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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2326 views

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Astaire (ASTAI) 50000 5.65 (+0.02)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 50000 4.67 (-0.09)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 150000 8.91 (-0.08)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 2500 497.89 (+2.45)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.98 (-1.10)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 2500 81.84 (+0.65)          Return to Silent Hill - Opening (SHIL3.OW) 50000 5.86 (-0.34)          Return to Silent Hill - Opening (SHIL3.OW) 49999 5.86 (-0.34)          The Housemaid $100M Blockbuster (HMAID.BW) 24999 6.14 (+1.14)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 73.21 (+0.72)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.98 (-1.10)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 73.21 (+0.72)          Return to Silent Hill - Opening (SHIL3.OW) 1 5.86 (-0.34)          Return to Silent Hill - Opening (SHIL3.OW) 100000 5.86 (-0.34)          The Housemaid $100M Blockbuster (HMAID.BW) 1 6.14 (+1.14)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 107300 96.26 (+2.63)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 2.15 (-0.15)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 10000 151.89 (+1.34)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 88.54 (+1.87)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 25000 15.00 (0.00)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 1 50.82 (+0.84)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 150000 50.82 (+0.84)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 96.26 (+2.63)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.98 (-1.10)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 125000 32.88 (-2.97)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.98 (-1.10)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 15.44 (+1.13)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 263 53.20 (-1.44)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 96.26 (+2.63)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 158.78 (-0.60)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 53.20 (-1.44)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 5000 0.14 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 53.20 (-1.44)          The Housemaid $100M Blockbuster (HMAID.BW) 25000 6.14 (+1.14)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 158.78 (-0.60)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.10 (-0.20)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 4.10 (-0.20)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 2007 32.66 (-0.03)          Cry to Heaven (CRYTH) 1000 14.14 (+0.08)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 5519 15.00 (0.00)          Rosemead (ROSEM) 150000 0.29 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 17000 16.55 (-0.02)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 36164 32.88 (-2.97)          Shelter - Opening Weekend (SELTR.OW) 100000 3.90 (-0.42)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 2000 263.61 (+0.72)