SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pirates set to raid Baywatch

Disney continues its assault on the theatrical box office with another franchise blockbuster, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales [PIRT5]. Johnny Depp [JDEPP] reprises his iconic role of Jack Sparrow for a fifth time to face a new villain played by Javier Bardem [JBARD]. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] joins the adventure as the son of Orlando Bloom’s [OBLOO] Will Turner, who was last seen in 2007’s Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. The last installment, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides opened with $90.1 million on a 3-day weekend in May 2011. However, franchise fatigue had already set in. No one really asked for another movie except the Disney folks counting the money. Dead Men Tell No Tales has earned negative reviews on par with On Stranger Tides. Depp himself has incurred negative publicity for his personal life, which has dented his recent box office draw. Alice Through the Looking Glass debuted with just $33.5 million over Memorial Day weekend last year. Sailing into 4276 theaters, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales may plunder $81 million over the 4-day weekend.

After more than a decade in development, Baywatch [BAYWT] has finally reaches shore. The popular ‘90s TV series has been turned into an R-rated action comedy in the vein of 21 Jump Street. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Zac Efron [ZEFRO] star as lifeguards who are more interested in fighting crime. Johnson’s last comedy, the PG-13 rated Central Intelligence opened with $35.5 million. Despite poor reviews from critics, Baywatch should bring out nostalgic fans of slow-motion beach running. Paramount moved up the release of Baywatch a day to Thursday and earned $1.3 million Wednesday night. Diving into 3647 theaters, Baywatch could surface with $38 million from Friday to Monday.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 [GOTG2] looks to add another $23 million during its fourth weekend, which should be enough to surpass the $333 million total box office of the first Guardians of the Galaxy.

Alien: Covenant [PRME2] failed to improve on Prometheus, which tumbled 59% in its second weekend. The sci-fi sequel may settle for $18 million over the long weekend.

Female-target films tend to have legs. Everything, Everything [EVRYT] should be able to score another $8 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PIRT5, JDEPP, JBARD, BTHWA, OBLOO, BAYWT, TROCK, ZEFRO, GOTG2, PRME2, EVRYT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 25, 2017 @ 03:46 PM 3165 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Luke Evans (LUEVA) 25000 24.16 (-0.12)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.85 (+0.43)          Awkwafina (AWKWA) 25000 120.69 (0.00)          White Lies (WHTLI) 80000 9.18 (-0.82)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 45000 94.76 (+0.53)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 11000 25.72 (-0.12)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 10000 69.81 (+0.06)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 10000 26.09 (+0.07)          Goblin (GBLIN) 47000 19.10 (-0.48)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 20000 169.58 (+0.44)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 20000 393.76 (+0.42)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 11000 102.69 (+0.13)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 38000 6.85 (+0.43)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 149999 94.76 (+0.53)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 10000 80.49 (-0.10)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 10000 52.34 (-0.06)          Flavia (FLAVI) 85000 3.28 (-0.86)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 11000 153.33 (-0.13)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 15000 60.05 (+0.16)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 16000 177.49 (+0.22)          White Lies (WHTLI) 10000 9.18 (-0.82)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 10000 60.35 (-0.06)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 10000 56.84 (+0.11)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 199.23 (-0.12)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 11000 120.76 (+0.24)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 20000 118.88 (-0.26)          Remain (REMAN) 10000 68.98 (+0.06)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 150000 22.98 (+0.06)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 10000 55.51 (-0.01)          Werwulf (WERWU) 10000 73.14 (-0.12)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 59000 6.25 (+0.61)          Ike Barinholtz (IBARI) 25000 37.30 (+0.12)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 11000 163.31 (-0.13)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 222 51.18 (0.00)          Fjord (FJORD) 51000 7.47 (+0.99)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 26000 74.62 (+0.37)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 17000 6.48 (+0.17)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 10000 52.61 (-0.06)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 15000 60.38 (+0.16)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 10000 39.19 (+0.07)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 10000 32.63 (-0.07)          The Get Out (BEARC) 10000 3.06 (-0.06)          Clayface (CLAYF) 10000 90.83 (-0.10)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 10000 56.54 (-0.06)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 74.62 (+0.37)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 20000 323.37 (-0.44)          The Worst (TWORS) 15000 7.14 (-0.15)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 60.38 (+0.16)          Thomas Haden Church (THCHU) 355 88.75 (-0.25)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 51138 102.33 (-0.11)