SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3526 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Brittany Snow (BSNOW) 25000 68.20 (+0.25)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 23.22 (+0.08)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 25000 24.63 (+0.25)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 25000 24.63 (+0.25)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 145.89 (+0.32)          Nico Parker (NIPAR) 25000 95.69 (+0.75)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.41 (-0.30)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.41 (-0.30)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 16.03 (+0.10)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 75.30 (+0.33)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 16500 455.12 (-2.76)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.41 (-0.30)          Nell Tiger Free (NTFRE) 25000 9.38 (-0.05)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 50000 21.65 (-0.04)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 75.33 (+2.67)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 10000 10.85 (+0.78)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 6556 75.33 (+2.67)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 14.86 (+0.08)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 34.25 (-0.03)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 54.76 (-0.19)          42.6 Years (426YR) 149996 15.67 (+1.41)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 6.96 (-0.05)          Naruto (NARUT) 149996 26.34 (-2.19)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 18.09 (+0.06)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 149996 10.85 (+0.78)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 149998 10.85 (+0.78)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149996 3.35 (-0.50)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 57.25 (+0.15)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149998 3.35 (-0.50)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 149996 6.33 (-0.53)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 149998 6.33 (-0.53)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 149996 5.65 (-0.38)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 149998 5.65 (-0.38)          Jane (JANE1) 149996 10.66 (-0.14)          Jane (JANE1) 149998 10.66 (-0.14)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 39.90 (-0.47)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 21001 5.56 (+0.56)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 149996 3.83 (-0.31)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 149998 3.83 (-0.31)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 149998 16.47 (-0.19)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 149999 455.12 (-2.76)          Donkey (DONKE) 32676 139.02 (+1.20)          Nimrods (NIMRD) 150000 2.62 (-0.12)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 150000 20.68 (+0.06)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 39.90 (-0.47)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 150000 30.36 (+0.13)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 75.33 (+2.67)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 24.71 (+0.12)