SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 2805 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Newborn (SOLIT) 150000 0.12 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 75000 41.29 (+1.29)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 18.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 5665 27.06 (+1.63)          April X (APRLX) 50000 2.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 20665 27.06 (+1.63)          Tony (TONY) 89000 16.16 (+3.22)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.70 (-0.01)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 40000 121.93 (-2.43)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 3000 153.96 (-0.55)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 148000 199.77 (-6.33)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3500 198.98 (-0.91)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 4.53 (-0.24)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 104999 32.78 (-1.54)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 20000 88.56 (-1.75)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 100000 45.26 (+0.48)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Put (MKMB2.PU) 25000 1.30 (-0.06)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.92 (+0.40)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.43 (-0.12)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.CA) 25000 3.50 (+0.33)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.OW) 100000 11.80 (+0.21)          Hannah John-Kamen (HJOHN) 8053 117.54 (+0.44)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 6976 1.43 (-0.01)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 25000 156.35 (+0.50)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 18151 151.20 (-0.14)          The Catch (TCATC) 1000 58.54 (+4.55)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 49.39 (+1.50)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 17.40 (+1.78)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 10000 46.89 (-1.93)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.70 (+1.60)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.70 (+1.60)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.46 (+0.73)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.46 (+0.73)          Tony (TONY) 150000 16.16 (+3.22)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 15000 199.77 (-6.33)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.80 (+1.17)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.80 (+1.17)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 9999 199.77 (-6.33)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 47 377.61 (-0.52)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 272 377.61 (-0.52)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 900 57.04 (-0.10)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 37437 1.43 (-0.01)          Wildwood (WILDW) 600 9.92 (+0.01)