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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3119 views

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Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 149999 6.93 (+0.82)          Artificial (AIFIC) 15000 11.60 (-0.42)          Unidentified (UNIDF) 150000 0.21 (-0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 23.21 (-1.14)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.74 (+0.07)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 23.21 (-1.14)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 14.58 (+0.14)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 55000 50.00 (0.00)          Harry Shum Jr. (HSHUM) 1999 49.80 (+0.16)          Harry Shum Jr. (HSHUM) 1999 49.80 (+0.16)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 11.60 (-0.42)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 95000 204.07 (+1.24)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 11.60 (-0.42)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 999 66.25 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 55000 204.07 (+1.24)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 999 66.25 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 149999 6.35 (+0.35)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 24.30 (+1.75)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1000 231.70 (+1.01)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 149999 9.39 (+0.54)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 10.21 (-2.38)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 25000 52.67 (-0.66)          Sing 3 (SING3) 20000 57.38 (+1.12)          Tyler Perry (TPERR) 999 35.63 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 10000 14.28 (+1.36)          Tyler Perry (TPERR) 999 35.63 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 70000 20.43 (+1.61)          Todd Phillips (TPHIL) 1999 149.03 (-0.33)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 25000 425.50 (-1.59)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 105000 24.30 (+1.75)          Todd Phillips (TPHIL) 993 149.03 (-0.33)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 149999 8.96 (+0.57)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 57.38 (+1.12)          Jane (JANE1) 30000 11.79 (-0.59)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 80000 50.00 (0.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 57.38 (+1.12)          Jane (JANE1) 30000 11.79 (-0.59)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1653 10.78 (+0.89)          Will Forte (WFORT) 25000 13.80 (-0.30)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Will Forte (WFORT) 25000 13.80 (-0.30)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 17.57 (+1.27)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 17.57 (+1.27)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 79999 11.31 (-0.16)