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Playing & Trading Strategy

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Nov 26, 15:33 in response to MattW's post Nov still think about 700

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 100 64.87 (0.00)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.73 (-0.27)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 149975 6.45 (-0.04)          Poolman (POOLM) 150000 0.56 (+0.07)          Treasure (TRESU) 150000 4.01 (+0.44)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 1 13.60 (+0.03)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.11 (+0.40)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.11 (+0.40)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.73 (-0.27)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR) 150000 18.76 (-0.54)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR) 150000 18.76 (-0.54)          Treasure (TRESU) 150000 4.01 (+0.44)          Treasure (TRESU) 150000 4.01 (+0.44)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.92 (+0.92)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.92 (+0.92)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1000 96.97 (-0.05)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 13.68 (+0.52)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 13.68 (+0.52)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 23.63 (+0.54)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 1000 13.60 (+0.03)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 1 3.30 (-0.33)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 150000 3.30 (-0.33)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 94 3.30 (-0.33)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 23.63 (+0.54)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 3 142.53 (-0.09)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 100000 14.20 (-0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 20 23.63 (+0.54)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.88 (+0.09)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 50000 21.35 (0.00)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 50000 10.42 (-0.02)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.73 (-0.27)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 1.59 (+0.08)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR) 40000 18.76 (-0.54)          Untitled Trey Edward Shults Proj (UTESP) 50000 11.44 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 5000 163.99 (+0.10)          Challengers (CHALN) 20000 41.55 (-0.02)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 10000 92.25 (-0.02)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 145.34 (-0.06)          Down Under Cover (DWNUC) 20000 0.57 (0.00)          Eternity (ETERN) 25000 17.92 (+0.92)          Eternity (ETERN) 25000 17.92 (+0.92)          Apex aka Untitled Formula 1 Proj (FORM1) 20000 45.23 (-0.07)          Sight - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (SIGHT.OW) 100000 4.96 (-0.04)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 55.13 (+0.13)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          Poolman (POOLM) 999 0.56 (+0.07)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)