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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2278 views

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Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 8511 5.65 (+0.65)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 1000 0.94 (-0.01)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 3932 4.00 (0.00)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 1000 36.32 (-0.05)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 1000 32.57 (-0.03)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1000 105.73 (-0.30)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 1000 38.96 (-0.11)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1000 424.95 (-0.09)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 1000 539.84 (+0.06)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 1000 463.55 (+0.62)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 28000 33.50 (-0.13)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1000 33.50 (-0.13)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 1000 69.99 (+0.15)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 20000 307.45 (+4.16)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 150000 0.35 (-0.02)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 44.02 (+2.40)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 149999 48.76 (-2.18)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 42.70 (+3.20)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 307.45 (+4.16)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 145043 159.01 (-0.06)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.PU) 25000 3.86 (+0.43)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 12.87 (-0.16)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.CA) 25000 1.29 (+0.04)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.CA) 25000 1.29 (+0.04)          Zootopia 2 $285M Blockbuster War (ZOOT2.BW) 25000 16.14 (+0.31)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 1 2.11 (-0.21)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 150000 2.11 (-0.21)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 48.76 (-2.18)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 150000 5.93 (+0.01)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 150000 5.93 (+0.01)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.65 (+0.65)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 15.28 (-0.26)          Zach Galifianakis (ZGALI) 25000 77.60 (-0.50)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 22000 39.89 (+0.09)          Spirit (SPRIT) 100000 5.12 (+0.44)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 5.66 (-0.46)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 5.66 (-0.46)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 150000 19.93 (-0.01)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 22000 66.90 (+0.12)          Mercy H$10 Call (MRCY1.CA) 20000 2.03 (-0.44)          Mercy H$10 Call (MRCY1.CA) 20000 2.03 (-0.44)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.OW) 20000 24.61 (-0.93)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.OW) 15000 24.61 (-0.93)          Sunny (SUNNY) 10000 11.60 (+1.13)          Sunny (SUNNY) 10000 11.60 (+1.13)