SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3331 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Moana (MOAN1) 150000 140.76 (-0.86)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 1171 15.21 (+0.21)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 80.87 (+0.27)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 140.76 (-0.86)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 10000 20.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 161.65 (+0.44)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 93.83 (-0.41)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 167.10 (+0.11)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 188.09 (+0.66)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 52189 50.08 (+0.17)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 135.55 (+0.99)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 105.08 (+1.63)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 3 31.34 (+3.42)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 3 31.34 (+3.42)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 10 0.39 (-0.02)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.39 (-0.02)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 10 0.33 (-0.02)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 150000 0.33 (-0.02)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 14999 11.65 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 2 4.19 (+0.80)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 150000 4.19 (+0.80)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 31.34 (+3.42)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 3591 3.87 (+0.41)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 15.21 (+0.21)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 4.35 (-0.74)          The Housewife (THSWF) 150000 1.91 (-0.31)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 15.21 (+0.21)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 150000 7.66 (+0.25)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 65059 475.15 (+1.32)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 325.12 (+4.84)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 8.89 (+0.37)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 11.69 (+0.07)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 140.76 (-0.86)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.87 (+0.41)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 60652 325.12 (+4.84)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 13.88 (+0.14)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 25000 19.30 (+0.83)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 50000 325.12 (+4.84)