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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3800 views

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Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 1 83.42 (-5.01)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 68.75 (+0.45)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 68.75 (+0.45)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 50000 4.83 (+0.66)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 65 553.15 (+0.24)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 1000 75.36 (-0.08)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 3400 68.44 (-0.12)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 4037 83.42 (-5.01)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 9.87 (-0.21)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 112.54 (-1.10)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.38 (+1.72)          Starman (STARM) 2 15.63 (-0.18)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 40000 90.00 (0.00)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 9.87 (-0.21)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.38 (+1.72)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Clay (CLAY) 50091 90.00 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 30000 83.42 (-5.01)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 18.92 (-0.40)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 1.92 (-0.08)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 4990 19.80 (+0.02)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 18.92 (-0.40)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 800 66.94 (-0.15)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 18.92 (-0.40)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 83.42 (-5.01)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 5000 16.51 (-0.04)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 18.92 (-0.40)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 5000 14.03 (-0.02)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 5000 18.63 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 90.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 45.77 (+0.10)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 5000 16.61 (0.00)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 100000 11.16 (+0.02)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 16.61 (-0.16)