRMTM) 15000 44.91 (-0.16)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 76.79 (-0.84)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 16000 204.97 (-0.22)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 16000 99.40 (-0.19)