SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 4224 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 149999 34.33 (+4.33)          Ji-young Yoo (JYOO) 625 20.00 (0.00)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 25000 101.89 (-2.00)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 20150 34.33 (+4.33)          Callina Liang (CLIAN) 25000 25.41 (-1.14)          Noomi Rapace (NRAPA) 25000 1.77 (-0.10)          Ken Watanabe (KWATA) 100 68.78 (+0.50)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 24.02 (+1.00)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 34.33 (+4.33)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 91.83 (-2.80)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 91.83 (-2.80)          Austin Abrams (AABRA) 25000 65.67 (+0.46)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 30.59 (-0.87)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          John Cleese (JCLEE) 50 63.40 (-0.25)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 30.59 (-0.87)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 46.32 (-33.51)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 119.73 (-13.39)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 75000 69.98 (+1.05)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 53.13 (-11.58)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 9.70 (+0.52)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 1250 8.13 (-3.96)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 5000 19.81 (-0.25)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 25000 42.64 (+0.31)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 75000 69.98 (+1.05)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 5000 34.33 (+4.33)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 25000 53.17 (-11.46)          George MacKay (GMACK) 25000 2.81 (+0.05)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 125000 204.75 (+3.28)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 53.13 (-11.58)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 119.73 (-13.39)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 25000 35.80 (+0.13)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.08 (-0.23)          Austin Abrams (AABRA) 25000 65.67 (+0.46)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 9.85 (-26.90)          Turpentine (TURPN) 75000 7.44 (+0.41)          Ji-young Yoo (JYOO) 1000 20.00 (0.00)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 75000 9.54 (+0.42)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 17.37 (+0.43)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 25000 35.80 (+0.13)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.13 (-3.96)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 49.05 (+2.35)