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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2632 views

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Lobo (LOBO) 10000 24.00 (-0.12)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 24.81 (+0.28)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 60000 11.85 (-0.68)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 20000 11.85 (-0.68)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 25.65 (+0.03)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 10000 11.85 (-0.68)          David Harbour (DHARB) 25000 70.41 (+0.75)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 5000 29.31 (-0.45)          David Harbour (DHARB) 25000 70.41 (+0.75)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 1 33.53 (-3.34)          The Brink of War aka Reykjavik (REYKJ) 1000 6.01 (+0.88)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 33.53 (-3.34)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 5000 8.13 (+0.97)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 149993 35.62 (+0.95)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 149992 35.62 (+0.95)          Runner (RUNNR) 3000 13.00 (+0.92)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 2000 109.43 (+1.01)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 2000 84.61 (+1.13)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 10000 84.61 (+1.13)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5000 77.75 (+1.99)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 24.58 (+0.14)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 42.48 (-0.03)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 26.17 (+0.06)          River (RIVE1) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 4.67 (-0.02)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 70065 70.02 (+1.65)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 150000 36.75 (-0.40)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 149999 134.24 (-0.72)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 60112 16.16 (-0.74)          River (RIVE1) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 35.62 (+0.95)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 35.62 (+0.95)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 3.94 (-0.06)          Normal (NORML) 150000 15.77 (-1.33)          Michael (MJACK) 1 181.58 (-0.89)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 32662 425.76 (-1.28)          Normal (NORML) 150000 15.77 (-1.33)          Proxy (PROXY) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 33.53 (-3.34)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 33.53 (-3.34)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 26000 30.44 (-0.41)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 2 34.28 (0.00)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 33.53 (-3.34)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 33.53 (-3.34)          River (RIVE1) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 25000 121.94 (-0.33)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 2000 84.31 (+0.35)