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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3602 views

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By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 5000 136.21 (+1.71)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 25000 85.57 (+0.25)          Diego Calva (DCALV) 10000 5.04 (+0.33)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 1 10.00 (0.00)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 3000 44.87 (-0.11)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 2 5.60 (-0.05)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 67.07 (+0.27)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          One Night Only (ONTON) 4897 13.50 (-0.07)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 25000 124.43 (-0.66)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 10000 23.04 (-0.33)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 25000 61.85 (-0.50)          Coyote vs. ACME - Opening Weeken (CVACM.OW) 3000 16.79 (+0.15)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 25000 33.25 (-0.25)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 48.80 (+0.33)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 6700 44.81 (-0.09)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Kyle Gallner (KGALL) 25000 36.55 (-0.12)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)