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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2628 views

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Normal (NORML) 150000 17.16 (+1.67)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 20.70 (+0.36)          Normal (NORML) 150000 17.16 (+1.67)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 20.70 (+0.36)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 488 4.49 (-0.16)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 150000 46.05 (+3.27)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 150000 46.05 (+3.27)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 78 4.89 (-0.01)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 62022 23.17 (+1.14)          The Drama (TDRAM) 10000 41.96 (-1.48)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 27.23 (+4.64)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 27.23 (+4.64)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Put (PRAD2.PU) 25000 1.70 (-0.30)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 100000 81.93 (+1.93)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 2.87 (+0.87)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 100000 5.54 (+0.54)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.49 (+1.51)          Animal Farm - Opening Weekend (AFARM.OW) 100000 4.23 (-0.77)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 4.98 (+0.45)          Beast (BEAS) 150000 1.33 (-0.47)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.71 (-0.10)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.71 (-0.10)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Call (TMUMY.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.16)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Put (TMUMY.PU) 25000 3.05 (+0.09)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy - Opening (TMUMY.OW) 100000 13.61 (-0.42)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 119849 20.70 (+0.36)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 8585 427.04 (-4.65)          Normal - Opening Weekend (NORML.OW) 100000 5.28 (+0.24)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.21 (+0.36)          The Drama (TDRAM) 10000 41.96 (-1.48)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.21 (+0.36)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 1393 7.29 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 315 427.04 (-4.65)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 25 13.19 (+0.35)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 23.76 (-1.88)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 1000 83.24 (-0.10)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 11589 8.32 (+0.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 7500 427.04 (-4.65)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 51.57 (+0.77)          Sing 3 (SING3) 2 50.69 (-0.84)          Sing 3 (SING3) 2 50.69 (-0.84)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 3 36.80 (-1.07)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 3 36.80 (-1.07)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 3 51.57 (+0.77)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3 213.19 (+3.08)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3 213.19 (+3.08)