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Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3134 views

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They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 10000 7.02 (0.00)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 5000 35.80 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 49999 17.26 (+0.44)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 10000 9.69 (+0.08)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 50000 16.70 (+0.25)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 25000 13.56 (+0.57)          Alex Pettyfer (APETT) 999 53.41 (0.00)          Alex Pettyfer (APETT) 999 53.41 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 29.09 (-0.22)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 30000 9.25 (-0.01)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 29999 9.25 (-0.01)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 432.56 (-0.01)          The Worst (TWORS) 30000 6.80 (-0.07)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 90000 6.42 (-0.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 138.32 (-0.12)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 138.32 (-0.12)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 30000 29.09 (-0.22)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 35000 29.09 (-0.22)          Lice (LICE) 15000 5.84 (-0.15)          Lice (LICE) 149999 5.84 (-0.15)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 8400 5.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 6566 138.32 (-0.12)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 5554 138.32 (-0.12)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.24 (+0.26)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 149999 6.24 (+0.26)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 1000 27.92 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 90000 14.17 (+0.51)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 6666 138.32 (-0.12)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 1000 58.26 (0.00)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 27999 8.11 (+0.27)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 434 6.51 (-0.07)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 59999 13.56 (+0.57)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 90000 13.56 (+0.57)          Lice (LICE) 150000 5.84 (-0.15)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 25000 138.32 (-0.12)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 12201 13.69 (0.00)          Lice (LICE) 18000 5.84 (-0.15)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 25000 58.34 (+0.02)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 25000 72.92 (+0.04)          Fing! (FING) 10000 4.31 (0.00)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 10000 9.25 (-0.01)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 25000 8.18 (-0.01)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.24 (+0.26)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.24 (+0.26)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.26 (+0.44)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.26 (+0.44)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 10 8.03 (+0.06)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.11 (+0.27)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 8.03 (+0.06)