HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Update

Posted by: MattW on Mar 27, 17:28 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

Jan 2022 was 42.5% of the previous avg
Feb was 47.8%
March will end up being about 65%.
April releases look like they'll add up to somewhere in the 400-500 range, plus holdovers pulling around 150-200-ish, will put it at 67% on the low end, up to 85% for the month as a whole.

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 6000 92.26 (-0.01)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 150000 3.30 (-0.33)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 150000 3.30 (-0.33)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.80 (+0.80)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.80 (+0.80)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 20000 143.06 (-0.04)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 70000 19.04 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 99 160.96 (-0.11)          Michael (MJACK) 20000 62.41 (-0.02)          Gladiator II aka Gladiator 2 (GLAD2) 20000 169.37 (-0.04)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 145.36 (-0.04)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 10000 64.80 (-0.06)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 8000 64.80 (-0.06)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 100 64.80 (-0.06)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 20000 29.61 (-0.01)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 20000 93.02 (-0.03)          Justice (JUSTC) 70000 0.87 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 10000 2.91 (0.00)          Poolman (POOLM) 126000 0.54 (+0.05)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 70000 3.30 (-0.33)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 20000 142.64 (+0.02)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 147000 3.88 (-0.12)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 30000 2.89 (-0.27)          The Supremes at Earl's All-You-C (TSAEA) 100000 3.44 (-0.02)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.88 (-0.12)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 1000 23.51 (+0.42)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.88 (-0.12)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 2000 23.51 (+0.42)          Eternity (ETERN) 2000 17.80 (+0.80)          Eternity (ETERN) 2000 17.80 (+0.80)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.55 (-0.02)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.80 (+0.80)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 14.26 (+0.05)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 1.57 (+0.06)          Trap House (TRAPH) 100000 23.55 (-0.04)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.86 (+0.07)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.88 (-0.12)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 1000 4.02 (+0.30)          My Penguin Friend aka The Pengui (TPATF) 1000 4.02 (+0.30)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 10001 3.88 (-0.12)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.80 (+0.80)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.80 (+0.80)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 1000 31.51 (0.00)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 25000 6.94 (0.00)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 50000 5.98 (+0.02)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.80 (+0.80)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.86 (+0.07)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 14.26 (+0.05)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 100000 13.56 (+0.40)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 800 96.97 (-0.05)