SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2550 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



What Happens At Night (WHANT) 4 40.82 (-0.09)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 541.89 (+1.00)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 50000 23.74 (+0.04)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 150000 236.39 (+0.50)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 45 53.43 (0.00)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 100000 120.08 (+0.58)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 50000 23.74 (+0.04)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150 60.82 (-0.27)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 50000 23.74 (+0.04)          The Wizard of Kremlin (WZKRM) 240 5.05 (-0.01)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 20000 4.81 (-0.04)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 3 164.79 (+0.21)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 40 0.55 (+0.02)          Bingbing Fan (FBING) 40 95.29 (-0.01)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 1.82 (-0.02)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 222.53 (-1.21)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 40000 71.21 (+2.67)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 665 91.04 (-0.25)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          Jaume Collet-Serra (JCSER) 4 83.82 (-0.25)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          Ben Stiller (BSTIL) 4 53.13 (-0.16)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 3.27 (+0.26)          Julia Roberts (JROBE) 4 53.09 (-0.16)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 149.57 (+0.25)          Vanessa Kirby (VKIRB) 4 100.51 (-0.33)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 4 48.68 (-0.16)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 4 34.91 (-0.12)          Neve Campbell (NCAMP) 25000 58.00 (+0.33)          Alpha (ALPH) 150000 0.16 (-0.04)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 6 114.95 (-0.66)          Neve Campbell (NCAMP) 25000 58.00 (+0.33)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.40 (-0.02)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 50000 3.12 (+0.09)          Fede Alvarez (FALVA) 4 67.44 (+0.25)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 150000 0.46 (-0.06)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 53.23 (-0.33)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 50000 3.12 (+0.09)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 222.53 (-1.21)          Maude Apatow (MAPAT) 65 26.92 (+0.12)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 0.91 (0.00)          Cary Fukunaga (CFUKU) 3 23.30 (+0.12)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 50000 3.12 (+0.09)          The AI Doc: Or How I Became an A (AIDOC) 150000 1.60 (0.00)          Cary Fukunaga (CFUKU) 5 23.30 (+0.12)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 150000 2.66 (0.00)