SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Fast Five revs into theaters.

The box office gets a much needed fuel injection this weekend as the highly anticipated sequel Fast Five [FFUR5] roars into theaters. The fifth installment in The Fast and The Furious franchise brings the street racing gang to Brazil for a heist. The return of Vin Diesel [VDIES] and others from the first film opened 2009’s Fast & Furious to $71 million. That indicates an established fanbase eager for more.  Universal stacks Fast Five with more stars from previous sequels and added even more muscle in Dwayne Johnson [TROCK]. Director Justin Lin [JLIN] has utilized a higher budget and the exotic locale to create ever bigger action set pieces as showcased in the marketing campaign. With a dismal year and lack of competition, Fast Five's familiar brand of action is primed to bring moviegoers of all demographic stripes back to theaters in droves. The PG-13 rated film has already outperformed internationally and all signs point to an explosive start in the domestic market as well. Debuting in 3643 theaters including 245 IMAX, Fast Five looks to burn out at least $75 million. 

Coming off a big Easter weekend, Rio [RIO] is poised to relinquish its top perch with a third weekend drop closer to 40%, which would bring in around $16 million.

Tyler Perry’s movies are typically frontloaded with a 60% fall in its second weekend. A similar drop would put Madea’s Big Happy Family [MDBHF] at $10 million.

The romance Water for Elephant [WELPH] should continue to bring out older women. A decline around 40% in its sophomore session would bring in $10 million.

Disney targets the tween female audience with the PG-rated Prom [PROM]. With a lack of starpower, the wholesome comedy may settle for about $10 million from 2730 locations.

Hayden Panettiere [HPANE] takes over the lead role in the PG-rated animated sequel Hoodwinked Too: Hood vs. Evil [HDWN2]. The original Hoodwinked opened to $12.9 million in 2006 and became a surprise hit. However, The Weinstein Co. delayed the release of the sequel and now the quality of the animation looks extremely dated. Opening in 2505 theaters, Hoodwinked Too may hook in $8 million.

Freestyle Releasing books the PG-13 rated Dylan Dog: Dead of Night [DEADN] into 862 theaters. The supernatural fantasy may reach fans of the comic, but the target audience will be checking out Fast Five. Dylan Dog: Dead of Night may gross just $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): FFUR5, VDIES, TROCK, JLIN, RIO, MDBHF, WELPH, PROM, HPANE, HDWN2, DEADN

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 28, 2011 @ 03:25 PM 5779 views

Recent Comments

chenxi
Thursday, May 5 at 18:22 PM Pacific
My company a large stock of any baseball caps, design unlimited, top quality and cheap , please contact us <a tittle="baseball hats" href=" http://www.edhatstore.com"> baseball hats </a> <a tittle="slimming capsule" href=" http://www.slimmingsbase.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


Sony Pictures Classics to distribute One Fine Morning from Mia Hansen-Love https://t.co/e4tycqXfU2       First trailer for Moonage Daydream, documentary about David Bowie https://t.co/hUSHdSKLeP       Weekend #BoxOffice Actuals: 1. #DoctorStrange $32.30M 2. #DowntonAbbeyANewEra $16.00M .... 5. #Men $3.29M…       New trailer for #Elvis directed by Baz Luhrmann https://t.co/8zdGjOjGTX       First trailer for #Vengeance from B.J. Novak https://t.co/WkPGzaQ0UK       First trailer for Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One #MissionImpossible https://t.co/ir1n01C8X1       #Men debuted at an estimated $3.29M at the weekend #boxoffice https://t.co/onmJ3YqhWg       Downton Abbey: A New Era opened to an estimated $16.02 million at the weekend #boxoffice… https://t.co/MeZgqh18qg       Box Score: #DoctorStrange has #boxoffice spellbound for a third weekend with an estimated $31.6 million       Downton Abbey: A New Era tallied an estimated $7.38M Friday at the #boxoffice #DowntonAbbeyANewEra      
The Bob's Burgers Movie H$10 Cal (BOBSB.CA) 25000 2.86 (-0.05)         Lightyear (LITYR) 1 248.45 (-0.55)         The Bob's Burgers Movie - Openin (BOBSB.OW) 100000 10.50 (-0.35)         Ghostbusters 5 (GHST5) 1 62.90 (-2.94)         Last Train to New York (LTTNY) 3 29.11 (+0.26)         Last Train to New York (LTTNY) 3 29.11 (+0.26)         Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 1 75.92 (+0.38)         Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 1 75.92 (+0.38)         The Batman 2 (TBAT2) 1 232.12 (+1.54)         The Batman 2 (TBAT2) 1 232.12 (+1.54)         Cocaine Bear (COCAB) 3 25.02 (+1.06)         Cocaine Bear (COCAB) 3 25.02 (+1.06)         Vengeance (VENGC) 150000 9.96 (+3.48)         Moonage Daydream (MNDRM) 150000 5.31 (+0.84)         Moonage Daydream (MNDRM) 150000 5.31 (+0.84)         Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 1917 450.02 (-1.53)         One Fine Morning (OFMRN) 149998 1.98 (+0.45)         White Noise (WHNOS) 150000 0.38 (-0.62)         Blade (BLAD1) 1 123.13 (-0.54)         Blade (BLAD1) 1 123.13 (-0.54)         Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 1 28.26 (-0.53)         The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 1000 27.90 (-0.46)         Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 1 28.26 (-0.53)         65 (65) 3 29.47 (-0.49)         65 (65) 3 29.47 (-0.49)         Thor: Love and Thunder (THOR4) 3 292.98 (-0.86)         Thor: Love and Thunder (THOR4) 3 292.98 (-0.86)         The Bob's Burgers Movie (BOBSB) 3 22.07 (-1.48)         The Bob's Burgers Movie (BOBSB) 3 22.07 (-1.48)         Top Gun: Maverick (TOPG2) 3 203.94 (-2.23)         Top Gun: Maverick (TOPG2) 3 203.94 (-2.23)         Ghostbusters 5 (GHST5) 1 62.90 (-2.94)         Ghostbusters 5 (GHST5) 1 62.90 (-2.94)         Elvis (ELVIS) 150000 74.81 (+0.26)         Resurrection (RSREC) 1500 1.45 (0.00)         Vengeance (VENGC) 150000 9.96 (+3.48)         I Love My Dad (ILVMD) 1500 1.48 (0.00)         The Bob's Burgers Movie (BOBSB) 150000 22.07 (-1.48)         The Bob's Burgers Movie (BOBSB) 150000 22.07 (-1.48)         No Hard Feelings (NHFEL) 150000 25.00 (0.00)         CBS: FBI: International (FBIINT) 25000 16.30 (-0.21)         A Love Song (ALVSN) 1500 1.38 (0.00)         CBS: FBI: International (FBIINT) 25000 16.30 (-0.21)         XXX 4 (XXX4) 100000 2.33 (-0.03)         Ghostbusters 5 (GHST5) 150000 62.90 (-2.94)         Montana Story (MONTA) 150000 3.70 (+0.12)         Montana Story (MONTA) 150000 3.70 (+0.12)         No Hard Feelings (NHFEL) 10000 25.00 (0.00)         Moonage Daydream (MNDRM) 150000 5.31 (+0.84)         Moonage Daydream (MNDRM) 150000 5.31 (+0.84)