SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Avengers: Infinity War runneth Overboard

After setting a new opening weekend record, Avengers: Infinity War [AVNG3] will continue to put a stranglehold on the marketplace. The Marvel team-up won't surpass Star Wars: The Force Awakens' second weekend record of $149.2 million, and may not even pass Black Panther’s $111.7 million at the second spot. The last 3 MCU films to open in May, Avengers: Age of Ultron and Captain America: Civil War both dropped more than 59% during their sophomore weekend, while Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2 fell 55.5% last year. Despite strong word of mouth, Avengers: Infinity War's second weekend is still likely to drop around 57% to $110 million.

Anna Faris [AFARI] and Eugenio Derbez [EDERB] star in the gender-reverse remake of the 1987 comedy Overboard [OVERB]. Lionsgate targets Latino moviegoers who drove How to be a Latin Lover to $12.3 million a year ago. The PG-13 rated Overboard may pull in $13 million from 1623 theaters.

The R-rated dramedy Tully [TULLY] reunites Charlize Theron [CTHER] with director Jason Reitman [JREIT]. Their last collaboration 2011’s Young Adult took in $3.4 million during its first wide weekend. The Focus release has earned excellent reviews, which should connect with their adult target audience. Tully may deliver $5 million from 1353 locations.

New distributor Electric Entertainment opens Bad Samaritan [BSMRT] wide in 2007 theaters. The R-rated thriller is reminiscent of the 2016 hit Don’t Breathe. However, the marketing has generated little buzz. Bad Samaritan might take in $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNG3, AFARI, EDERB, OVERB, TULLY, CTHER, JREIT, BSMRT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2018 @ 02:35 PM 1344 views

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Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 150000 44.63 (+0.20)          Shelly (SHELY) 899 0.03 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 20000 123.95 (-0.07)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 5.23 (+1.21)          All That I Am (ATIAM) 899 0.03 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 246.40 (+0.50)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 397.76 (+0.50)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 15000 63.30 (-1.35)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 20000 63.30 (-1.35)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 799 0.06 (+0.01)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 281.21 (+0.75)          Deeper (DEPER) 150000 60.70 (+0.10)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 1000 24.09 (-1.24)          Rust (RUST) 698 0.22 (-0.01)          Broadsword (BROSW) 150000 50.82 (-0.11)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 150000 34.80 (+0.13)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 5 153.73 (+0.24)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 150000 15.97 (+0.08)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 2000 9.33 (-0.73)          Superman - Opening Weekend (SUPRM.OW) 16475 128.74 (+0.97)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 94.10 (+0.33)          A Place Like Hell (APHEL) 10000 7.28 (+0.02)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 34.91 (+0.06)          The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 999 0.02 (0.00)          Misdirection (MSDRC) 50000 1.73 (-0.27)          Hailee Steinfeld (HSTEI) 25000 172.85 (-0.50)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 26.36 (+0.15)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 150000 127.30 (+0.94)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 243.88 (+0.33)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2.PU) 25000 2.07 (+0.07)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 13.52 (+0.04)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 46.76 (+0.25)          Superman - Opening Weekend (SUPRM.OW) 100000 128.74 (+0.97)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 324.90 (+1.35)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 45.27 (+0.15)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 150000 139.48 (+0.53)          Miles Teller (MTELL) 25000 73.68 (-0.50)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 281.56 (+1.00)          Misdirection (MSDRC) 150000 1.73 (-0.27)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2.OW) 100000 100.92 (+0.92)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Superman H$125 Call (SUPRM.CA) 25000 5.76 (-0.05)          Superman - Opening Weekend (SUPRM.OW) 9289 128.74 (+0.97)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 36.00 (+0.06)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 237.76 (+2.35)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Long Walk (TLWLK) 150000 36.38 (+0.09)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 150000 63.30 (-1.35)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 31.05 (+2.42)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 18.00 (0.00)