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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3030 views

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One Night Only (ONTON) 5 25.10 (+0.10)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 10 1.02 (+0.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5 304.03 (+1.20)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 35 17.34 (+0.52)          Moana (MOAN1) 5 238.21 (-1.17)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 3 58.03 (+0.11)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 14 317.93 (-3.80)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 40000 26.99 (-0.25)          The Invite (TINVT) 45 19.55 (+0.58)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 200 150.35 (-3.88)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 82.00 (-0.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 35 150.35 (-3.88)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 5000 42.98 (+1.41)          Couture (STCHS) 1000 1.84 (-0.05)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 53.39 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3 381.92 (+0.45)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 20000 42.98 (+1.41)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 12 22.37 (+0.18)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 12 22.37 (+0.18)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 24.73 (-0.11)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 25 141.73 (-3.04)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 15 115.35 (-1.62)          By Any Means (CI34) 2000 26.33 (+0.66)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 17 28.16 (+0.35)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 104.72 (-3.09)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 141.73 (-3.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 18 169.12 (-2.45)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 10000 9.29 (+0.69)          Passenger (PSNGR) 35 19.05 (-0.49)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 104.72 (-3.09)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 11.76 (+0.04)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 4000 0.05 (-0.02)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 10000 9.29 (+0.69)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.91 (+3.55)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 20000 13.17 (+0.40)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.91 (+3.55)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 13.17 (+0.40)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 7.69 (-4.94)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 7.69 (-4.94)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 2000 228.70 (+1.04)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 2000 64.91 (+3.55)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 352 167.51 (+0.98)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 15000 75.33 (+1.81)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.91 (+3.55)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 150000 0.78 (-0.04)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 8.45 (-0.55)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 8.45 (-0.55)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 10000 75.33 (+1.81)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 4000 39.64 (-0.17)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 10000 77.59 (-0.43)