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Playing & Trading Strategy

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Sep 07, 14:59 in response to MattW's post August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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The Shrouds (SHRUD) 150000 1.38 (+0.02)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 1 2.85 (-0.31)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 2.85 (-0.31)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 1 3.27 (-0.36)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 150000 3.27 (-0.36)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Mercy (MRCY1) 20000 58.53 (+0.07)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 40.67 (+0.67)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.08 (+0.08)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 1.61 (+0.10)          Poolman (POOLM) 149999 0.55 (+0.06)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 55.29 (+0.29)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.66 (-0.34)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 149999 117.31 (-0.55)          Sight - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (SIGHT.OW) 100000 4.88 (-0.12)          Bambi (BAMBI) 12000 35.74 (-0.07)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 846 14.05 (0.00)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 20000 7.23 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 20000 7.23 (-0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.08 (+0.08)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Sight - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (SIGHT.OW) 100000 4.88 (-0.12)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 20000 55.29 (+0.29)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.08 (+0.08)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 40.67 (+0.67)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.66 (-0.34)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 3653 5.42 (0.00)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 39.29 (+0.07)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 98.22 (-0.01)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.87 (+0.87)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 1000 43.36 (-0.05)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 10000 3.44 (+0.30)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 5000 117.31 (-0.55)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 1 236.49 (0.00)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.66 (-0.34)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 50000 117.31 (-0.55)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 100 64.87 (0.00)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 100 64.87 (0.00)