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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2532 views

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Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          De Noche (DNOCH) 150000 5.51 (-0.02)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 125387 215.22 (+3.35)          Undertone (UNDTN) 10000 22.31 (+0.14)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20000 168.43 (-2.29)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 168.43 (-2.29)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 215.22 (+3.35)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 215.22 (+3.35)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 5810 40.42 (-0.20)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 140.52 (-0.98)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 74999 7.35 (-0.12)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 150000 7.35 (-0.12)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149999 14.02 (+1.87)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 21.31 (+0.69)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 50000 502.21 (+3.67)          Outcome (OUTCM) 4000 3.37 (-0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5000 102.85 (+2.85)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 2000 102.85 (+2.85)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 2000 175.02 (+1.56)          Kevin Smith (KSMIT) 8445 1.41 (-0.02)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 150000 11.96 (+0.08)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.80 (+0.12)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 150000 11.96 (+0.08)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 46.49 (+0.35)          Tyriq Withers (TWITH) 25000 21.17 (+1.00)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 150000 2.87 (+0.15)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 150000 2.87 (+0.15)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 294 74.87 (-0.75)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 25 219.49 (-0.33)          Narnia (NARN4) 950 17.23 (-0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 1000 102.85 (+2.85)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 2786 538.73 (+0.99)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 14.02 (+1.87)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Land of Sometimes (LSMTM) 1 2.82 (-0.02)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 21.11 (-2.45)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 97500 102.85 (+2.85)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Colin Firth (CFIRT) 2556 69.86 (-0.48)          Emma Stone (ESTON) 1638 32.42 (0.00)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 3513 15.42 (-0.02)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 140.52 (-0.98)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 1 63.22 (-0.09)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 1 63.22 (-0.09)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 95000 140.52 (-0.98)